I have recently become increasingly annoyed by one thing:
Any market trend can be forcibly interpreted as a "bull market signal."
A slight rise is seen as the "main upward wave starting";
A drop is interpreted as "washing out to provide an opportunity to get in";
Even when altcoins reach historical lows, it can be said to be the "last drop, emotions cleared."
The question is—
If any trend can prove the existence of a bull market, does the term itself still have any meaning?
The more realistic question is actually quite simple:
Whether the account has thickened is the only effective way to verify the market trend.
A verbal bull market and the profits in one's wallet have never been the same thing.
Looking back at the past few months, during that phase when "bull market expectations were highest,"
How many people were chasing highs, replenishing stocks, and leveraging?
Now looking at the account curves, the conclusion has actually been made very clear.
I do not deny that there will be real trend markets in the future,
But at least currently, what I see resembles a rebound structure tested repeatedly by liquidity,
Rather than a cycle where funds are fully entering and risk appetite is continuously expanding.
So I will actually remain vigilant towards accounts that output "the bull market is here" at fixed times every day.
They never care where you bought, or how much drawdown you can bear,
They only need someone in the market to always keep excited.
When emotions are repeatedly manufactured, and narratives are endlessly reused,
Ultimately, those who bear the volatility are never the ones shouting.
If even the question of "Is it a bull market?" cannot be tested with profits,
Then it may not be about judging the market,
But rather finding a reason to continue betting on oneself.