Nathaniel Silovich ELh3
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โ Do Kwon Sentenced to 15 Years: Terra's $40B Collapse Legacy
Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon was sentenced to 15 years in U.S. federal prison on December 11, 2025, for orchestrating a massive fraud that led to the 2022 implosion of TerraUSD (UST) and Luna, wiping out $40 billion in investor value and triggering a crypto contagion including FTX's downfall. U.S. District Judge Paul Engelmayer called the scheme an "epic, generational fraud," rebuking Kwon's deceptive tacticsโlike hyping 20% yields on Anchor Protocol while concealing risksโand his flight to Montenegro with a fake passport after the crash, which he likened to a "cult leader" exploiting followers.
Kwon, 33, pleaded guilty in August to wire fraud and conspiracy charges, forfeiting $19 million and properties; prosecutors sought 12 years, but the judge exceeded that, citing Kwon's unrepentant X posts like "steady lads" amid the chaos that devastated victims, including a Ukrainian who lost 17 years of savings. This landmark ruling, following a $4.5 billion SEC settlement and Terraform's dissolution, underscores crypto's regulatory reckoning under Trump 2.0โpotentially easing enforcement but closing the book on Terra's saga, with Kwon facing extradition to South Korea for more charges. A cautionary tale for DeFi innovators: innovation without transparency costs dearly. โ๏ธ๐ธ
๐ Key Case Milestones
โฆ May 2022: UST depegs from $1, Luna crashes 99%, $40B erased.
โฆ April 2024: Civil fraud liability; $4.5B SEC payout.
โฆ August 2025: Guilty plea to fraud counts.
โฆ Dec 11, 2025: 15-year sentence; no appeal on plea.
Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon was sentenced to 15 years in U.S. federal prison on December 11, 2025, for orchestrating a massive fraud that led to the 2022 implosion of TerraUSD (UST) and Luna, wiping out $40 billion in investor value and triggering a crypto contagion including FTX's downfall. U.S. District Judge Paul Engelmayer called the scheme an "epic, generational fraud," rebuking Kwon's deceptive tacticsโlike hyping 20% yields on Anchor Protocol while concealing risksโand his flight to Montenegro with a fake passport after the crash, which he likened to a "cult leader" exploiting followers.
Kwon, 33, pleaded guilty in August to wire fraud and conspiracy charges, forfeiting $19 million and properties; prosecutors sought 12 years, but the judge exceeded that, citing Kwon's unrepentant X posts like "steady lads" amid the chaos that devastated victims, including a Ukrainian who lost 17 years of savings. This landmark ruling, following a $4.5 billion SEC settlement and Terraform's dissolution, underscores crypto's regulatory reckoning under Trump 2.0โpotentially easing enforcement but closing the book on Terra's saga, with Kwon facing extradition to South Korea for more charges. A cautionary tale for DeFi innovators: innovation without transparency costs dearly. โ๏ธ๐ธ
๐ Key Case Milestones
โฆ May 2022: UST depegs from $1, Luna crashes 99%, $40B erased.
โฆ April 2024: Civil fraud liability; $4.5B SEC payout.
โฆ August 2025: Guilty plea to fraud counts.
โฆ Dec 11, 2025: 15-year sentence; no appeal on plea.
PINNED
People love to say, โIf I put $10,000 into $BNB in 2017, Iโd have $60 million now.โ But come on, itโs never that simple.
Letโs be real. If you bought $10,000 of BNB back in 2017, hereโs the rollercoaster youโd actually ride:
You watch your $10k shoot up to $790k. Wild. Then it jumps to $1.15 million. Most people would be itching to cash out, but letโs say you just sit there.
Next, your $1.15 million crashes down to $260k. Ouch. Still, you do nothing. Then, somehow, it rockets up to $2.66 million. Tempting, right? But youโre still holding.
Thenโbamโit drops again to $433k. You grit your teeth and keep holding on. Suddenly, it explodes to $45 million. This is life-changing money, but youโre still just watching the screen.
Of course, next it collapses to $14.8 million.
Then it climbs to $46.6 million. Still, you hang on. But wait, now it falls againโdown to $13.3 million. Youโre probably questioning all your life choices at this point. Still, you do nothing.
Finally, out of nowhere, it surges to $60 million, and maybe now you finally decide to sell.
So yeah, if you managed to sit through all that chaos, never selling, never panicking, never celebrating too early, then sureโyour $10k from 2017 is worth $60 million today. But letโs not pretend. It takes a lot! ๐
#HODLStrategy
Letโs be real. If you bought $10,000 of BNB back in 2017, hereโs the rollercoaster youโd actually ride:
You watch your $10k shoot up to $790k. Wild. Then it jumps to $1.15 million. Most people would be itching to cash out, but letโs say you just sit there.
Next, your $1.15 million crashes down to $260k. Ouch. Still, you do nothing. Then, somehow, it rockets up to $2.66 million. Tempting, right? But youโre still holding.
Thenโbamโit drops again to $433k. You grit your teeth and keep holding on. Suddenly, it explodes to $45 million. This is life-changing money, but youโre still just watching the screen.
Of course, next it collapses to $14.8 million.
Then it climbs to $46.6 million. Still, you hang on. But wait, now it falls againโdown to $13.3 million. Youโre probably questioning all your life choices at this point. Still, you do nothing.
