December 15, 2025

The market continues to move sideways, and as we often say, it is basically in a state of neglect, including other indicators, which have already shown that it is a good time to buy. The current market is quite special in that many indicators have already become ineffective, including the most commonly used Greed and Fear Index; therefore, the credibility of the indicators is somewhat discounted. Of course, if we are to operate based on indicators, we are still not in a brainless phase.

This point indeed aligns with the situation of the market. Are you saying we are currently in a bear market? That is indeed the case; the prices of many coins have dropped by more than half compared to their highs. Are you suggesting we have reached the bottom of the bear market? It can be stated almost certainly that we have not, as the current liquidity is extremely fragile, and any slight disturbance could trigger further declines. More importantly, if we really follow a four-year cycle, the true bear market has not even started yet!

I use my own AI model, which tells me when I can increase my position. I will follow some objective data trends, but I will also exercise subjective judgment to control the overall situation. I think a good ratio is to maintain a position of 50% to 70%, and if there is a subsequent market trend, I will gradually reduce it. Additionally, it is worth mentioning that I plan to continue using the AI model to help me select a few projects, and I will share my findings later.

Based on the price trends over the past few months, everyone has more or less felt how terrifying the one-sided price movement can be after the market enters a bear market. However, at this price, I actually believe it has entered a value range, but due to a lack of liquidity, the price may drop again into a value pit. Having cash on hand will make one more composed, but in any case, there is no need to lose confidence now; the future of cryptocurrency is still worth betting on.

Thank you for your attention and likes