黄帝论趋势

$BTC, $ETH are key focuses!

Whether it’s spot or contract trading strategies, or how to get out of a bad position, I have ideas for you. I have opened the chat room function, feel free to join anytime to discuss together!
#美联储降息 #巨鲸动向

Damn, it's profitable again!

Big things are happening! Retail investors' survival rules! Dual liquidity shock from Japan and the US, a wave of $850 million in cryptocurrency liquidations is coming!

Today's core focus of the cryptocurrency market is undoubtedly a violent deleveraging triggered by multiple macroeconomic headwinds. The market plunged from calm to panic within a few hours, with Bitcoin once dropping over 6%, and the total liquidation amount exceeding $850 million.

Macro bomb
Bank of Japan interest rate hike: As expected, a 25 basis point increase, but hinted at the possibility of more to come.
US inflation: November core PCE year-on-year at 2.7%, higher than expected, indicating sticky inflation.
These two forces combined create the worst liquidity scenario of Japan's tightening + the US's non-easing, completely reversing the market's easing expectations.

Capital bleeding
The net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETF in the US reached as high as $785 million in a single day, marking the third highest record in history.
The most important institutional buying power in the market has turned into strong selling pressure, exacerbating the price decline.

Market performance​
1. Bitcoin: Rapidly plummeted from around $93,000, hitting a low of $87,300.
2. Ethereum: Simultaneously crashed, falling below $2,900, with a low of $2,820.
Mainstream coins have broken down, technical patterns have worsened, and market sentiment has sharply declined.

Leverage cleaning​
In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount across the network reached $853 million, with over 230,000 traders being forcibly liquidated.
Highly leveraged long positions have been massively cleared, forming a vicious cycle of decline → liquidation → selling, amplifying the drop.

At such times, the Yellow Emperor would lead everyone to ambush with $ETH, $BTC expected to earn 200 points is not a problem. Friends who want to seize this big opportunity come to 聊天室 to gather, leading you to avoid various pitfalls and seize every good opportunity to make money! #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

Family! The liquidation data for $BTC is simply explosive! 🔥

The range of 82100-84000 has now become a solid wall! During the previous crash, all the bulls were forcibly liquidated at this position, and the orders piled up higher than mountains—now as soon as the bears are liquidated, a rush to buy will immediately occur, and the rebound will be like riding a rocket! 🚀

Looking at the death line of 90000-91300, the liquidation map is glaringly yellow! During the last rebound, the bears collectively got liquidated at this position. If it can break through, the bears will be forced to chase prices at high levels, and the price will take off directly; if it gets pushed back down, the bulls will be collectively slaughtered, and the price will crash through the floor! 💥

The 24-hour liquidation volume has soared to 123 million dollars! Both sides are fully leveraged, stabbing each other with knives, and the battlefield is almost turned into ruins! The market is currently stuck between these two life-and-death lines, and a shocking market movement could break out at any time. Keep a close eye on the market, missing this wave will be a big regret! 👀

At this time, the Yellow Emperor will lead everyone to ambush a position in $BTC, expecting to earn 200 points without any problem. Friends who want to seize this big opportunity can gather in the chat room, where we will help you avoid various pitfalls, analyze the subsequent capital movements in real-time, and seize every good opportunity to make money! #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Is Bitcoin about to crash? Gold and silver are skyrocketing, danger signals are all over! ⚠️
$BTC is under immense pressure, the alarm is almost deafening! 📉
Gold and silver prices have surged to historic highs, and long-time Bitcoin bear Peter Schiff is back to say: Bitcoin will be the first to crash, and all the funds are flowing back to traditional safe-haven assets!
Why the panic? Look at these data👇
✅ Schiff's crazy warning
Peter Schiff claims: Bitcoin is the first asset bubble to burst, and investors are stuffing money into gold and silver.
✅ Gold and silver are going crazy
• 🪙 Silver surged +1.60 in a single day, breaking through 66
• 🏆 Gold soared to 4,300, hovering near historic highs, and Schiff is making bold statements: Silver will reach 70, and gold will soon break records!
✅ The dollar is worthless = everyone is fleeing
Schiff says the dollar is in shambles, no one trusts treasury bonds, and all the money is pouring into precious metals, while no one cares about cryptocurrencies.
✅ Is the Bitcoin safe-haven myth about to be shattered?
Schiff adds: Those who bought Bitcoin to hedge against a dollar crash, don't cry when it falls, it will be too late!
Many are singing the same bearish tune 👀
✔️ Bloomberg expert Mike McGlone warns: If demand continues to cool, Bitcoin will have to fall back to the bottom.
✔️ 10x Research says: Crypto hedge funds are set to redeem 10-20 billion, massive selling pressure by year-end!
💰 Why are precious metals rising like this?
• 📉 The dollar has hit rock bottom
• 🏦 The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026
• 🔻 The lower the interest rates, the more desirable non-yielding assets like gold and silver become
But the bulls are still holding on! 🐂
Michael Saylor claims: Bitcoin's market cap will definitely surpass gold within ten years! 🚀
⚫🟡 What will happen to Bitcoin?
📉 Will it crash and then rebound?
📈 Or will it pretend to crash while it actually takes off?