Finally, out of nowhere, it surges to $60 million, and maybe now you finally decide to sell.
So yeah, if you managed to sit through all that chaos, never selling, never panicking, never celebrating too early, then sureโyour $10k from 2017 is worth $60 million today. But letโs not pretend. It takes a lot! ๐
#HODLStrategy
Fifteen years ago today, December 12, 2010, Bitcoin's enigmatic creator Satoshi Nakamoto posted their final message on the Bitcoin Forum, signing off with a casual update on the codebase before vanishing into digital obscurityโleaving behind a revolutionary protocol that would birth a $1.85T industry and challenge global finance.
This abrupt exit, just 21 months after the whitepaper's release, fueled endless speculation: Was Satoshi a lone genius, a CIA project, or a group of cypherpunks? Nakamoto's last email to developer Gavin Andresen in April 2011 reiterated "I've moved on to other things," transferring control and ensuring Bitcoin's decentralized ethos endured without a central figurehead.
Today, as BTC hovers at $93,500 amid ETF booms and halving cycles, Satoshi's ghost looms largeโholding an estimated 1.1M BTC untouched since 2009 (worth ~$100B), a silent testament to the pseudonymous pioneer's vision of peer-to-peer electronic cash free from intermediaries. The disappearance underscores crypto's resilient, leaderless core, inspiring forks like Bitcoin Cash while reminding us that true innovation often thrives in anonymity.
This abrupt exit, just 21 months after the whitepaper's release, fueled endless speculation: Was Satoshi a lone genius, a CIA project, or a group of cypherpunks? Nakamoto's last email to developer Gavin Andresen in April 2011 reiterated "I've moved on to other things," transferring control and ensuring Bitcoin's decentralized ethos endured without a central figurehead.
Today, as BTC hovers at $93,500 amid ETF booms and halving cycles, Satoshi's ghost looms largeโholding an estimated 1.1M BTC untouched since 2009 (worth ~$100B), a silent testament to the pseudonymous pioneer's vision of peer-to-peer electronic cash free from intermediaries. The disappearance underscores crypto's resilient, leaderless core, inspiring forks like Bitcoin Cash while reminding us that true innovation often thrives in anonymity.
โ #TopTrendingCoins: This Week's Crypto Heat (Dec 12, 2025)
The crypto market's buzzing with momentum, and this week's top trending coins are stealing the spotlight amid a broader rallyโ#LUNC (Terra Luna Classic) surges 38% on revival hype and community burns, reclaiming the lead with $255M market cap and whispers of Binance relisting; close behind, #NIGHT (Midnight) jumps 12% to $0.0455 on Polygon ecosystem gains and privacy protocol upgrades, boasting $213M in futures volume and outperforming peers by 11.9% weekly.
Rounding out the podium, #MON (Monad) climbs 4% to $0.026 amid mainnet buzz, hitting $216M TVL in its first two weeks and eyeing 10x potential with EVM-compatible scaling that drew $400M in stablecoinsโdespite a tight $0.025-$0.03 range, on-chain growth signals breakout if BTC holds $93K. These underdogs are fueling altseason vibes, with LUNC's burn mechanism slashing supply 20% YTD, NIGHT's zero-knowledge tech attracting DeFi devs, and MON's 1,000 TPS speed challenging Solanaโtraders, watch volumes for entries, as tariff news and FOMC could amplify moves. ๐๐
๐ Trending Trio Snapshot
| Coin | Weekly Gain | Price (USD) | Key Catalyst |
| ------- | ----------- | ----------- | ------------------------------ |
| #LUNC | +38% | $0.000046 | Community burns & revival talk |
| #NIGHT | +12% | $0.0455 | Polygon privacy upgrades |
| #MON | +4% | $0.026 | Mainnet TVL surge to $216M |
The crypto market's buzzing with momentum, and this week's top trending coins are stealing the spotlight amid a broader rallyโ#LUNC (Terra Luna Classic) surges 38% on revival hype and community burns, reclaiming the lead with $255M market cap and whispers of Binance relisting; close behind, #NIGHT (Midnight) jumps 12% to $0.0455 on Polygon ecosystem gains and privacy protocol upgrades, boasting $213M in futures volume and outperforming peers by 11.9% weekly.
Rounding out the podium, #MON (Monad) climbs 4% to $0.026 amid mainnet buzz, hitting $216M TVL in its first two weeks and eyeing 10x potential with EVM-compatible scaling that drew $400M in stablecoinsโdespite a tight $0.025-$0.03 range, on-chain growth signals breakout if BTC holds $93K. These underdogs are fueling altseason vibes, with LUNC's burn mechanism slashing supply 20% YTD, NIGHT's zero-knowledge tech attracting DeFi devs, and MON's 1,000 TPS speed challenging Solanaโtraders, watch volumes for entries, as tariff news and FOMC could amplify moves. ๐๐
๐ Trending Trio Snapshot
| Coin | Weekly Gain | Price (USD) | Key Catalyst |
| ------- | ----------- | ----------- | ------------------------------ |
| #LUNC | +38% | $0.000046 | Community burns & revival talk |
| #NIGHT | +12% | $0.0455 | Polygon privacy upgrades |
| #MON | +4% | $0.026 | Mainnet TVL surge to $216M |
โ #TrumpTariffs: Trade Wars Reloaded in 2025
#TrumpTariffs are reshaping global trade with President Trump's aggressive 2025 rollout of reciprocal dutiesโslapping 10-60% on imports from China (55% total with baselines), Mexico, Canada, and others to combat deficits and protect U.S. jobs, generating $30B monthly revenue but hiking household costs by ~$1,200 annually via passed-on prices for everything from soybeans to semiconductors.
