12.15 Market Analysis

Recently, the market has weakened again, with frequent contract liquidations, primarily influenced by the correction in the AI sector of the US stock market and the dual impact of expectations for interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. Risk appetite has contracted in stages, and the market has entered a period of high volatility and fluctuations.

The judgment for the future market remains unchanged: BTC still needs 1–2 months of consolidation to digest, after which it will be in a position to challenge new highs.

The medium-term logic still depends on the direction of US policy, with expectations for falling inflation and interest rates not yet undermined.

Operationally, the focus is on defense, avoiding chasing rises, and gradually positioning during pullbacks.

BTC needs to stabilize above $94,000 for at least two trading days before the market may re-enter a trend phase.

The above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. Please make your own trading decisions and strictly control risks.

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