Is it possible to turn an initial 50,000 USD into 500,000 USD? What I want to say is, in just three months, a new round of flipping training camp is being prepared, if you want to keep up and witness it, 聊天室 gather! #美国初请失业金人数 #美国非农数据超预期

Important news for the family! On December 19th, Binance Alpha is going to make a big move! It will be the first platform to launch the zkPass (ZKP) project!

This opportunity is quite rare. As long as you are a qualified user, once Alpha starts trading, you can go to the event page to use Binance Alpha points to claim airdrops. However, the specifics on how to claim and how much will be announced later by the official team.

I think this wave of benefits is worth looking forward to. Binance Alpha has always been quite forward-thinking, and this time launching zkPass might be a new trend. Everyone should keep their eyes peeled and quickly follow Binance's official channels, so you can be the first to know when there is news, and don’t miss this great opportunity!

Something big is coming! A fantastic deal is about to be announced! The car is too heavy to move! After careful consideration, I still choose to share at 聊天室! If you want to go on the highway, you can call me at #ETH走势分析 #美国ADP数据超预期

In the cryptocurrency world, turning funds into ten times in 3 months is not a dream! My fan Ah Jun is a living example; three months ago, he only had 10,000 U in his account. I shared three trading iron rules with him, and after 90 days, his account skyrocketed to 100,000 U. Today, I'm going to reveal this replicable method, and if you follow it, you will surely succeed!

First Iron Rule: Diversify your funds, don't go all in
Don't bet all 10,000 U at once; it should be split into three parts. Use 3,500 U for short-term trading, making at most two trades a day. If you incur losses, quickly withdraw at the stop-loss point without hesitation; allocate another 3,500 U for trend trading. If the weekly chart hasn't risen, wait with a vacant position; keep the remaining 3,000 U for emergencies to ensure account safety. If you go all in, a small mistake could lead to liquidation; diversifying investments helps control risks.

Second Iron Rule: Only trade strong trends, don’t be greedy for small gains
If the daily moving average indicates no increase, simply stay out of the market and avoid random operations. Enter the market only if trading volume breaks previous highs and the closing price firmly stays above. If you earn 30%, quickly withdraw half of your funds to secure profits, and set a trailing stop-loss for the remaining part to continue following the trend. Patience is crucial; don't always think about chasing high profits; there will be many opportunities, so don't rush.

Third Iron Rule: Stay emotionally stable and maintain strict discipline
Before entering the market, set rules for yourself and write a trading commitment: if you lose 5%, automatically close the position; if you gain 10%, adjust the stop-loss to the break-even point, and let the rest be determined by the market. The key to trading is execution; emotions are the easiest to disrupt, so you must control them.

There are plenty of opportunities in the cryptocurrency world, but it lacks traders who can uphold their principles and strictly adhere to discipline. The funds are limited, but opportunities are infinite. Only by firmly remembering these three rules can you continue to profit amidst market fluctuations. Adjust your trading strategy immediately; who knows, the next person to turn 10,000 U into 100,000 U might be you!

Is it possible to turn 50,000 U into 500,000 U? What I want to say is, it's just a matter of 3 months; a new round of intensive training camp is being prepared. If you want to keep up and witness it, 聊天室 gather! #ETH走势分析

The Ethereum life-and-death catastrophe is upon us! Beginners, take a quick look; missing this wave could lead to significant losses!

Ethereum is currently at a critical juncture, facing fierce competition between bulls and bears. From a technical perspective, the bearish trend is quite evident, with prices being suppressed by the moving average system, struggling within a narrow space. However, some momentum indicators also reveal potential signs of a rebound, but overall risk still leans towards the downside.

On-chain data brings some positive factors. The low inventory on exchanges indicates that there aren't many chips available for sale in the market, and whales buying against the trend also show that there is capital positioning at lower levels, providing some support for Ethereum's price. However, the macro environment is not optimistic. The Bank of Japan's interest rate hikes, unclear Federal Reserve policies, and year-end capital recovery may all reduce market liquidity, negatively impacting Ethereum’s price.

