美联储
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Non-farm data will be released tonight, and a storm of volatility in the cryptocurrency market is imminent!🔥
After 43 days of government shutdown, the first real employment data is about to be announced—this is not only a thermometer for the economy but also a fuel gauge for the cryptocurrency market!
📉 The Federal Reserve has issued a warning: the unemployment rate may soar to 4.5%, job growth has stagnated, and young people's employment is cooling. Experts point out: structural labor shortages + tightened immigration will put long-term pressure on the job market.
🪙 For the cryptocurrency market, this directly points to interest rate cut expectations:
✅Weak data → Strengthens bets on easing, expectations for U.S. dollar liquidity heat up, and Bitcoin is expected to repeat a scenario of a single-day surge of 8%!
❌Strong data → The fantasy of rate cuts shatters, a strong dollar may trigger a correction, be wary of a repeat of 400,000 people being liquidated historically.
The current market is at a crossroads: on one side is Powell's warning of employment risks, and on the other is the market's thirst for easing policies. Tonight's data will either be the "igniter" that sparks a year-end rally or the "cooling valve" that dampens overheating sentiment.
New Ethereum meme darling 'P🔥U🔥P🔥P🔥I🔥E🔥S' 小 奶 🐶社 区 聊 天室
Do you bet on strong or weak data? The market will soon provide an answer.
#美联储 #比特币 #ACE #降息预期 #跨年行情
After 43 days of government shutdown, the first real employment data is about to be announced—this is not only a thermometer for the economy but also a fuel gauge for the cryptocurrency market!
📉 The Federal Reserve has issued a warning: the unemployment rate may soar to 4.5%, job growth has stagnated, and young people's employment is cooling. Experts point out: structural labor shortages + tightened immigration will put long-term pressure on the job market.
🪙 For the cryptocurrency market, this directly points to interest rate cut expectations:
✅Weak data → Strengthens bets on easing, expectations for U.S. dollar liquidity heat up, and Bitcoin is expected to repeat a scenario of a single-day surge of 8%!
❌Strong data → The fantasy of rate cuts shatters, a strong dollar may trigger a correction, be wary of a repeat of 400,000 people being liquidated historically.
The current market is at a crossroads: on one side is Powell's warning of employment risks, and on the other is the market's thirst for easing policies. Tonight's data will either be the "igniter" that sparks a year-end rally or the "cooling valve" that dampens overheating sentiment.
New Ethereum meme darling 'P🔥U🔥P🔥P🔥I🔥E🔥S' 小 奶 🐶社 区 聊 天室
Do you bet on strong or weak data? The market will soon provide an answer.
#美联储 #比特币 #ACE #降息预期 #跨年行情
小奶狗喂奶:
猛啊
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【Next Week's Market Heavy Warning】U.S. stocks will face a "Super Central Bank Week" storm, three major risks need to be highly vigilant!⚡️
🔥 Core Risks:
1️⃣ Several Fed officials have hawkish statements
2️⃣ U.S. November non-farm + CPI data will be released in succession
3️⃣ The probability of Bank of Japan interest rate hike rises to 75%, market expectations are strong
🗓 Key Time Points:
12/16 (Tue) 21:30 U.S. Non-Farm
12/17 (Wed) 22:05 Fed Officials Speak
12/18 (Thu) U.S. CPI
12/19 (Fri) Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting
⚠️ Global Central Bank Intensive Decisions: Interest rate decisions from multiple countries such as Japan, Europe, and the UK will be released in succession, especially if Japan raises rates by 25 basis points, it may trigger cross-market volatility.
💡 Operation Suggestions: Market uncertainty has surged, it is advisable to cautiously control positions and做好风险对冲。
#美股 #美联储 $BTC $BNB
🔥 Core Risks:
1️⃣ Several Fed officials have hawkish statements
2️⃣ U.S. November non-farm + CPI data will be released in succession
3️⃣ The probability of Bank of Japan interest rate hike rises to 75%, market expectations are strong
🗓 Key Time Points:
12/16 (Tue) 21:30 U.S. Non-Farm
12/17 (Wed) 22:05 Fed Officials Speak
12/18 (Thu) U.S. CPI
12/19 (Fri) Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting
⚠️ Global Central Bank Intensive Decisions: Interest rate decisions from multiple countries such as Japan, Europe, and the UK will be released in succession, especially if Japan raises rates by 25 basis points, it may trigger cross-market volatility.