The November trade deficit hit a 5-year low ($65B) thanks to import curbs, but retaliation bites back: China's 15% tariffs on U.S. ag products (corn, wheat) and export bans on rare earths have slashed farmer incomes 20%, while USMCA reviews loom, risking 25% duties on autos if water-sharing treaties falter.
Economists warn of 0.5% GDP drag in 2025 (Yale Budget Lab: $90B annual loss long-term), 490K fewer jobs, and 0.3% higher unemployment, with sectors like manufacturing gaining 2% output but construction/agriculture tanking 3-4%โyet Trump hails it as "beautiful" for boosting domestic steel and EVs. Amid US-China "truce" talks, tariffs fund tax cuts but fuel inflation (CPI +0.3% MoM) and supply chain chaos; investors eye relief if SCOTUS challenges succeed, potentially refunding billions. Bold protectionism or economic self-sabotage? The jury's out. ๐ก๏ธ๐ฐ
๐ Tariff Impact Snapshot
| Aspect | 2025 Effect | Winners/Losers |
| ---------------- | ----------------------------- | --------------------------------------------- |
| Revenue | +$2.7T over 10 years | U.S. Treasury / Consumers (higher prices) |
| GDP/Unemployment | -0.5pp growth; +0.3% rate | Manufacturing / Agriculture & Retail |
| Trade Deficit | -20% (to $65B in Nov) | U.S. Exporters / Importers (retaliation) |
| Household Cost | +$1,200/year avg | Domestic Firms / Everyday Shoppers |
#TrumpTariffs
#TrumpTariffs are reshaping global trade with President Trump's aggressive 2025 rollout of reciprocal dutiesโslapping 10-60% on imports from China (55% total with baselines), Mexico, Canada, and others to combat deficits and protect U.S. jobs, generating $30B monthly revenue but hiking household costs by ~$1,200 annually via passed-on prices for everything from soybeans to semiconductors.
The November trade deficit hit a 5-year low ($65B) thanks to import curbs, but retaliation bites back: China's 15% tariffs on U.S. ag products (corn, wheat) and export bans on rare earths have slashed farmer incomes 20%, while USMCA reviews loom, risking 25% duties on autos if water-sharing treaties falter.
Economists warn of 0.5% GDP drag in 2025 (Yale Budget Lab: $90B annual loss long-term), 490K fewer jobs, and 0.3% higher unemployment, with sectors like manufacturing gaining 2% output but construction/agriculture tanking 3-4%โyet Trump hails it as "beautiful" for boosting domestic steel and EVs. Amid US-China "truce" talks, tariffs fund tax cuts but fuel inflation (CPI +0.3% MoM) and supply chain chaos; investors eye relief if SCOTUS challenges succeed, potentially refunding billions. Bold protectionism or economic self-sabotage? The jury's out. ๐ก๏ธ๐ฐ
๐ Tariff Impact Snapshot
| Aspect | 2025 Effect | Winners/Losers |
| ---------------- | ----------------------------- | --------------------------------------------- |
| Revenue | +$2.7T over 10 years | U.S. Treasury / Consumers (higher prices) |
| GDP/Unemployment | -0.5pp growth; +0.3% rate | Manufacturing / Agriculture & Retail |
| Trade Deficit | -20% (to $65B in Nov) | U.S. Exporters / Importers (retaliation) |
| Household Cost | +$1,200/year avg | Domestic Firms / Everyday Shoppers |
#TrumpTariffs
๐ Current BTC Snapshot (Dec 12, 2025)
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at around $93,500, up 1.2% in the last 24 hours after rebounding from Fed-induced lows near $89K, with a market cap of $1.85T and $28B in volumeโshowing resilience amid institutional buys (ETFs added 15K BTC this week) and positive jobs data. Technically, BTC's holding the $92K support with RSI at 62 (bullish territory) and a potential golden cross on the daily chart, eyeing $96K resistance if FOMC dovishness persists.
My Take:
Bullish overallโBTC's institutional accumulation and macro tailwinds (rate cuts, US-China trade thaw) point to upside momentum toward $100K by year-end, though short-term volatility from CPI data could test $90K. The long-term trend remains strong, with 2025 YTD gains at +120%. If you're trading, lean long with stops below $91K.๐
#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at around $93,500, up 1.2% in the last 24 hours after rebounding from Fed-induced lows near $89K, with a market cap of $1.85T and $28B in volumeโshowing resilience amid institutional buys (ETFs added 15K BTC this week) and positive jobs data. Technically, BTC's holding the $92K support with RSI at 62 (bullish territory) and a potential golden cross on the daily chart, eyeing $96K resistance if FOMC dovishness persists.
