美联储fomc会议

$DOGE $ETH 🔥【Tonight's Big Bang! The Non-Farm Data, the "King Bomb" that Determines Fate, is Here!】

Tonight, the U.S. November non-farm report is set to be released! This isn't just ordinary data; it's the ultimate judge of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations. If the data disappoints, the global celebration and expectations of a flood of liquidity will directly inject adrenaline into the crypto market! But if the data exceeds expectations, well, the dreams of interest rate cuts will cool down immediately, and the market might shudder.

On the other side, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike knife is still hanging overhead! The clouds of tightening liquidity are getting heavier. Last night, BTC was frightened and plunged towards $85,000. Looking back at this year, every time Japan raised rates, Bitcoin plummeted like it was jumping off a cliff, falling harder each time. At the end of the year, money is already tight, and this market really doesn’t bring optimism. The rebound can't even touch the critical level of $95,000, and it’s probably just a matter of time before it breaks below $80,000 at the beginning of next year.

So, how will you bet? Tonight's non-farm data is either the fuse for a New Year's celebration or the ice water that completely douses hope? Comment section, waiting for your insights! You can follow Elon Musk's little 🔥milk🔥🐶
P🔥U🔥P🔥P🔥I🔥E🔥欢迎来聊天室聊聊！ #加密市场观察 #美国初请失业金人数 #巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #美联储FOMC会议

December 17 morning BTC, ETH market prediction analysis

1. BTC market analysis

BTC price first surged from a low of 86038.5 to a new high of 88143.9, then oscillated back and found support near 87400, rebounding to 87720.5 in the morning. Overall, it shows a repair trend after a surge and subsequent retreat, with fluctuation concentrated between 87400-88000. 87400 is a strong short-term support level, followed by 87000 as the lower edge of the previous oscillation platform; if it falls below 87400, it is highly likely to test the strength of 87000 support. 88143.9 is the core resistance level, followed by 88000 as an integer resistance; if it stabilizes above 87800, it is expected to challenge 88143.9, and a breakthrough would open up upward space.
In the morning, BTC is in a rebound repair stage, likely oscillating in the 87500-88000 range in the short term. If it can break through 88000, the bullish trend will strengthen.

Operation strategy
- Long: Stabilize in the range of 87000-87400 on a pullback, go long with light positions, stop loss below 87000, target at 87800-88000. If it continues to break through 88000, look up to 88150-88750.
- Short: Encounter resistance in the range of 87800-88000 on a rebound, go short with light positions, stop loss above 88200, target at 87000-87400. If it continues to fall below 87000, look down to 86100-86400.

2. ETH market analysis

After ETH price dropped to a stage low of 2885.46, it rebounded strongly, surged to 2982.10, and then fell back, followed by horizontal consolidation near 2950. In the morning, it surged again to above 2970, currently quoted at 2956.63, showing a high-level oscillation pattern after a deep V rebound, with bullish rebound momentum relatively stronger.
2950 is an important short-term support level, followed by 2940 as the support of the rebound trend line; if it falls below 2950, attention should be paid to the support in the range of 2940-2930. 2982.10 is a stage resistance level, followed by 2970 as a short-term rebound pressure zone.
In the morning, ETH bullish momentum is dominant, likely oscillating bullish in the short term.

Operation strategy
- Long: Stabilize in the range of 2935-2945 on a pullback, go long with light positions, stop loss below 2930, target at 2965-2975. If it continues to stabilize above 2975, it is expected to challenge 2982 or even the integer level of 3000.
- Short: Encounter resistance in the range of 2965-2975 on a rebound, go short with light positions, stop loss above 2985, target at 2950-2940. If it continues to fall below 2940, look down to 2915-2900.

BTC and ETH are both significantly restrained/supported by previous highs and lows in the short term, attention should be paid to the breakthrough/effectiveness of key price levels to avoid chasing highs and killing lows.
#巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC $
$ETH

 

Is the bear market starting? Not yet, it is on the way. $BTC #巨鲸动向

Bitcoin dropped from 126,000 to 100,000, which is not a crash at all, just a warm-up. In the last bull market, Huobi sold, FTX collapsed, and LUNA hit zero. This is not a coincidence; it is an inevitable reckoning at the end of a bull market.

This round will not be gentle; exchanges will have issues, and DeFi will run away. After Bitcoin falls 50%, 90% of altcoins will hit zero. The real time to go all in is when panic reaches a point where no one dares to speak.