💡 Operation Suggestions: Market uncertainty has surged, it is advisable to cautiously control positions and做好风险对冲。
#美股 #美联储 $BTC $BNB
pmd6278:
是的
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Trump's "Federal Reserve Independence" Storm: New Opportunities or Concerns for the Crypto Market?
Friends! Just breaking news: Trump's economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated in a CBS interview that "Trump's opinions carry no weight," emphasizing the supreme independence of the Federal Reserve's decision-making!
This is a critical moment as the selection of Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve chair during his second term is about to be finalized. The current chair Powell's term ends in May 2026, and the candidates have narrowed down to "two Kevins"—Hassett and Walsh. Reflecting on Trump's hawkish style: he has repeatedly criticized the Federal Reserve as "stubborn," calling for the benchmark interest rate to be lowered to below 1% to stimulate the economy. But Hassett promises that the Federal Reserve operates with a "committee-style" decision-making process that will not be swayed by the White House, although he admits he chats with Trump "every day."
What does this mean for the crypto market? If the independence of the Federal Reserve is maintained, it implies a more rational, data-driven interest rate policy—if Hassett takes office, his pro-Trump background may indirectly promote moderate interest rate cuts, which would benefit risk assets like BTC and ETH!
However, if White House intervention intensifies, inflation concerns could lead to market volatility. Remember the 30% surge in Bitcoin after the 2024 elections? History may repeat itself! Current economic data: CPI rises to 3.0%, unemployment rate 4.4%, the Federal Reserve has already cut rates by 125 basis points. Crypto investors, stay alert!
What do you think? Federal Reserve independence vs. Trump pressure, who will win and lose will reshape the bull market landscape in 2026?
#美联储 #TRUMP #加密货币 #比特币走势分析 #区块链
Friends! Just breaking news: Trump's economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated in a CBS interview that "Trump's opinions carry no weight," emphasizing the supreme independence of the Federal Reserve's decision-making!
This is a critical moment as the selection of Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve chair during his second term is about to be finalized. The current chair Powell's term ends in May 2026, and the candidates have narrowed down to "two Kevins"—Hassett and Walsh. Reflecting on Trump's hawkish style: he has repeatedly criticized the Federal Reserve as "stubborn," calling for the benchmark interest rate to be lowered to below 1% to stimulate the economy. But Hassett promises that the Federal Reserve operates with a "committee-style" decision-making process that will not be swayed by the White House, although he admits he chats with Trump "every day."
What does this mean for the crypto market? If the independence of the Federal Reserve is maintained, it implies a more rational, data-driven interest rate policy—if Hassett takes office, his pro-Trump background may indirectly promote moderate interest rate cuts, which would benefit risk assets like BTC and ETH!
However, if White House intervention intensifies, inflation concerns could lead to market volatility. Remember the 30% surge in Bitcoin after the 2024 elections? History may repeat itself! Current economic data: CPI rises to 3.0%, unemployment rate 4.4%, the Federal Reserve has already cut rates by 125 basis points. Crypto investors, stay alert!
What do you think? Federal Reserve independence vs. Trump pressure, who will win and lose will reshape the bull market landscape in 2026?
#美联储 #TRUMP #加密货币 #比特币走势分析 #区块链
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🔥【Latest Probability Interpretation】Is there still a chance for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates early next year? Market trends have emerged! $BTC $ETH $BNB
According to the latest CME "FedWatch" data, market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve early next year have begun to surface:
📉 Probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January next year is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is as high as 75.6%;
📈 By March, the probability of maintaining the rate is 50.5%, cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 41.4%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 8.1%.
Key meeting dates: January 28, 2025, March 18 (the original text mistakenly mentioned 2026, presumed to be 2025 meeting).
💡 In summary, although the market anticipates a rate cut, the short-term attitude remains cautious, with more bets placed after the first quarter of next year. If inflation continues to be controlled and economic data remains stable, around March may become a crucial observation window for a liquidity shift.
📌 For the crypto market, interest rate expectations continue to be an important barometer. Once the probability of a rate cut further increases, liquidity expectations will drive sentiment to warm up. Awaiting data, staying vigilant, and preparing for phased positioning.
#美联储 #利率决议 #市场预期 #降息倒计时
According to the latest CME "FedWatch" data, market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve early next year have begun to surface:
📉 Probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January next year is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is as high as 75.6%;
📈 By March, the probability of maintaining the rate is 50.5%, cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 41.4%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 8.1%.
Key meeting dates: January 28, 2025, March 18 (the original text mistakenly mentioned 2026, presumed to be 2025 meeting).