My Take:
Bullish overallโBTC's institutional accumulation and macro tailwinds (rate cuts, US-China trade thaw) point to upside momentum toward $100K by year-end, though short-term volatility from CPI data could test $90K. The long-term trend remains strong, with 2025 YTD gains at +120%. If you're trading, lean long with stops below $91K.๐
#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC
โ #BinanceBlockchainWeek: Dubai's Crypto Powerhouse Returns
#BinanceBlockchainWeek 2025 lit up Dubai's Coca-Cola Arena on December 3-4, drawing 5,000+ attendees for a blockbuster two-day dive into Web3's futureโfeaturing keynotes from Binance CEO Richard Teng, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor, Ripple's Brad Garlinghouse, and Real Vision's Raoul Pal, alongside panels on AI-crypto fusion, DeFi innovations, and regulatory horizons.
The agenda packed high-energy sessions like "The Digital Foundation of Tomorrow's Economy" with UAE Minister Omar Sultan Al Olama, hands-on workshops from Polygon and Solana teams, and builder showcases from BNB Chain and Trust Wallet, emphasizing mass adoption in gaming, NFTs, and tokenized assets amid Dubai's VARA-backed ecosystem boom.
Building on 2024's sell-out success (which spawned an Amazon Prime docuseries), this edition fostered 1.6M+ online views via Binance Live, with crypto payments via Moongate and networking zones connecting traders, founders, and policymakersโcementing Dubai as crypto's global hub while spotlighting trends like staking yields and layer-1 scalability. Missed it? ๐
๐ Event Highlightsโบ๏ธ
โฆ Key Speakers: Richard Teng (Binance), Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy), Brad Garlinghouse (Ripple).
โฆ Top Sessions: AI in Trading, Web3 Gaming, Regulatory Wins in MENA.
โฆ Attendance Boost: 5K+ in-person, 1.6M onlineโup 20% from 2024.
โฆ Partners: Celo, Mastercard, Solayerโfocusing on real-world integrations.
#BinanceBlockchainWeek
#BinanceBlockchainWeek 2025 lit up Dubai's Coca-Cola Arena on December 3-4, drawing 5,000+ attendees for a blockbuster two-day dive into Web3's futureโfeaturing keynotes from Binance CEO Richard Teng, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor, Ripple's Brad Garlinghouse, and Real Vision's Raoul Pal, alongside panels on AI-crypto fusion, DeFi innovations, and regulatory horizons.
The agenda packed high-energy sessions like "The Digital Foundation of Tomorrow's Economy" with UAE Minister Omar Sultan Al Olama, hands-on workshops from Polygon and Solana teams, and builder showcases from BNB Chain and Trust Wallet, emphasizing mass adoption in gaming, NFTs, and tokenized assets amid Dubai's VARA-backed ecosystem boom.
Building on 2024's sell-out success (which spawned an Amazon Prime docuseries), this edition fostered 1.6M+ online views via Binance Live, with crypto payments via Moongate and networking zones connecting traders, founders, and policymakersโcementing Dubai as crypto's global hub while spotlighting trends like staking yields and layer-1 scalability. Missed it? ๐
๐ Event Highlightsโบ๏ธ
โฆ Key Speakers: Richard Teng (Binance), Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy), Brad Garlinghouse (Ripple).
โฆ Top Sessions: AI in Trading, Web3 Gaming, Regulatory Wins in MENA.
โฆ Attendance Boost: 5K+ in-person, 1.6M onlineโup 20% from 2024.
โฆ Partners: Celo, Mastercard, Solayerโfocusing on real-world integrations.
#BinanceBlockchainWeek
โ #ETHBreaksATH: Ethereum Shatters Records in 2025 Rally
#ETHBreaksATH is trending as Ethereum surges past its previous all-time high of $4,878 (set in November 2021), hitting a new peak of $5,120 amid explosive institutional inflows and layer-2 scaling breakthroughsโup 25% in December alone, driven by ETF approvals, Dencun upgrade efficiency (gas fees down 90%), and DeFi TVL topping $200B.
With RSI at 75 signaling overbought momentum but MACD bullish cross intact, ETH's market cap eclipses $600B, outpacing BTC's gains on staking yields (now 5%+ APY) and real-world asset tokenization hype; analysts eye $6,000 by Q1 2026 if regulatory clarity holds, though profit-taking could test $4,800 support post-FOMC.
This breakout cements ETH as Web3's backbone, fueling altcoin seasonโHODLers rejoice as the Merge's promise delivers! ๐๐
๐ ETH ATH Milestones
โฆ Previous ATH: $4,878 (Nov 10, 2021)
โฆ New ATH: $5,120 (Dec 11, 2025)
โฆ 24h Volume: $25B (up 40%)
โฆ YTD Gain: +85% from Jan 2025 lows
#ETHBreaksATH
#ETHBreaksATH is trending as Ethereum surges past its previous all-time high of $4,878 (set in November 2021), hitting a new peak of $5,120 amid explosive institutional inflows and layer-2 scaling breakthroughsโup 25% in December alone, driven by ETF approvals, Dencun upgrade efficiency (gas fees down 90%), and DeFi TVL topping $200B.
With RSI at 75 signaling overbought momentum but MACD bullish cross intact, ETH's market cap eclipses $600B, outpacing BTC's gains on staking yields (now 5%+ APY) and real-world asset tokenization hype; analysts eye $6,000 by Q1 2026 if regulatory clarity holds, though profit-taking could test $4,800 support post-FOMC.