The halving cycle remains unchanged; the historical high in October 2025 is the starting point of the bear market, and the next year will be a war of attrition. The lowest point is 30,000 to 60,000, and dropping below 60,000 is almost a certainty. Wait until the fear index drops below 10 before considering getting in.

Remember: Bull markets inflate people, bear markets determine fate. First survive, wait for the deep pits, and embrace the extremes.

Always be optimistic, but only be greedy when others are in despair. $ETH #美联储FOMC会议

12.17 Early Morning BTC&ETH Prediction Analysis

1. BTC

85073 is the absolute recent low point, 85500-86000 is a strong support range above this low point. The price previously completed a bottoming process and started to rebound in this range, indicating that there is capital support in this area; from a trend perspective, BTC is overall in a major rebound rhythm from the low, and a pullback to the support range is a reasonable time for low buying.
If it falls below 85000, it indicates that the previous support has failed, and there is a high probability that market selling pressure will increase, requiring decisive stop-loss and exit.
If it breaks through 89000, it means the bulls have strongly broken the resistance level, and the short-term trend will shift to a one-sided upward movement, requiring bears to stop loss to avoid further losses.

Bullish Key Range: 87000-87200
If BTC rebounds and stabilizes in this range without falling below the lower edge of 87000, the short-term bullish signal is clear, aiming for profits at 88000-88500. If it stabilizes at 88500, it can aim for 88800-89400.

Bearish Key Range: 86800-86600
If BTC effectively falls below this range and the rebound fails to recover above 86800, a short-term bearish trend is established, targeting profits down to 86000-85500. If it falls below 85500, it can aim down to 85000-84700.

2. ETH
2870 is the lowest point of the recent pullback, and 2850 is the psychological support level below this low point. The price quickly rebounded after touching 2870, proving that there is capital bottom-hunting in this area; although ETH is overall weaker than BTC, there is a technical rebound demand after a short-term oversold condition, making the support range a high value for bulls.
If it falls below 2830, it indicates that the support range has been effectively broken, and market selling pressure will further release, requiring bulls to stop loss.
If it breaks through the 3000 round number, it indicates that the bulls have strongly broken the pressure, reversing the short-term trend, requiring bears to stop loss timely.

Bullish Key Range: 2930-2940
If ETH stabilizes in this range and the pullback does not fall below the lower edge of 2930, the short-term bullish trend is established, targeting profits up to 2970-2980. If it stabilizes at 2980, it can aim for 2995-3025.

Bearish Key Range: 2910-2920
If ETH effectively falls below this range and the rebound cannot recover above 2920, a short-term bearish trend is formed, targeting down to 2870-2850 points. If it falls below 2850, it can aim down to 2830-2800
#加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC $ETH

Instead of guessing the non-farm payroll data here, it's better to wait for the data to come out before entering the market.

What's the difference between entering now and gambling? You save the time it takes to go to Macau.

Tonight's non-farm payroll includes data for October and November.

Mr. Powell's comments also clearly indicate that non-farm payroll and inflation data will directly affect expectations for interest rate cuts next year.

If non-farm payroll is above expectations, the probability of rate cuts decreases, which is bearish. Conversely, if below expectations, it is bullish.

Just wait quietly.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议

I have recently become increasingly annoyed by one thing:
Any market trend can be forcibly interpreted as a "bull market signal."

A slight rise is seen as the "main upward wave starting";
A drop is interpreted as "washing out to provide an opportunity to get in";
Even when altcoins reach historical lows, it can be said to be the "last drop, emotions cleared."

The question is—
If any trend can prove the existence of a bull market, does the term itself still have any meaning?

The more realistic question is actually quite simple:
Whether the account has thickened is the only effective way to verify the market trend.
A verbal bull market and the profits in one's wallet have never been the same thing.

Looking back at the past few months, during that phase when "bull market expectations were highest,"
How many people were chasing highs, replenishing stocks, and leveraging?
Now looking at the account curves, the conclusion has actually been made very clear.

I do not deny that there will be real trend markets in the future,
But at least currently, what I see resembles a rebound structure tested repeatedly by liquidity,
Rather than a cycle where funds are fully entering and risk appetite is continuously expanding.

So I will actually remain vigilant towards accounts that output "the bull market is here" at fixed times every day.
They never care where you bought, or how much drawdown you can bear,
They only need someone in the market to always keep excited.