💡 In summary, although the market anticipates a rate cut, the short-term attitude remains cautious, with more bets placed after the first quarter of next year. If inflation continues to be controlled and economic data remains stable, around March may become a crucial observation window for a liquidity shift.
📌 For the crypto market, interest rate expectations continue to be an important barometer. Once the probability of a rate cut further increases, liquidity expectations will drive sentiment to warm up. Awaiting data, staying vigilant, and preparing for phased positioning.
#美联储 #利率决议 #市场预期 #降息倒计时
[Replay] 🎙️ 牛还在ETH看8500，机构看好ETH升级隐私协议
04 h 30 m 29 s · 10.6k listens
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🚨 Latest News:
🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that interest rates may be "significantly lowered" 📉
Market attention is rapidly increasing, and volatility may follow ⚡️
#美联储 #JeromePowell #利率 #BTC #加密市场
🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that interest rates may be "significantly lowered" 📉
Market attention is rapidly increasing, and volatility may follow ⚡️
#美联储 #JeromePowell #利率 #BTC #加密市场
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Impact of Global Trends on the Cryptocurrency Market in the Next Half Month｜Bull vs Bear? Where are the opportunities?
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has shown fluctuations again. Every movement in global policies, actions from major players, and macroeconomic factors influences the market! Today, let's break down the key events in the next half month to prepare and avoid pitfalls👇
🌍 Global policy direction: Is regulation a sword of Damocles or a reassurance?
▫️ New actions from the US SEC: Results of compliance reviews for a major exchange are expected to be announced this week. If strict regulatory details are implemented, it may trigger short-term panic selling (referencing last year's FTX incident); conversely, if friendly signals are released, it could boost market confidence.
▫️ Countdown to the implementation of the EU MiCA legislation: Officially effective in mid-November, it clarifies the classification and trading rules for crypto assets. Compliant cryptocurrencies may see inflows, especially local EU projects.
🌍 Global policy direction: Is regulation a sword of Damocles or a reassurance?
▫️ New actions from the US SEC: Results of compliance reviews for a major exchange are expected to be announced this week. If strict regulatory details are implemented, it may trigger short-term panic selling (referencing last year's FTX incident); conversely, if friendly signals are released, it could boost market confidence.
▫️ Countdown to the implementation of the EU MiCA legislation: Officially effective in mid-November, it clarifies the classification and trading rules for crypto assets. Compliant cryptocurrencies may see inflows, especially local EU projects.
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#非农数据即将公布 1 Non-farm payroll data expectations for November
Core benchmark: New non-farm jobs +40,000 to 50,000, unemployment rate 4.4%, hourly wage month-on-month 0.3%
1: Below expectations (new jobs <0; unemployment rate ≥4.5%)
2: In line with expectations (new jobs 40,000-50,000; unemployment rate 4.4%; hourly wage 0.3%)
#美联储 Interest rate cut expectations moved up to April next year, BTC/ETH tested downward in the early session, recent market volatility, short-term rebound momentum strong, interest rate cut expectations cool down, linked to U.S. stock market pullback, high volatility risk intensified. Liquidations across the network have reached $272 million in the last 24 hours (long positions account for $240 million), and further liquidations may occur under the weak technical backdrop.
The market continues to fluctuate, lacking clear catalysts, Bitcoin's early session closing at 88,000, then a spike to 87,500 began to rebound to 90,000 encountering resistance, the lower bound finally in the range of 86,000-85,000 is the last defense area for longs, short-term resistance at 100,000, it all depends on the specific results of the non-farm data announced tomorrow evening.
Technical pattern $BTC 4-6 hour selection phase, breaking below the 90,000 mark and retesting resistance, Yuan Fang, what do you think? Are you ready to chase long or enter short?
Core benchmark: New non-farm jobs +40,000 to 50,000, unemployment rate 4.4%, hourly wage month-on-month 0.3%
1: Below expectations (new jobs <0; unemployment rate ≥4.5%)
2: In line with expectations (new jobs 40,000-50,000; unemployment rate 4.4%; hourly wage 0.3%)
#美联储 Interest rate cut expectations moved up to April next year, BTC/ETH tested downward in the early session, recent market volatility, short-term rebound momentum strong, interest rate cut expectations cool down, linked to U.S. stock market pullback, high volatility risk intensified. Liquidations across the network have reached $272 million in the last 24 hours (long positions account for $240 million), and further liquidations may occur under the weak technical backdrop.