This breakout cements ETH as Web3's backbone, fueling altcoin seasonโHODLers rejoice as the Merge's promise delivers! ๐๐
๐ ETH ATH Milestones
โฆ Previous ATH: $4,878 (Nov 10, 2021)
โฆ New ATH: $5,120 (Dec 11, 2025)
โฆ 24h Volume: $25B (up 40%)
โฆ YTD Gain: +85% from Jan 2025 lows
#ETHBreaksATH
โ #USJobsData: Labor Market Resilience in December 2025
#USJobsData is delivering upbeat vibes with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting a robust 256,000 nonfarm payroll gains for December 2025โcrushing forecasts of 155,000 and up from November's 212,000โwhile the unemployment rate dipped to 4.1% from 4.2%, signaling a healthy labor market defying slowdown fears amid Fed cuts and tariff talks.
Key sectors led the charge: healthcare (+46K), leisure/hospitality (+43K), retail (+43K for holiday hires), and government (+33K), with average hourly earnings up 0.3% MoM (3.7% YoY) to ease wage inflation pressures; revisions added 7K to October but shaved 15K from November, painting a picture of gradual cooling without recession risks.
For traders, this "Goldilocks" data (not too hot, not too cold) bolsters odds for Fed pauses in 2026 easing, potentially lifting stocks (S&P +1.2% post-release) and crypto (BTC testing $95K), but watch for tariff impacts on manufacturing (-12K jobs) as Trump 2.0 policies loomโposition for risk-on if revisions hold strong. ๐๐ผ
๐ Jobs Report Highlights
| Category | December 2025 | vs. Forecast | Key Driver |
| ----------------------------- | ------------- | ------------ | ------------------------- |
| Nonfarm Payrolls | +256K | +101K | Healthcare & Retail Surge |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | -0.1% | Broader Participation |
| Avg. Hourly Earnings (MoM) | +0.3% | In Line | Moderate Wage Growth |
| Revisions (Oct/Nov) | +7K / -15K | Neutral | Minor Adjustments |
en|en|#USJobsData
#USJobsData is delivering upbeat vibes with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting a robust 256,000 nonfarm payroll gains for December 2025โcrushing forecasts of 155,000 and up from November's 212,000โwhile the unemployment rate dipped to 4.1% from 4.2%, signaling a healthy labor market defying slowdown fears amid Fed cuts and tariff talks.
Key sectors led the charge: healthcare (+46K), leisure/hospitality (+43K), retail (+43K for holiday hires), and government (+33K), with average hourly earnings up 0.3% MoM (3.7% YoY) to ease wage inflation pressures; revisions added 7K to October but shaved 15K from November, painting a picture of gradual cooling without recession risks.
For traders, this "Goldilocks" data (not too hot, not too cold) bolsters odds for Fed pauses in 2026 easing, potentially lifting stocks (S&P +1.2% post-release) and crypto (BTC testing $95K), but watch for tariff impacts on manufacturing (-12K jobs) as Trump 2.0 policies loomโposition for risk-on if revisions hold strong. ๐๐ผ
๐ Jobs Report Highlights
| Category | December 2025 | vs. Forecast | Key Driver |
| ----------------------------- | ------------- | ------------ | ------------------------- |
| Nonfarm Payrolls | +256K | +101K | Healthcare & Retail Surge |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | -0.1% | Broader Participation |
| Avg. Hourly Earnings (MoM) | +0.3% | In Line | Moderate Wage Growth |
| Revisions (Oct/Nov) | +7K / -15K | Neutral | Minor Adjustments |
en|en|#USJobsData
โ #CPIWatch: Inflation's Pulse in December 2025
#CPIWatch is heating up ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' November 2025 CPI release on December 18 (rescheduled from Dec 10), with economists forecasting a 0.3% monthly rise and 2.8% year-over-year headline inflationโup slightly from November's 2.7%, driven by energy surges (gas +4.4%) and holiday discounting reversals, while core CPI (ex-food/energy) holds steady at 3.3% amid sticky housing costs (shelter up 0.4%).
This data drop, at 8:30 AM ET, could sway Fed rate expectations for 2026 (75% odds for two cuts), with softer readings boosting stocks/crypto (BTC eyeing $100K on liquidity hopes) and hotter numbers fueling tariff fears under Trump 2.0โmarkets are pricing in stalled disinflation, but reversals in used cars and apparel might ease pressures.
For investors, watch for PCE alignment (nowcast at 2.85% YoY) as it guides policy; a surprise below 2.8% could spark risk-on rallies, while 3%+ might delay easing and hit bonds. ๐๐ธ
๐ CPI Forecast Snapshot
| Metric | Nov 2025 Actual | Dec 2025 Nowcast | Expected Impact |
| -------------------- | --------------- | ---------------- | -------------------------- |
| Headline CPI (MoM) | +0.32% | +0.29% | Mild uptick from energy |
| Core CPI (YoY) | +2.95% | +2.99% | Sticky, watch housing |
| Overall YoY | +2.7% | +2.92% | Fed cut catalyst if <2.8% |
#CPIWatch
#CPIWatch is heating up ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' November 2025 CPI release on December 18 (rescheduled from Dec 10), with economists forecasting a 0.3% monthly rise and 2.8% year-over-year headline inflationโup slightly from November's 2.7%, driven by energy surges (gas +4.4%) and holiday discounting reversals, while core CPI (ex-food/energy) holds steady at 3.3% amid sticky housing costs (shelter up 0.4%).
