The surge in the cryptocurrency market at 11 PM tonight: primarily driven by heightened sentiment regarding two interest rate cuts in 2026, and secondly, BTC breaking its four-year cycle, continuing to trend bearish. Anna predicts that the downward movement will persist in the coming days. It's crucial to hold onto your chips and avoid chasing highs and selling lows; tonight is another double kill for both bulls and bears!
Behind the 'roller coaster' of non-farm payroll data lies the Federal Reserve's 'interest rate cut smokescreen'! The addition of 64,000 jobs in November seems favorable, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.6%—this contradictory data is reminiscent of the crypto market's K-line charts, all just tricks!
Goldman's internal model directly contradicts this: there is a 23% margin of error in this data! The real explosive point will be in the revised values for January; at that time, Bitcoin could fluctuate more than 10% in an instant. Remember the lesson from 2023, as the revised data once caused ETH to plummet 18% in a day—many lost everything!
The market is currently betting on interest rate cuts in 2026; Grayscale's ETHE is trading at a 12% discount, indicating that institutions are quietly accumulating! The secret for retail investors: invest regularly when the discount is >10%, and don't wait to chase after data revisions. Follow @南安娜sol for the 'Bottom Fishing' guide before the non-farm data revisions; it will become invalid after 72 hours!
There are always opportunities in the market; the key is to operate calmly. Anna will continue to monitor on-chain dynamics for everyone, steadily moving forward together!
