Don't wait for the market to crash before you panic! The triple witching day collides with the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike; how can retail investors maintain control over the market?
Friday is a special day that will open the Pandora's box of triple witching day. This kind of day only happens four times a year. At that time, options and futures will expire together, and trading volume will surge, making market fluctuations more intense and emotions more unstable.
On the macro front, keep a close watch on the Bank of Japan. The interest rate decision will be announced on Friday. Recently, the market has already dropped, which has actually digested some of the expectations for potential interest rate hikes. At that time, not only BTC but also the Nikkei index fell sharply overnight. The market is worried about one thing: whether the yen carry trade will be forced to unwind. If that happens, it could trigger a chain reaction similar to what we saw in July and August 2024.
The long-term interest rates in Japan are close to zero, which makes the yen the easiest currency to borrow globally. Many funds borrow yen, convert it to dollars, and invest in U.S. stocks, tech stocks, or even volatile assets like Bitcoin. This is a typical yen carry trade.
However, this strategy has a prerequisite: the yen must continue to depreciate. If the yen starts to appreciate, the cost of borrowing increases, and what once seemed like a profitable leveraged trade can become a heavy burden, forcing funds to close positions and repay loans. In this process, the assets sold are often not yen, but rather those risk assets held.
So in the coming days, two factors will intertwine. One is the technical volatility brought by triple witching day, and the other is the potential impact of the Bank of Japan's policy expectations on global risk assets. In the short term, uncertainty is high, and the market may experience wild fluctuations. It is advisable for everyone to manage their positions well and implement risk prevention measures.
Non-farm payroll data is just a fuse; the possible direction of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike and the true flow of ETF funds together determine the market direction. Market turbulence is imminent, so join the big trends with great precision to seize the market opportunities. Want to witness everything 聊天室👉 Gather! #美国非农数据超预期 #代币化热潮 #加密市场观察 $ETH $ZEC $BTC


