Cryptocurrency market major downturn alert!
Starting from the afternoon of December 15, 2025, it has been plunging!
$BTC has fallen below 86k!!
$ETH has also fallen below 3,000!!
My goodness $BNB has even fallen below 850🥹
The total market value has shrunk to 3.1-3.2 trillion dollars, with over 200-300 million dollars liquidated in 24 hours. Why oh why oh why 🥹
1. Bank of Japan interest rate hike expectations explode: There is a 98% probability of a 25bp rate hike on the 19th decision, with yen arbitrage funds flowing back, liquidity tightening, and risk assets under pressure across the board. Historical similar events have triggered BTC corrections of 20-30%, and high leverage amplifies the tragedy.
2. U.S. stocks linked to a decline: The Nasdaq fell nearly 2% last Friday, with concerns about the AI bubble spreading. The correlation between the cryptocurrency market and the stock market exceeds 0.5, and gold has also corrected, with a clear synchronous effect.
3. Year-end effect: Institutions reduce positions and take profits before Christmas, liquidity thins out, and weekend volatility amplifies. Since the high point of 126k in October, it has corrected nearly 30%, leading to a chain liquidation of long positions.
4. Macroeconomic pressure: Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have weakened, with this week's CPI/employment data upcoming, and ETF inflows slowing down.
Subsequent market speculation! On the 16th, BTC is expected to see the 85-88k range, but extreme fear index levels of 16-25 are often a buy signal. In the short term, beware of further fluctuations before the BOJ decision on the 19th; breaking below 85k may test 80k support; if it holds steady, institutions hoarding coins + long-term bullish market structure remains unchanged, possibly rebounding in Q1 2026. Don't play with leverage recklessly, DYOR!
