FOMC trading: The top has hardened while the bottom hasn't, hands are dovish, but the mouth isn't. (A bit of brain work).
FOMC trading: The top has hardened while the bottom hasn't, hands are dovish, but the mouth isn't. (A bit of brain work).
Before discussing this trade, let me help my friends with poor memory recall.
Last time: Didn't everyone say that when the US government reopened and the TGA account was unblocked, it would bring liquidity? Wasn't the result a big drop?
This time: Didn't everyone say that interest rates have been cut, and the immediate action is to purchase short-term bonds, starting to expand the balance sheet on Friday? Wasn't the result a big drop?
So why is it that with all the favorable conditions and improvements in liquidity, the result is a big drop?