When emotions are repeatedly manufactured, and narratives are endlessly reused,
Ultimately, those who bear the volatility are never the ones shouting.

If even the question of "Is it a bull market?" cannot be tested with profits,
Then it may not be about judging the market,
But rather finding a reason to continue betting on oneself.

#美联储FOMC会议

New to futures contracts and afraid of liquidation? With just 1000U, you can turn things around! $PIPPIN

Recently, many newcomers have asked me: with only 1000U in hand, how can I trade futures without losing? Let me share some practical tips that can help you avoid many pitfalls. $LINK

✅ First, don't go all in! I generally advise newcomers to split their capital into 5 parts, with each part being 200U, using a leverage of 10 times is enough. Don't think about opening positions with 50 times leverage; if the market moves by just 2%, you'll panic and lose even faster.

✅ Keep the remaining 800U in a stable investment, don’t touch it. If you lose 200U, don’t think about averaging down! I used to do that, and the more I averaged down, the deeper I fell, until I finally realized: stop, think about "why did I lose," take a break for a day or two before making a move. Bitcoin fluctuates daily, and there are opportunities every month; protecting your capital is the most important.

✅ After adjusting your mindset, break down the 800U into smaller portions for trading, and be more cautious each time. If you earn 500U, remember to take out 300U first, leaving 200U to continue trading - having profits in hand stabilizes your mindset, so you won’t panic and lose everything at once.

⚠️ Remember, with 10x leverage in futures, if the direction is wrong by 10%, you get liquidated; it’s normal for BTC to fluctuate by 20% in a year. Experienced traders have a win rate of 60%, which is already impressive; position management is more important than anything else. Trading with all your capital, even if you made a lot before, can lead to a total loss.

📌 Discipline must be upheld:

1. If you lose more than 2% of your total capital in a day, be alert; if you lose 6%, close out losing contracts, set take profits for profitable ones, and take a break for 2-3 days.

2. Don’t chase prices; use the “pyramid method” to add positions when profitable, or wait for a pullback.

3. With a 200% profit margin, set a 40% pullback take profit for half and ensure the other half is break-even, preventing large profits from turning into losses.

💡 Key points for beginners:

1. Open positions with 300-500U, with leverage of 5-10 times is just right.

2. Set stop-loss every time you enter (if you lose 100-200U, exit).

3. Use “30% profit pullback” for take profit.

4. Take profits as you earn; each trade with 1000U is enough for practice.

I only share real trading experiences, not empty promises. Our team still has openings; if you want to learn the methods and turn your situation around, feel free to join us! $BTC #美联储FOMC会议

The Nikkei has started to react, and as we get closer to the rate hike on December 19, it may drop even more sharply! The non-farm payroll data is about to be released, and since Powell's last speech, the market has been optimistic about this data, which will affect everyone's expectations for interest rate cuts moving forward—definitely something to pay close attention to.

In my personal view, based on previous situations, this data will not be bad; it will only get better. The U.S. stock market is showing signs of collapse, and now it just needs that final push.

For today's trading rhythm, I've mentioned before that the Nikkei and cryptocurrency have a strong correlation. With it hovering below 87000 overnight, we can take light short positions during the Asian and European sessions, and then increase positions on rebounds, targeting around 83000.

As for the second cryptocurrency, it has already fallen below 3000, and it will quickly reach 2650; just short it accordingly.

That's all I have to say; the operation is very simple, and everyone understands it. The key is to manage your positions well.
#美联储降息 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储FOMC会议 #美SEC代币化股票交易计划 #美国ADP数据超预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Important Reminder 💥💥

Tonight, they will announce the unemployment rate for November and the non-farm payroll numbers. The market currently predicts 50,000 non-farm jobs for November and an unemployment rate of 4.4%. The Nasdaq in the US fell early last night.
Sister Lu predicts that the non-farm data announced tonight, $ETH , will rebound a bit before continuing to fall.

In the evening, God Dan is making arrangements. If you want to follow the specific operations, check the chat room!!

#巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议

On that day, LUNA collapsed, pulling me down from the high. My account plummeted from two million to less than fifty thousand in an instant. Sitting in the bathroom, my mind was blank, and I couldn't see anything clearly. Then, a message popped up on my phone: "Sister, the surgery fee for mom needs to be paid." $ACE

At that moment, I truly understood—this was not a game; it was a game of responsibility. $FORM

Since then, I completely changed my thinking about trading. I no longer pursued the dreams of getting rich overnight, nor did I gamble with high leverage. I learned to treat trading as a survival skill and gradually adjusted my pace.

I started to summarize my experiences and formulate my own trading manual. We no longer chase those illusory myths; we only focus on stable compound interest. Our rules are simple yet powerful:

1. Position layering, no blind increase in positions, gradually scale up;

2. Strictly control each trade's stop-loss within 1%, admit mistakes if wrong;

3. Only take certain opportunities, enter when the four-hour and daily charts both strengthen, and trading volume significantly increases;

4. During a breakout, the volume must keep up, and it is only effective if it holds the key support for three days.

On this journey, the team has grown from just a dozen people at the beginning to now over a thousand. We have had zero liquidations for 28 consecutive months. Some in the team have paid off their mortgages, while others have started to accumulate security funds for their families. Looking back, the pain of that collapse has become my most valuable asset.

There are no miracles in the crypto world, only rules. Success is not a moment of glory but a stable account, a calm mind, and family members who can sleep peacefully. One person cannot go as far as a team; true strength comes from systems and collaboration. #美联储FOMC会议 $OG #ETH走势分析

🌍 The Bank of Japan is deciding the short-term fate of the cryptocurrency market

A macro bomb that many underestimate: the Bank of Japan.

The market generally expects——

👉 The Bank of Japan to raise interest rates this week

On the surface, it's a matter of the yen,

In essence, it's a matter of global liquidity.

Once interest rates are raised:

The yen strengthens

Yen carry trades are forced to unwind

Global funds flow back to Japan

Risk assets face unified pressure

📉 Historically similar situations: BTC has experienced severe fluctuations of 20%–30%

This is not a fluctuation that can be explained by technical factors,

But rather the liquidity extraction machine being activated.

📌 Conclusion in one sentence:
The biggest sword hanging over the market now is not the shanzhai, but the Bank of Japan. $BTC $ETH #美联储FOMC会议 #ETH走势分析

Bitcoin faces a crucial test, standing in the eye of the storm of global central banks this week

This week is destined to be anything but calm.
Tonight's non-farm payroll data, Thursday's US CPI, and Friday's Bank of Japan policy meeting are three major events happening in a very rare time window.

Why is this week particularly important?
Because starting next week, the US market will gradually enter the rhythm of the Christmas holiday, leading to a decrease in trading activity and a noticeable reduction in the density of news. In other words, this week is likely to be the most intense in terms of news and emotional fluctuations before the end of the year, and many medium-term directions will be set in this phase.

The current market is in a state of "calm on the surface, with undercurrents surging"; it appears to be stagnant, but is actually waiting for a catalyst.
Non-farm payrolls affect interest rate cut expectations, CPI determines the inflation narrative, and if Japan signals a policy change, global liquidity will be influenced—three forces acting simultaneously, ultimately reflecting on the same K-line.

In summary:
This is the calm before the storm, as well as the last brewing period before direction selection.

Every next step is worth paying close attention to.
Don't be misled by the surface calm, as real fluctuations often appear at such times. #巨鲸动向
#美联储降息
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察
#美联储FOMC会议

$ETH Bold move! ETH is also experiencing a continuation of the downward trend after breaking the ascending structure, and the trend is very clear. I just opened a short position around 2938.

Yesterday's rebound was very weak, and just as it lifted its head, it was pushed back down, clearly a trap for longs. It has now broken key support, and there are no signs of a stop in the daily chart, so I do not recommend trying to catch the bottom.

Short-term bearish momentum has slightly slowed down, and it might rebound to around 3000, but the space is limited; the rebound is still an opportunity to short, with the target initially set for a double; if it breaks further, we will look even lower. Overall, I maintain a bearish outlook.

