Brothers and sisters, I am Anna. Quickly check if the ETH in your hands is turning green and making your heart race? I just finished staring at its one-hour K-line chart, and I got a chill down my spine—this is not a pullback, this is a premeditated 'hunt'! The key positions on the chart will determine whether you get liquidated or can snatch a piece of meat from the wolf's mouth.
Let me pour some cold water on you and answer your most urgent question: Today, can ETH rise to 3150 or 3320? Or will it drop directly to 2760 or even 2620?
Anna's viewpoint, directly stated here:
Stop dreaming! The trend is the father, and now 'father' says it will drop further. The yellow and white line (MACD) is firmly below water and has formed a 'death cross'—in technical terms, this means the bulls are already 'shocked'. Therefore, any rebound is just giving you a second chance to escape or short, not a signal for reversal!
(Why has 3150 become the 'ghost gate'? Because countless 'ghost orders' of failed bottom-fishing are piled up there, and once the price reaches that point, they will frantically sell to cut losses.)
Where will it drop to? See clearly! The first line of defense in the short term is around 2760, where it might catch its breath during the drop and trigger a small rebound. But remember, this is just a 'technical adjustment', like tripping on the balcony halfway down while falling, it cannot change the ultimate trend of smashing to the ground. The real focus should be on the abyss-level support around 2620, which is the 'final destination' that the bears may want to reach.
(Last week, a brother in the altcoin area used a trick I taught, the 'rebound exhaustion confirmation method', to short precisely around 3150, capturing the complete downward wave. The core of this method is actually hidden in the details of this chart.)
What should players do? Anna gives you three straightforward pieces of advice, saving one is better than none:
If you are heavily invested and trapped: Don't add to your position! Adding to your position during a downtrend is like falling into quicksand and struggling desperately; it will only lead to a quicker demise. What you need to wait for is not a miracle but an opportunity to reduce your position on a rebound. Once the price rebounds close to the pressure level around 3150 and shows weakness in rising (such as consecutive upper shadows), that is your decisive window to reduce your position and minimize losses.
If you are itching to short while holding cash: Control your hands! The safest strategy currently is 'not to shoot until you see the rabbit'. Either wait for a rebound to the 3150-3320 pressure zone, and after a clear signal of stagnation appears, try to short with a small position, placing a stop-loss above 3350. Or, be a bit more patient and wait for around 2620, observing whether there’s significant capital bottom-fishing and forming a stabilization pattern before considering a medium-term rebound. In a downtrend, 'waiting' is the best offense.
(True trading experts are looking at a more important indicator than price at this moment; it can tell you in advance when the main force can no longer 'hit'. I often interpret this indicator in the altcoin area in real-time.)
Want to know how I, Anna, led my brothers in the altcoin to avoid whipsaws and accurately ambush? Follow@南安娜sol to participate in every attack of Anna's altcoin community! Anna will announce the specific entry time and real-time news every day in the altcoin!
Combined with the latest news: Is there explosive good news in the market now? Then we will continue to look at the market bearishly. Two important reasons for last night's market crash:
1. The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Friday; it is normal for the market to react a few days in advance, so Anna gives the direction of shorting on rallies.
2. The next Federal Reserve chair is worth our deep unlock, the market is experiencing panic, but Anna believes the next Federal Reserve chair will determine next year's bull market. BTC firmly sees 170,000 as correct, this is the direction, but it does not affect our strategy of placing short positions while holding cash. This month's crash is not a problem; the rebound in January-February is a retaliatory rise, and currently, the valuation of mainstream coins is still severely underestimated!
Anna is not entangled in bull and bear markets; what matters is that you get the trend right, and money will come. If you get the trend wrong, you will be at risk of liquidation. Do not be a slave to emotions like the whales, after all, you don’t have that many bullets to lose!
Brothers, trading coins is not just about watching the rise and fall. Understanding the psychology of long and short battles is more important than looking at K-lines. In that chart, prices rebound with decreasing volume but fall with increasing volume, what does this indicate? It shows that every rebound is retail investors taking over, while the main force is taking the opportunity to distribute! This is the brutal truth of the market.
I am Anna, a veteran in the cryptocurrency circle who has experienced several bull and bear cycles and just wants to help you live longer. In such a market, emotions can destroy a person more easily than technology. What you need is not just direction but also a trading system that can protect you and help you stay calm, along with a group of comrades who support each other.
Follow@南安娜sol Join the altcoin. In the next article, I will reveal: how to capture that unique, high-win-rate rebound starting point during a downtrend with a 'volume-price divergence', allowing you not to be passively beaten, but to learn how to 'take the opportunity to catch the knife'.
The market is always full of opportunities; what is lacking is the capital to survive until the opportunity arrives. Anna's altcoin is your strongest backing. If you want to follow trades or have any questions, you can contact Anna directly in the chat room; I will reply to everything I see here!!#ETH走势分析 #BinanceABCs
