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New feature launched! The Binance chat room now has the 【private chat】 function open～

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The usage method is super simple:

① Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance

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You take the initiative and we have stories; when you are still worrying about market trends, Lao Luo can always be your guiding light #加密市场观察 $ETH

The Bank of Japan is about to raise interest rates, and global markets are holding their breath. It is almost certain that rates will reach their highest point in thirty years. Don't underestimate this 0.25%—it symbolizes the turning point of global cheap capital, which directly affects the lifeline of the cryptocurrency market.

In my view, the market has actually reacted in advance. The cryptocurrency market has been declining for nearly a month, with sentiment falling into 'extreme fear.' Besides the expectations from the Federal Reserve, the anticipation of Japan's interest rate hike has also been brewing in the background. Now that the 'shoe' is about to drop, it all depends on the statement from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda at the press conference.

If a moderate rate hike is indicated, along with signals of a gradual approach, it may lead to 'bad news already priced in,' and the market's taut nerves might get some relief.

However, if there are indications of continuing aggressive rate hikes next year, we must be highly vigilant. Global liquidity is tightening, emerging markets are under pressure, and as the field with the strongest risk appetite, cryptocurrency may struggle to see improvement in the short term.

In terms of operations, it is advised: avoid blindly bottom-fishing. Hold your core positions and keep enough bullets. The recent market conditions still favor short selling, and avoid counter-trend operations. Our capital is limited, and our margin for error is low; preserving the principal is essential for survival!

I don't boast, nor do I make empty promises; I only share practical trading thoughts. If you want to keep up with strategies in real-time, follow Lao Luo, who lays out plans in advance every day in the village! If you want to find Lao Luo for real-time updates, we will build positions together, and I'll share my profits with you.

After this meeting, the global flow of capital may quietly change. Besides Bitcoin, what other crypto assets might break out against the trend? Follow me, and in the next issue, I will interpret those tracks with hidden opportunities.

I am Lao Luo, focused on cryptocurrency market analysis. #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC

The current price of BTC is hovering around 87,000, with bulls and bears facing off at the edge of a cliff.

The data is clear: if it falls below 85,000, the 1.244 billion in long positions will trigger a cascading drop; if it breaks above 89,000, the 702 million in short positions may add fuel to the fire. The key point is that the 85,000 bullish defense line (potential liquidation of 1.244 billion) is far more fragile than the 89,000 bearish fortress (potential liquidation of 702 million).

This means that psychologically, breaking support is more likely to trigger panic than breaking resistance. The short-term trend depends on which side's leverage is detonated first, and volatility will be extremely intense. It is recommended that everyone watch more and act less; if you must operate, be sure to set your stop-loss at a price far away from these two concentrated liquidation zones. #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC

In the blank period of macro messages, every key economic data point acts like a flashlight suddenly lighting up in the dark, guiding the market's speculation direction regarding Federal Reserve policies. For the crypto market, this guidance directly affects the risk appetite and liquidity expectations of funds.

At this time, the importance of data such as non-farm employment and CPI inflation is magnified by the market. Their performance almost directly translates into market expectations for the timing and extent of interest rate cuts, which in turn triggers fluctuations in the US dollar and US Treasury yields, quickly transmitting to the prices of crypto assets such as Bitcoin.

Your core strategy should be "watch the data, make deductions": weak data → strengthen interest rate cut expectations → potential benefits for risk assets; strong data → delayed expectations → market may be under pressure. Especially in the current environment where data may be distorted for various reasons, it is recommended to restrain short-term impulses and focus more on how the market consensus forms after data is released, as this is often more critical than the data itself.

There are no deities in the crypto circle, only smart people who can read signals. Lao Luo does not brag or make empty promises, but teaches you practical survival skills. Follow Lao Luo, layout in advance every day in the village! If you want to keep up with Lao Luo in real-time, we synchronize our positions; my profits share with you #美联储降息 $ETH

Powell's latest speech has released key signals, and market expectations have been affected again. Overall, the Federal Reserve has conveyed a mixed message of tight expectations and loose operations, which can be described as a coexistence of prudence and ease.

According to the latest dot plot released in December, most officials' median interest rate forecast for 2026 includes only one rate cut, with an amplitude of about 25 basis points. This means that the rate cut space for the whole year may be extremely limited, clearly lower than the previous optimistic expectations of the market, leaning towards a hawkish atmosphere. This aligns with our previous judgment — it is a typical hawkish rate cut, and market sentiment has adjusted accordingly.

On the other hand, the Federal Reserve has acted earlier and more robustly in terms of liquidity support. To stabilize the funding situation, starting this month, they will purchase about $40 billion of short-term government bonds each month to expand the balance sheet. This operation has come faster than expected, and its scale is also more significant. However, officials also explained that this is a technical arrangement to maintain liquidity stability, not a full restart of quantitative easing, so its macro effect should not be overly interpreted.

In summary, the recent rapid surge in the market may be the last wave of concentrated momentum release this year. The market may enter a slow adjustment and consolidation phase next, where volatility will test investors' patience and timing.

The market is changing rapidly, and relying solely on textual analysis is inevitably lagging. If you are often confused about buying and selling opportunities and find it difficult to stabilize your positions, feel free to follow me. I will synchronize real-time strategies and position ideas every day, capturing certainty opportunities together in a volatile market.

Interested friends can enter the chat room for further communication!

I am Old Luo from the crypto circle, and we move forward together. #美联储降息 $ETH

The U.S. September core PCE data released tonight is the last key inflation indicator before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next week. The market expects the annual rate to remain at 2.9%. If it meets or falls below expectations, it will solidify the market's anticipation of a rate cut next week (probability 87%) or provide support for risk assets. Before the data release, market sentiment is cautious, with BTC fluctuating around $92,000. Short-term market volatility will directly depend on whether the data strengthens or weakens the narrative of "inflation cooling - policy shift."

If you are still holding positions or facing liquidation in the crypto space, it’s time to find a reliable guide. Follow Lao Luo, who will help you avoid traps and seize opportunities! Remember: you cannot earn money outside of your understanding, but by following Lao Luo, you can quickly catch up on your knowledge! #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH

The US November ADP employment data announced at 21:15 tonight is crucial. The Federal Reserve will announce interest rates this summer, and this "small non-farm" report will become a key basis for evaluating the employment market before the Federal Reserve's meeting next week, and market fluctuations may intensify. Market expectations vary greatly, ranging from an increase of 5,000 to 40,000.

Impact on the cryptocurrency market: If the data is far below expectations, it will strengthen the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations, potentially boosting Bitcoin and other risk assets. If the data is significantly better than expected, it may dampen interest rate cut expectations, strengthen the US dollar, or put pressure on cryptocurrencies. Please closely monitor the instantaneous market reaction after the data is released. #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $BTC