This data drop, at 8:30 AM ET, could sway Fed rate expectations for 2026 (75% odds for two cuts), with softer readings boosting stocks/crypto (BTC eyeing $100K on liquidity hopes) and hotter numbers fueling tariff fears under Trump 2.0โmarkets are pricing in stalled disinflation, but reversals in used cars and apparel might ease pressures.
For investors, watch for PCE alignment (nowcast at 2.85% YoY) as it guides policy; a surprise below 2.8% could spark risk-on rallies, while 3%+ might delay easing and hit bonds. ๐๐ธ
๐ CPI Forecast Snapshot
| Metric | Nov 2025 Actual | Dec 2025 Nowcast | Expected Impact |
| -------------------- | --------------- | ---------------- | -------------------------- |
| Headline CPI (MoM) | +0.32% | +0.29% | Mild uptick from energy |
| Core CPI (YoY) | +2.95% | +2.99% | Sticky, watch housing |
| Overall YoY | +2.7% | +2.92% | Fed cut catalyst if <2.8% |
#CPIWatch
โ #USChinaDeal: Trade Truce Takes Shape in 2025
The #USChinaDeal marks a pivotal 2025 breakthrough in U.S.-China relations, with President Trump's administration securing a framework agreement in November following high-stakes talks in Busan, South Korea, and Londonโeasing tariffs to 10% for a year (until Nov 2026), resuming U.S. soybean purchases (China bought $14B worth in 2024 but fell short of Phase One goals amid the trade war), and lifting export curbs on rare earth minerals critical for EVs and tech.
This "handshake truce" (pending Xi's final nod) slashes total tariffs to 55% (including global baselines), ends antitrust probes on U.S. chipmakers like Qualcomm, and extends market exclusions until Dec 2026, boosting American farmers and industries while China pivots exports to counter tariffsโresulting in a record $1T trade surplus for Beijing in 11 months.
Amid ongoing fentanyl crackdowns and shipbuilding tensions, the deal signals de-escalation but leaves broader issues like tech access unresolved; markets rallied 2% on the news, with gold and BTC eyeing gains from stabilized supply chains. A win for global trade? Or temporary calm before the storm? ๐๐ผ
๐ Key Deal Highlights
โฆ Tariff Rollback: U.S. cuts to 10% on Chinese goods; China suspends retaliatory measures.
โฆ Soybean Surge: China recommits to $50B annual U.S. ag buys, up from halted 2018 levels.
โฆ Rare Earths Relief: 6-month export license easing for magnets vital to U.S. autos/defense.
โฆ Tech & Probes: Ends investigations into U.S. semis; delays Chinese firm restrictions.
#USChinaDeal
The #USChinaDeal marks a pivotal 2025 breakthrough in U.S.-China relations, with President Trump's administration securing a framework agreement in November following high-stakes talks in Busan, South Korea, and Londonโeasing tariffs to 10% for a year (until Nov 2026), resuming U.S. soybean purchases (China bought $14B worth in 2024 but fell short of Phase One goals amid the trade war), and lifting export curbs on rare earth minerals critical for EVs and tech.
This "handshake truce" (pending Xi's final nod) slashes total tariffs to 55% (including global baselines), ends antitrust probes on U.S. chipmakers like Qualcomm, and extends market exclusions until Dec 2026, boosting American farmers and industries while China pivots exports to counter tariffsโresulting in a record $1T trade surplus for Beijing in 11 months.
Amid ongoing fentanyl crackdowns and shipbuilding tensions, the deal signals de-escalation but leaves broader issues like tech access unresolved; markets rallied 2% on the news, with gold and BTC eyeing gains from stabilized supply chains. A win for global trade? Or temporary calm before the storm? ๐๐ผ
๐ Key Deal Highlights
โฆ Tariff Rollback: U.S. cuts to 10% on Chinese goods; China suspends retaliatory measures.
โฆ Soybean Surge: China recommits to $50B annual U.S. ag buys, up from halted 2018 levels.
โฆ Rare Earths Relief: 6-month export license easing for magnets vital to U.S. autos/defense.
โฆ Tech & Probes: Ends investigations into U.S. semis; delays Chinese firm restrictions.
#USChinaDeal
โ #FOMCWatch: Fed's December Pivot Point
#FOMCWatch is buzzing as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wraps its two-day meeting on December 10, 2025, with a highly anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut to 4.25-4.50%โthe third consecutive reduction amid cooling inflation (2.7% CPI) and a softening job market (unemployment at 4.2%).
Chair Jerome Powell's 2:30 PM ET presser could signal 2026's path: dovish hints of more easing (75% market odds for two cuts) might flood liquidity into risk assets, while hawkish tones on sticky inflation could spark sell-offs, as seen in past meetings where BTC dropped 5-10% post-announcement. For crypto traders, this "hawkish cut" dynamic historically boosts ETH and BTC toward $100K+ on dollar weakness, but watch for volatility spikesโposition for upside if guidance leans accommodative, with stops below key supports. ๐๐น
๐ Key Impacts Table
| Scenario | Rate Action | Crypto Reaction | Watch For |
| ------------ | --------------------------- | ---------------------------------------- | ----------------------- |
| Dovish Cut | 25bp + more easing signals | BTC/ETH rally 5-10% (liquidity boost) | Powell's SEP dot plot |
| Hawkish Hold | No cut or pause | 3-7% dip (risk-off) | Inflation data mentions |
| Neutral | 25bp with balanced outlook | Sideways consolidation | ETF flows post-meeting |
#FOMCWatch
#FOMCWatch is buzzing as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wraps its two-day meeting on December 10, 2025, with a highly anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut to 4.25-4.50%โthe third consecutive reduction amid cooling inflation (2.7% CPI) and a softening job market (unemployment at 4.2%).
