Recently, a typical situation has emerged in the cryptocurrency market that confuses 90% of retail investors:
Federal Reserve interest rate cuts
Japan has heard whispers of interest rate hikes
BTC, ETH neither rise nor fall, caught in back-and-forth fluctuations
Many people are starting to feel lost:
Isn't it an interest rate cut? Why hasn't the money come in?
Isn't Japan's interest rate hike bad news? Why hasn't it collapsed?
It's not that the market is abnormal, but that your perspective needs adjustment.
1. What the market is most afraid of right now is not bad news, but the lack of new stories.
To be honest:
All the news you see today was already priced in by the main players two weeks ago
Whether it's the interest rate cut or the expectation of Japan's interest rate hike, neither is 'breaking news', but old news that has been repeatedly discussed and fully traded.
What does this mean?
The moment the news lands is not the starting point of the market, but the point where market sentiment is realized.
So you will see:
Good news appears → No increase
Bad news arrives → No decrease
Market trend → Continuously drawing an ECG
Because the funds have already been laid out in advance.
2. What truly determines the price has never been the news headline
Many people chase the news every day, but easily overlook one point:
Prices are not driven by the news itself, but depend on whether funds are willing to stay.
Please consider three questions:
1. How much of the new funds are truly prepared for long-term layout?
2. How many people are just here for a brief game of news?
3. After the news lands, is there enough follow-up funding?
If the answer is negative—
Then the price will only fall into fluctuations, retracement, and exhaustion of emotions.
This is why the recent market:
Seems to be about to start
Yet in reality, there are frequent brakes
3. What type of person is currently the most dangerous?
Neither bears nor bulls.
But rather — those who are led by the emotions of the news.
Seeing 'interest rate cuts' and chasing highs
Heard about 'interest rate hikes' and cut losses
Do not look at K-lines, first take positions
Emotions rise and fall sharply, and the account shrinks all the way
One thing the market is best at is:
Using seemingly reasonable logic, reaping the most anxious group of people.
4. What exactly is the market waiting for right now?
In summary:
The market is waiting for a variable that cannot be ambushed in advance.
Not known interest rate cuts or hikes, but:
Confirmation of the true direction of funds
Further clarity on macro risks
Directional breakout after market sentiment is completely worn down
Before that, the market is likely to continue:
Not going up
Not going deep
Special treatment for those without patience
5. A word of truth for you still in the market
If you recently feel:
Always want to operate, but always feel something is wrong.
Every time I enter the market, I get stopped out back and forth
Mood fluctuates with K-lines
That is not your problem, but this stage does not belong to emotional players.
What matters most right now is not 'betting on long or short',
But rather thinking clearly:
Are you here to navigate the cycle, or to chase emotions?
The market has something every day,
But the ones who can calmly survive until the direction is clear are always the minority.
Understanding this point,
You have already surpassed more than half of the market.#加密市场反弹 $ETH