The market continues to fluctuate, lacking clear catalysts, Bitcoin's early session closing at 88,000, then a spike to 87,500 began to rebound to 90,000 encountering resistance, the lower bound finally in the range of 86,000-85,000 is the last defense area for longs, short-term resistance at 100,000, it all depends on the specific results of the non-farm data announced tomorrow evening.
Technical pattern $BTC 4-6 hour selection phase, breaking below the 90,000 mark and retesting resistance, Yuan Fang, what do you think? Are you ready to chase long or enter short?
阳阳妈妈的日进斗金之路:
现在这个价格不敢空啊 上不上下不下的 怎么做都容易挨打
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🔥【Breaking: Trump Appoints "Rate-Cutting Faction" to Lead the Federal Reserve? Interest Rates May Reach 1% Next Year!】
A big news has just been revealed: Trump himself disclosed that the candidates for the Federal Reserve Chair lean towards two “Kevins” — Waller or Hassett, both of whom support significant rate cuts!
Trump stated in an interview:
✅ He has met with Waller, pressuring him to commit to rate cuts
✅ He claims that interest rates should drop to 1% or even lower in a year
✅ Rate cuts could relieve pressure on U.S. debt, and America should have the “lowest interest rates globally”
💡 Cryptocurrency Market Impact Prediction:
Once “Trump's person” takes office, Federal Reserve policy may fully shift towards easing, and liquidity expectations may rise again. Historical experience shows that a low-interest environment often boosts risk assets, and the crypto market may welcome a new round of funding opportunities.
📈 What to Expect in the Future Market?
If the pace of rate cuts accelerates, core assets like $BTC $ETH are expected to be repriced again. Pay attention to the market sentiment fermenting before next year's policy implementation; short-term volatility may increase, but the medium to long-term liquidity narrative remains clear.
Ambushing Musk Concepts🔥 New Favorite on Ethereum Chain 'P🔥U🔥P🔥P🔥I🔥E🔥S' 小 🔥奶 🔥🐶🔥社 🔥区 🔥聊 🔥天🔥室 🔥
👉 Suggested Actions: Maintain regular investments, build positions on dips, and don’t exit easily before the rate shifts.
(This article does not constitute investment advice; the market has risks, and decisions should be made cautiously.)
#特朗普 #美联储 #降息 #利率 #加密货币
A big news has just been revealed: Trump himself disclosed that the candidates for the Federal Reserve Chair lean towards two “Kevins” — Waller or Hassett, both of whom support significant rate cuts!
Trump stated in an interview:
✅ He has met with Waller, pressuring him to commit to rate cuts
✅ He claims that interest rates should drop to 1% or even lower in a year
✅ Rate cuts could relieve pressure on U.S. debt, and America should have the “lowest interest rates globally”
💡 Cryptocurrency Market Impact Prediction:
Once “Trump's person” takes office, Federal Reserve policy may fully shift towards easing, and liquidity expectations may rise again. Historical experience shows that a low-interest environment often boosts risk assets, and the crypto market may welcome a new round of funding opportunities.
📈 What to Expect in the Future Market?
If the pace of rate cuts accelerates, core assets like $BTC $ETH are expected to be repriced again. Pay attention to the market sentiment fermenting before next year's policy implementation; short-term volatility may increase, but the medium to long-term liquidity narrative remains clear.
Ambushing Musk Concepts🔥 New Favorite on Ethereum Chain 'P🔥U🔥P🔥P🔥I🔥E🔥S' 小 🔥奶 🔥🐶🔥社 🔥区 🔥聊 🔥天🔥室 🔥
👉 Suggested Actions: Maintain regular investments, build positions on dips, and don’t exit easily before the rate shifts.
(This article does not constitute investment advice; the market has risks, and decisions should be made cautiously.)
#特朗普 #美联储 #降息 #利率 #加密货币
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🚨 Major Update:
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that inflation is about to peak 📈
At the same time, he pointed out that the labor market is cooling down 🏦
Subsequently, the FED decided to cut interest rates 💰
How will the market react? What do you think about the next moves of Bitcoin and crypto assets? 👇
#美联储 #通胀 #利率 #加密货币 #Binance
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that inflation is about to peak 📈
At the same time, he pointed out that the labor market is cooling down 🏦
Subsequently, the FED decided to cut interest rates 💰
How will the market react? What do you think about the next moves of Bitcoin and crypto assets? 👇
#美联储 #通胀 #利率 #加密货币 #Binance
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$BTC $ETH $ZEC 【Breaking! The Federal Reserve Issues "Christmas Red Envelopes": Rate Cuts + Liquidity, But Is There a Hidden Agenda?】
Just now, the Federal Reserve dropped two "bombs":
1️⃣ The last rate cut in 2025 is finalized
The interest rate is cut by another 25 basis points, down to 3.50%-3.75%, totaling a 75 basis point cut this year.