Chair Jerome Powell's 2:30 PM ET presser could signal 2026's path: dovish hints of more easing (75% market odds for two cuts) might flood liquidity into risk assets, while hawkish tones on sticky inflation could spark sell-offs, as seen in past meetings where BTC dropped 5-10% post-announcement. For crypto traders, this "hawkish cut" dynamic historically boosts ETH and BTC toward $100K+ on dollar weakness, but watch for volatility spikesโposition for upside if guidance leans accommodative, with stops below key supports. ๐๐น
๐ Key Impacts Table
| Scenario | Rate Action | Crypto Reaction | Watch For |
| ------------ | --------------------------- | ---------------------------------------- | ----------------------- |
| Dovish Cut | 25bp + more easing signals | BTC/ETH rally 5-10% (liquidity boost) | Powell's SEP dot plot |
| Hawkish Hold | No cut or pause | 3-7% dip (risk-off) | Inflation data mentions |
| Neutral | 25bp with balanced outlook | Sideways consolidation | ETF flows post-meeting |
#FOMCWatch
โ BTC vs Gold Today (December 12, 2025)
Bitcoin (BTC) is rebounding to $93,000 after Fed-induced dips, up ~1% today amid institutional accumulation (47K+ BTC net inflows), but it lags gold's steady climb to $3,949/oz (+1.08%), fueled by central bank buys and lower yieldsโgold's outshone BTC year-to-date with โฌ100 in gold now worth โฌ146 vs. โฌ83 in BTC.
The BTC/XAU ratio shows gold's resilience in uncertainty, down 2.49% weekly, while BTC eyes $96,500 resistance or $87,000 support; long-term, BTC's 114% 5-year outperformance highlights its "digital gold" potential, but gold's lower volatility (30% less) makes it the safer hedge amid policy murkiness. Traders: Blend for diversificationโBTC for upside, gold for stability. ๐๐ช
๐ Quick Performance Table
| Asset | Current Price | 24h Change | YTD Return (from Jan 2025) |
| ----- | ------------- | ---------- | -------------------------- |
| BTC | $93,000 | +1% | -17% (down from highs) |
| Gold | $3,949/oz | +1.08% | +46% |
#BTCVSGOLD
Bitcoin (BTC) is rebounding to $93,000 after Fed-induced dips, up ~1% today amid institutional accumulation (47K+ BTC net inflows), but it lags gold's steady climb to $3,949/oz (+1.08%), fueled by central bank buys and lower yieldsโgold's outshone BTC year-to-date with โฌ100 in gold now worth โฌ146 vs. โฌ83 in BTC.
The BTC/XAU ratio shows gold's resilience in uncertainty, down 2.49% weekly, while BTC eyes $96,500 resistance or $87,000 support; long-term, BTC's 114% 5-year outperformance highlights its "digital gold" potential, but gold's lower volatility (30% less) makes it the safer hedge amid policy murkiness. Traders: Blend for diversificationโBTC for upside, gold for stability. ๐๐ช
๐ Quick Performance Table
| Asset | Current Price | 24h Change | YTD Return (from Jan 2025) |
| ----- | ------------- | ---------- | -------------------------- |
| BTC | $93,000 | +1% | -17% (down from highs) |
| Gold | $3,949/oz | +1.08% | +46% |
#BTCVSGOLD
#BinanceHODLerSOMI spotlights Somnia (SOMI), the 35th token in Binance's HODLer Airdrops programโa rewarding initiative for loyal BNB holders. Launched in September 2025, SOMI is the native token of Somnia, an EVM-compatible Layer 1 blockchain designed for mass consumer apps like immersive games and entertainment, powering gas fees, staking, and governance with a max supply of 1 billion tokens.
Binance airdropped 30 million SOMI (3% of supply) to eligible BNB stakers in Simple Earn or On-Chain Yields, boosting community engagement and listing SOMI on spot markets against USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, and TRY pairsโcomplete with a seed tag for early traders. This move highlights Binance's push for Web3 innovation, giving holders free access to promising projects while fostering long-term ecosystem growth.
#BinancehodlerSOMI
Binance airdropped 30 million SOMI (3% of supply) to eligible BNB stakers in Simple Earn or On-Chain Yields, boosting community engagement and listing SOMI on spot markets against USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, and TRY pairsโcomplete with a seed tag for early traders. This move highlights Binance's push for Web3 innovation, giving holders free access to promising projects while fostering long-term ecosystem growth.
#BinancehodlerSOMI
en|en|#USJobsData
Binance's market update today shows the global crypto cap at $3.07T, down 1.86% amid broader downturns, with ETH slipping 1.29% to $3,116 and BTC edging toward $90K ahead of Fed decisions.
