✏ #FOMCWatch: Fed's December Pivot Point
#FOMCWatch is buzzing as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wraps its two-day meeting on December 10, 2025, with a highly anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut to 4.25-4.50%—the third consecutive reduction amid cooling inflation (2.7% CPI) and a softening job market (unemployment at 4.2%).
Chair Jerome Powell's 2:30 PM ET presser could signal 2026's path: dovish hints of more easing (75% market odds for two cuts) might flood liquidity into risk assets, while hawkish tones on sticky inflation could spark sell-offs, as seen in past meetings where BTC dropped 5-10% post-announcement. For crypto traders, this "hawkish cut" dynamic historically boosts ETH and BTC toward $100K+ on dollar weakness, but watch for volatility spikes—position for upside if guidance leans accommodative, with stops below key supports. 📊💹
📚 Key Impacts Table
| Scenario | Rate Action | Crypto Reaction | Watch For |
| ------------ | --------------------------- | ---------------------------------------- | ----------------------- |
| Dovish Cut | 25bp + more easing signals | BTC/ETH rally 5-10% (liquidity boost) | Powell's SEP dot plot |
| Hawkish Hold | No cut or pause | 3-7% dip (risk-off) | Inflation data mentions |
| Neutral | 25bp with balanced outlook | Sideways consolidation | ETF flows post-meeting |