Making money is that simple; you may not agree, but here, even a tiger lies down for me, and a dragon stays coiled for me! Strong flipping back to recover in the chat room speed
#美国初请失业金人数 #美联储FOMC会议 #巨鲸动向 #BinanceABCs

From 20,000 to 50 million, I used this "stupid method" to reverse the crypto market! $FORM

From Guangdong to Shanghai, 6 years in the crypto market, I turned 20,000 principal into 50 million! This is not a myth, nor luck, but a simple yet extremely effective "stupid method." Today, I am giving you 6 practical iron rules—understanding 1 rule can save you 100,000, mastering 3 rules can outperform 90% of retail investors! $ACE

BTC Section

① Rapid rise and slow fall, don't panic: After a quick surge, if it slowly declines, that's the market makers washing the盘, don't rush to exit! But if it suddenly skyrockets and then rapidly crashes (like a 20% rise followed by a 15% drop), that is definitely a trap for selling; if you run slowly, you'll lose everything!

② Rapid fall and slow rise, don't catch the bottom: When you see a big drop and a rebound, don't easily "look for the bottom"! Market makers never show mercy, don't be blinded by being "at the bottom."

ETH Section

③ Top volume, identify risk: High volume fluctuations at a high level may be the last chance for a spike; but if the trading volume suddenly shrinks and the market becomes quiet, the danger of a crash is imminent!

④ Bottom volume, look for sustainability: A single-day massive volume rebound is mostly a bait, only after a volume contraction and then a moderate increase in volume, is when the market makers are quietly building positions.

SOL Section

⑤ Volume hides the code of market sentiment: Trading cryptocurrencies is about trading emotions! Trading volume is the barometer of market consensus; the candlestick chart only shows the surface, while volume is the most critical.

Mindset Section

⑥ The "No" character heart refining method: Without obsession, one can wait for opportunities; without greed, avoid chasing highs; without fear, dare to position during market panic—this is the mentality of top traders!

The crypto market never lacks opportunities; what it lacks are those who have "controlled hands" and "understanding eyes." I went from 20,000 to 50 million, not because I moved fast, but because I grasped the wisdom of this "stupid method"—smart people are likely to lose, but the market favors those "fools" who follow the rules!

Want to walk this path with me? Join my team, and together we will tackle the crypto market using the "stupid method"! 🔥#美联储降息 $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储FOMC会议

Recently, fans have been asking crazily: How did 10,000 U turn into 600,000 U? Today, Brother Zheng will reveal this outrageous operation!

If you only have 10,000 U as capital and want to make a name for yourself in the cryptocurrency space, do you really have to rely on luck, listening to rumors, or blindly investing?

I used to do the same thing, and I ended up losing everything! Until I figured out a set of "rolling warehouse techniques", 10,000 U skyrocketed like a rocket to 600,000 U in less than a month, without any liquidation, without blind betting—this is not bragging, it's real results!

My rolling warehouse logic can be summed up in four words: small wins compound! At the beginning, I set a small goal: to earn only 3 - 5% daily. Don't underestimate this small amount; the power of compounding is comparable to an atomic bomb explosion!

I only engage in trades that guarantee profit, with a success rate consistently above 70%, relying on these three "killer techniques":

Find the rhythm: go with the trend, never against it! Focus on pullback opportunities within an upward trend, simple and straightforward, like picking up money! Absolutely avoid chasing highs and panic selling, only eat the most stable "meat" in the middle.

Control position: only move half of the capital, with each position not exceeding 50% of the total. Even if wrong, there is still a chance to remedy it. If profitable, I increase the position in batches; if it fails, I stop loss without feeling hurt, as the loss is just profit.

Don't be greedy: run away once you've made a profit, daily settlement mentality! Only do 1 - 2 trades a day, take a break after making a profit to prevent sudden market reversals. Review every evening; if I make a mistake, I note it down and optimize the strategy for the next day.

Here’s a glimpse of my real trading snippets (just the tip of the iceberg):

On May 16, ETH broke through the consolidation zone, decisively went long, easily making a profit of 850 U;

On June 5, ARB saw reduced volume and a buying point, quick in and out, profiting 1200 U;

On July 21, BNB broke through the triangular convergence and surged with volume, profiting 2150 U;

On August 12, after the market consolidated for several days, it surged back up, directly catching a wave of main rise, doubling in one go!

Step by step, from 10,000 U → 18,000 U → 32,000 U → 71000 U… until now, the account balance is 600,000 U! And I am still insisting on two things: only pursue opportunities I understand, and strictly follow the plan.

Many people ask me: What signals should I look for? How to judge if the market is about to take off? Where to buy, where to sell? Actually, it's not hard, but it's not simple either. Follow Brother Zheng for more tips on getting rich through trading cryptocurrencies, waiting for you to grab them! #BinanceABCs #美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议