Top gainers include LUNA (+38%), USTC (+20%), and SXP (+20%), while outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and NFT declines add caution, but Hong Kong's crypto reporting framework and Japan's tax cuts could boost sentiment.
No new coin listings announced for today, but recent additions like Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) and Meteora (MET) from November signal ongoing altcoin activityโwatch IRYS and MYX Finance for potential.
December listings per rumors. For investments, consider solid picks like BNB (holding strong fundamentals for ecosystem growth) and Chainlink (LINK, eyeing $16-$27 breakout on oracle demand), alongside emerging AI play DeepSnitch AI for 100x presale potential; always DYOR as volatility looms with regulatory FUD. ๐๐
#LorenzoProtocoln #MET
Top gainers include LUNA (+38%), USTC (+20%), and SXP (+20%), while outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and NFT declines add caution, but Hong Kong's crypto reporting framework and Japan's tax cuts could boost sentiment.
No new coin listings announced for today, but recent additions like Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) and Meteora (MET) from November signal ongoing altcoin activityโwatch IRYS and MYX Finance for potential.
December listings per rumors. For investments, consider solid picks like BNB (holding strong fundamentals for ecosystem growth) and Chainlink (LINK, eyeing $16-$27 breakout on oracle demand), alongside emerging AI play DeepSnitch AI for 100x presale potential; always DYOR as volatility looms with regulatory FUD. ๐๐
#LorenzoProtocoln #MET
Ethereum (ETH) is surging today at $3,125, up 2.37% in the last 24 hours with a market cap of $374.6B and $12B in trading volume, outpacing Bitcoin amid optimism over staking ETF approvals and tokenization trendsโETH hit a 4.79% intraday gain to $3,298, its highest since mid-November, after rebounding from the $2,450-$2,750 demand zone.
Technicals show bullish momentum with RSI climbing to 58 (from neutral) and a golden cross forming on the 4-hour chart, eyeing $3,400 resistance if BTC holds $60K; however, U.S. SEC regulatory whispers could trigger pullbacks, so traders should set stops below $3,000 for longs, targeting 3-5% upside on volume breaks above $13B. ๐
Here's a quick ETH price trend chart (last 5 days):
Date | Price (USD)
Dec 5 | 3,134
Dec 6 | 3,023
Dec 7 | 3,039
Dec 8 | 3,053
Dec 9 | 3,125
$ETH #ETH๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
Technicals show bullish momentum with RSI climbing to 58 (from neutral) and a golden cross forming on the 4-hour chart, eyeing $3,400 resistance if BTC holds $60K; however, U.S. SEC regulatory whispers could trigger pullbacks, so traders should set stops below $3,000 for longs, targeting 3-5% upside on volume breaks above $13B. ๐
Here's a quick ETH price trend chart (last 5 days):
Date | Price (USD)
Dec 5 | 3,134
Dec 6 | 3,023
Dec 7 | 3,039
Dec 8 | 3,053
Dec 9 | 3,125
$ETH #ETH๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
Ethereum (ETH) is trading at around $3,052 today, up a modest 0.4% in the last 24 hours amid steady market consolidation, with a market cap of $366B and 24-hour volume hitting $12B, showing solid liquidity but no major breakout yet.
Technicals point to bullish signals as ETH holds key support at $3,000 after rebounding from last week's dip below $2,900, with RSI at 55 (neutral) and a potential push toward $3,200 resistance.
If Bitcoin stabilizes above $60K; watch for ETF inflows and layer-2 scaling updates driving sentiment, though regulatory FUD from U.S. SEC chatter could cap gains short-term. Traders should eye stop-losses below $2,950 for longs, targeting 2-3% upside on volume spikes. ๐
Here's a quick price trend chart for ETH (last 5 days):
Date | Price (USD)
Dec 4 | 3,135
Dec 5 | 3,134
Dec 6 | 3,023
Dec 7 | 3,039
Dec 8 | 3,053
#Ethereum #ETH๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
Technicals point to bullish signals as ETH holds key support at $3,000 after rebounding from last week's dip below $2,900, with RSI at 55 (neutral) and a potential push toward $3,200 resistance.
If Bitcoin stabilizes above $60K; watch for ETF inflows and layer-2 scaling updates driving sentiment, though regulatory FUD from U.S. SEC chatter could cap gains short-term. Traders should eye stop-losses below $2,950 for longs, targeting 2-3% upside on volume spikes. ๐
Here's a quick price trend chart for ETH (last 5 days):
Date | Price (USD)
Dec 4 | 3,135
Dec 5 | 3,134
Dec 6 | 3,023
Dec 7 | 3,039
Dec 8 | 3,053
#Ethereum #ETH๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
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Hereโs a quick, simple way to spot trade on the Binance app:
1. Open the Binance app and go to the Trade section.
2. Choose a trading pair you want (like BTC/USDT).
3. Select your order type:
โฆ Market Order to buy/sell instantly at current price
โฆ Limit Order to set your price and wait for the market to reach it
4. Enter the amount to trade and confirm.
5. Monitor your open trades in the portfolio section.
1. Open the Binance app and go to the Trade section.
2. Choose a trading pair you want (like BTC/USDT).
3. Select your order type:
โฆ Market Order to buy/sell instantly at current price
โฆ Limit Order to set your price and wait for the market to reach it
4. Enter the amount to trade and confirm.
5. Monitor your open trades in the portfolio section.
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