【Sniper Alert: Ethereum RSI falls below 10! Is it the bottom of the century or the last trap before a crash?】🔥
⚠️ This is not a drill! At this moment, the Ethereum 1-hour chart flashes an extreme signal that even seasoned traders may only see a few times in their lifetime—RSI plummeting to 9.2! Historical data shows that after this signal appears, the market either instantly reverses into a surge or falls into a deeper hell after a weak rebound. At the crossroads of wealth and destruction, here is the million-dollar 'reverse betting' map.
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💎 Core concept: Dance with 'extreme fear'
The current market is in a textbook-like classic contradiction: the medium-term (4H) trend is clearly downward, but the short-term (1H) sentiment has panicked to the extreme. This creates an excellent 'against the small trend, with the big trend' swing opportunity. Our goal is not to catch the absolute bottom, but to capture the profit from the market's return from 'extreme panic' to 'rational correction' at a clear position with a risk-reward ratio of 1:7.6.
🎯 Core Trading Plan: Catch the falling knife at the 'cliff edge'
This requires ironclad discipline. We will set up near the 'cliff edge' at around $2878, waiting for the market to give confirmation signals.
'Cliff Trading' Instruction Sheet
Key Action Life and Death Details
Sniping Direction: Aim for rebounds (cautiously long)
Ambush Area 2880 - 2890 (Upper Limit of Extreme Support Zone)
Confirmation Signal: Price shows long lower shadow or bullish engulfing in this area
Final Defense Line (Stop Loss) 2850 (Escape if broken, no illusions)
First Plunder Point 3050 (Reduce position by 50%, lock in profits)
Ultimate Feast Target 3150 - 3170 (Trend Resistance Zone, liquidate)
Risk-reward ratio as high as 1 : 7.6 (risking 35 points to gain 265 points)
Position: Total capital 3%-5%, executed in batches
🚨 Dual Paths and Risk Control Iron Laws
The market only follows two paths, and you must be prepared for both:
1. Perfect Path (Execute Plan A): Price stabilizes and rebounds after retracing to the 2880 area. Enter as planned, firmly set the stop loss at 2850.
2. Strong Path (Execute Plan B): Price refuses to drop deeply, directly breaking through 2966 (15-minute resistance) with increased volume. This proves strong buying power, allowing for light entry, with stop loss set below 2920.
Survival Rules:
· Rule One: The stop loss is oxygen; if 2850 is broken, you must exit immediately.
· Rule Two: Upon reaching the first target of 3050, immediately move the stop loss to the break-even point, allowing the remaining position to run with 'zero risk'.
· Rule Three: If a stagnation occurs above 3100 during a rebound (volume contraction, upper shadow), immediately take profits, don't be greedy for the last cent.
📈 Future Market Projection: Three Possible Destiny Cards
· Destiny One (Successful Rebound, Probability 50%): Price builds a bottom at 2878, rebounding to the 3150-3177 area. The plan is perfectly fulfilled, and we become 'counter-trend hunters'.
· Destiny Two (Oscillation Hell, Probability 30%): Price remains stuck between 2878-3000. Be patient, if unable to break through 2920 for a long time, consider breakeven or minor loss exit.
· Destiny Three (Breakdown Crash, Probability 20%): Support fails, falling towards 2719 daily ultimate support. As long as we firmly adhere to the ¥2850 stop loss, we are merely spectators in this great battle, not victims.
Conclusion: This is a precise trade based on mathematical probabilities (extremely high risk-reward ratio) and market psychology (extreme fear). It does not require you to predict the future, only to adhere to discipline. The market has entered the 'irrational zone', and your plan is the only weapon to maintain rationality.