2️⃣ Monthly $40 billion bond purchases start in 2026
Directly unleashing liquidity!
The market instantly exploded, with the "Christmas rally" trending! Traders are eager, just waiting for funds to rush into the stock market to distribute red envelopes.
But—hold your horses!
This time, the "gift" comes with two "thorns":
⚠️ Hidden Concern One: Economic data is in a "black box"
Several key data releases are delayed; what's really happening with the economy? No one can see clearly.
⚠️ Hidden Concern Two: Loose policy may bury landmines
With the current aggressive easing, will inflation hit back next year?
What's worse—while the Federal Reserve is handing out treats, it has tightened the future candy jar!
The dot plot suggests: there may only be one rate cut next year, far from the market's easing fantasies. Powell also made it clear: the fight against inflation is not over, don’t expect me to keep cutting!
In summary:
The red envelopes have arrived, but the future purse may be tightened. There will be a market, but cherish it as it rises—don’t forget, within the joyful bells, there may also be a countdown to tightening.
What do you think? How long can this Christmas rally last?
Focus on discussing Musk's concept small dog 🐶【p.u.p.p.i.e.s】in the comments!👇
#美联储 #降息 #流动性 #投资策略 #ETH走势分析
Just now, the Federal Reserve dropped two "bombs":
1️⃣ The last rate cut in 2025 is finalized
The interest rate is cut by another 25 basis points, down to 3.50%-3.75%, totaling a 75 basis point cut this year.
2️⃣ Monthly $40 billion bond purchases start in 2026
Directly unleashing liquidity!
The market instantly exploded, with the "Christmas rally" trending! Traders are eager, just waiting for funds to rush into the stock market to distribute red envelopes.
But—hold your horses!
This time, the "gift" comes with two "thorns":
⚠️ Hidden Concern One: Economic data is in a "black box"
Several key data releases are delayed; what's really happening with the economy? No one can see clearly.
⚠️ Hidden Concern Two: Loose policy may bury landmines
With the current aggressive easing, will inflation hit back next year?
What's worse—while the Federal Reserve is handing out treats, it has tightened the future candy jar!
The dot plot suggests: there may only be one rate cut next year, far from the market's easing fantasies. Powell also made it clear: the fight against inflation is not over, don’t expect me to keep cutting!
In summary:
The red envelopes have arrived, but the future purse may be tightened. There will be a market, but cherish it as it rises—don’t forget, within the joyful bells, there may also be a countdown to tightening.
What do you think? How long can this Christmas rally last?
Focus on discussing Musk's concept small dog 🐶【p.u.p.p.i.e.s】in the comments!👇
#美联储 #降息 #流动性 #投资策略 #ETH走势分析
puppies 币翻身:
这篇帖子分析的很不错，值得学习
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: Powell's 'neither dovish nor hawkish' is the most dangerous signal: a 25 basis point rate cut, but it took away the market's 'certainty'.
Tonight, the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut was anticipated by the market, but it lost on 'certainty'. Powell's speech offered neither dovish reassurance nor hawkish firmness; this ambiguous stance of 'neither dovish nor hawkish' is precisely the most dangerous signal for the current market—it means that all bets are placed on the unknown 'future data'.
1. The Truth of the Policy: This is not a market rescue, but a 'confirmation'
The market commonly misunderstands 'rate cuts = positive', but history repeats itself: the first rate cut in the early stage of a bear market is often not the beginning of easing, but an official confirmation that economic cracks have emerged. Powell repeatedly emphasizes 'relying on data', essentially stating: inflation is not tamed, the economic outlook is unclear, and this rate cut is merely a 'tentative adjustment', far from a signal for aggressive monetary easing.
1. The Truth of the Policy: This is not a market rescue, but a 'confirmation'
The market commonly misunderstands 'rate cuts = positive', but history repeats itself: the first rate cut in the early stage of a bear market is often not the beginning of easing, but an official confirmation that economic cracks have emerged. Powell repeatedly emphasizes 'relying on data', essentially stating: inflation is not tamed, the economic outlook is unclear, and this rate cut is merely a 'tentative adjustment', far from a signal for aggressive monetary easing.
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