Non-farm data will be released tonight, and a storm of volatility in the cryptocurrency market is imminent!🔥
After 43 days of government shutdown, the first real employment data is about to be announced—this is not only a thermometer for the economy but also a fuel gauge for the cryptocurrency market!
📉 The Federal Reserve has issued a warning: the unemployment rate may soar to 4.5%, job growth has stagnated, and young people's employment is cooling. Experts point out: structural labor shortages + tightened immigration will put long-term pressure on the job market.
🪙 For the cryptocurrency market, this directly points to interest rate cut expectations:
✅Weak data → Strengthens bets on easing, expectations for U.S. dollar liquidity heat up, and Bitcoin is expected to repeat a scenario of a single-day surge of 8%!
❌Strong data → The fantasy of rate cuts shatters, a strong dollar may trigger a correction, be wary of a repeat of 400,000 people being liquidated historically.
The current market is at a crossroads: on one side is Powell's warning of employment risks, and on the other is the market's thirst for easing policies. Tonight's data will either be the "igniter" that sparks a year-end rally or the "cooling valve" that dampens overheating sentiment.
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Do you bet on strong or weak data? The market will soon provide an answer.