Regarding the future market, there are three possibilities. If the price falls below $2930, it may trigger panic selling, leading to further price drops; if it can break through $2970 and stabilize, there will be an opportunity to challenge the upper resistance zone and boost market confidence; it is also possible to continue oscillating within a narrow range.

Based on the above situation, different investors should adopt different strategies. Short-term traders should strictly control risks; before the price clearly breaks through key levels, it is advisable to remain cautious, operate with light positions, and set stop-loss orders. Medium to long-term investors can focus on Ethereum's fundamentals and ecological development. In the current price range, especially if it drops to $2850 - $2900, they may consider gradually positioning quality assets but should avoid large single investments. At the same time, all investors must remember to reduce leverage, set key stop-losses, and maintain liquidity, which are essential risk control principles. When the market direction is unclear, stay calm and patient, waiting for the market to provide answers before taking action.

At such times, the Yellow Emperor will lead everyone to stealthily position themselves with $ETH, expecting to earn 200 points without issue. Friends who want to seize this great opportunity should gather at 聊天室, guiding you to avoid various pitfalls, disassembling subsequent capital trends at the first moment, and seizing every good opportunity to make money! #加密市场观察

The big one is coming! The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates on December 19, which could trigger a crypto crash, and leveraged bubbles are facing liquidation.

For the past few decades, Japan's interest rates have been near zero, making the yen the cheapest borrowing tool in the world. Investment institutions love to engage in arbitrage trading: borrowing yen to invest in high-yield assets, such as cryptocurrencies, by exchanging yen for dollars. However, after the interest rate hike, the cost of borrowing yen will rise, making the business unprofitable. Large institutions will sell high-risk assets to exchange back for yen to repay debts, leading to a collective market sell-off and price drops. Historical data shows that Bitcoin often experiences significant corrections after the Bank of Japan raises interest rates.

This rate hike coincides with the market's weak points: high leverage, where price drops trigger a large number of forced liquidations, creating a vicious cycle; panic emotions and spreading fear can easily lead to irrational sell-offs; the market is still in a tug-of-war between Japan's interest rate hike and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with short-term selling pressure from Japan's rate hike potentially stronger, while medium- to long-term liquidity direction is determined by the Federal Reserve's rate cuts.

Arbitrage trading refers to investors borrowing low-interest yen to exchange for high-yield currencies to invest in high-risk assets. A rate hike increases the cost of borrowing yen and appreciates the yen, squeezing profits and exchange rate gains, prompting investors to sell assets to exchange back for yen.

$ETH market trend: In the moving average system, the price is above MA7 and close to MA30; observe if MA7 can flatten and tilt upward; the MACD indicator's DIF line is rising, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with an upward breakout probability of no less than 50%. Volume has surged to more than twice the average volume, confirming the direction. In multiple time frames, the daily line is in a correction channel, and the previous low of 2718 has not been broken or is being tested for the second time; on the weekly line, pay attention to whether the ETH/BTC exchange rate stabilizes. Risk variables include BTC breaking critical support and the perpetual contract funding rate in the derivatives market being negative. The next 3 - 5 four-hour candlesticks are a key observation period. If the closing price holds above 2900 and the MACD histogram shortens, the probability of an upward breakout exceeds 60%.

At this time, the Yellow Emperor would have everyone set up a position in $ETH, expecting to earn 200 points is not a problem. Friends who want to catch this big opportunity can gather at 聊天室, and I will help you avoid various pitfalls, break down subsequent fund movements at the first time, and seize every good opportunity to make money! #ETH走势分析

Ethereum 0.75 retracement level faces resistance, downward alert triggered, quick look at response strategy

Ethereum price analysis: The 0.75 retracement level encountered range rejection, signaling a renewed downward trend
$ETH Ethereum failed to break through its trading range, with three attempts being rejected and the price falling back. The price is currently testing demand near the low value zone, and technical signals indicate weakening momentum.

Ethereum failed to further rise on the 1-hour chart, retreating to the established range. The breakout attempt was blocked at a key resistance level, forming lower highs, confirming that buyers could not generate sufficient momentum. ETH attempted to break through the range but was rejected, with a bearish short-term structure.
Ethereum Price Analysis: Range Rejection at 0.75 Retracement Signals Renewed Downside image 1
The breakdown process is phased. First, ETH failed above the resistance level and began consolidating. Then there were three independent upward attempts, all suppressed in the same supply area. The third assault exhausted momentum near the 0.75 retracement level close to the supply area, clearly showing fatigue. This rejection triggered a sharp decline, confirming that ETH returned to the range and bearish momentum intensified.

As ETH drops, the price returns to the value area and moves toward the low point of the value area, where demand overlaps with key volume nodes. This area may trigger a rebound, especially as downward momentum is weakening. The 1-hour RSI shows bullish divergence forming as the price approaches demand. This does not mean an immediate reversal, but suggests that selling pressure may be weakening at structurally important levels.

This is important because it shows how range dynamics currently control Ethereum. ETH failed to hold the supply area, falling back to the value area, indicating that the price has no clear direction before reclaiming the high point of the value area or breaking through the demand area. The current situation completely relies on confirmation—short-term fluctuations driven by reactions at specific technical levels, rather than a sustained trend.

At this time, the Yellow Emperor will guide everyone to lay out a hand of $ETH, expecting to earn 200 points without issue. Friends who want to follow this big opportunity, come to 聊天室 to gather, helping you avoid various pitfalls, breaking down subsequent capital trends at the first time, seizing every good opportunity to make money! #ETH走势分析 #巨鲸动向

Ethereum 2950 Crisis Countdown! 24 - 48 hours, check out the key decisions!

The Ethereum market is at a complex and critical stage. Technically, the bearish trend is clear, with prices suppressed by key moving averages, sitting in the weak zone of the Bollinger Bands. However, the downward momentum has somewhat diminished, entering a low-level consolidation. Indicators like MACD and RSI show that while the market is weak, it is not extremely oversold, and trading volume has shrunk significantly, with bulls and bears in a stalemate.

On the technical front, there is a large amount of short liquidation fuel in the 3050 - 3100 area, which is a potential counterattack target for the bulls; while the 2850 - 2900 area has a dense cluster of long stop-loss orders, which is the main focus for bears. The current price is closer to the lower killing zone for bulls than to the upper short-squeezing zone, so the short-term risk of a downward break is slightly higher than that of an upward breakout.

On a macro level, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike expectations have put pressure on global risk assets, limiting the rebound potential of ETH. However, there are many supportive factors in the on-chain fundamentals, and the new low in ETH stock on exchanges means less potential selling pressure. Whale reverse investments often indicate mid-to-long-term bottom characteristics, and the long-term benefits of network upgrades have not yet fully reflected in the price.

Overall, the consolidation of ETH around the 2950 line is the calm before the storm, and the direction of choice depends on the price's testing results against the 2900 support and 3000/3047 resistance. In the next 24 - 48 hours, the levels of 2900 and 3000 are crucial.

At this time, the Yellow Emperor will lead everyone to ambush a hand of $ETH, expecting to earn 200 points without a problem. Friends who want to join this big opportunity can gather at 聊天室, guiding you to avoid various pitfalls, breaking down subsequent capital movements at the first time, and seizing every good opportunity to make money! #ETH走势分析 #山寨季将至？

Big news is coming, the triple witching day is approaching, the Bank of Japan is changing its stance, and the global market is about to face a storm!

This Friday is the triple witching day, which only occurs four times a year. On this day, both options and futures expire, and the market trading volume is sure to increase, with volatility becoming even more intense, making it difficult for the market to remain stable, and market sentiment is likely to fluctuate.

On the macro front, special attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan. They will announce their interest rate decision on Thursday. Recently, the market decline has already digested part of the expectation that Japan may raise interest rates. At that time, not only did the price of Bitcoin plummet, but the Nikkei index also fell sharply overnight. The main concern in the market is whether the yen carry trade will be forced to unwind, leading to a chain reaction similar to what happened in July and August 2024.

Japan's long-term interest rates are close to zero, making the yen the lowest-cost currency for borrowing globally. Many funds borrow yen, convert it into dollars, and then buy U.S. stocks, tech stocks, and even high-volatility assets like Bitcoin; this is a common operation of yen carry trades.

However, this operation has a prerequisite: the yen must remain weak. Once the yen starts to appreciate, borrowing costs rise, and what initially seemed like a profitable leveraged trade may become a burden, forcing funds to unwind positions to repay debts. At this point, funds often do not sell yen but rather sell off their risk assets.

So in the coming days, there are two overlapping uncertainties in the market: one is the technical volatility brought by the triple witching day, and the other is the potential impact of the Bank of Japan's policy expectations on global risk assets. I think in the short term, market uncertainty is quite high, and the trend may fluctuate repeatedly. I advise everyone to manage their positions well, practice good risk management, and not to follow the crowd blindly.

Top-tier news, top-tier layout, the same opportunity, the same increase, keep up and reap the rewards, the strategy continues, it's better to pay attention to @黄帝论趋势 .#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察