There will always be a surge that makes you feel like you've missed out on billions, but what you truly miss is the time to understand the market.
Last week, MMT surged 500% in a single day, flooding social media and igniting group chats. A novice friend couldn’t resist going all in, only to be caught at the peak. He came to me asking, with a tone of reluctance: 'Why can others earn while I lose?'
This scene is all too familiar. I was once that novice too, until I paid a million in tuition to learn an iron rule: the crypto world is not a casino, but a game of cognition.
Combining my recent contract account success rate of 92.22% and a net profit of 21,000 US dollars in a single month, I realized: stable profits do not rely on luck, but on a system. Today, I will break down this system for you.
01 Recognize Reality: The Truth and Traps of Hot Markets
Before MMT's 500% surge, there were indeed signs. But not through insider news, rather through two key indicators: community sentiment and changes in holdings.
The flow of hot money determines everything. In the attention economy, narratives always precede fundamentals. An attractive story can drive huge capital flows, even if its fundamentals are terrible.
True opportunities arise when early consensus forms. When the number of people in a small coin's Telegram group suddenly doubles and Twitter topics explode, along with a large volume of buy orders appearing on the exchange depth chart, it usually indicates that holdings are concentrating. But most people only notice after a surge and blindly chase, ending up as 'greater fools'.
My approach is: use a small position of funds within 5% to test the waters, retreat immediately if it breaks the day's low, sell in batches once profit is made, and never hope to catch the last bit. Remember, the market won't reward you just because you 'feel' it will rise.
02 Establish a System: The Three Pillars of High Win Rate Trading
I achieved a record of 83 days of profit and 7 days of loss, not by guessing the market, but by relying on the following three core strategies:
1. Only trade clear trends, avoid choppy markets.
I only open positions when Bitcoin breaks key moving averages (such as EMA200) and shows a strong daily bullish candle. Trends are your friend, especially in the crypto market. When the price is above the 200-day moving average, it is likely a bull market; below it, a bear market.
Many people lose money because they try to profit from every small fluctuation, only to get lost in the larger trend. For me, it's better to miss out than to make a mistake.
2. Small stop losses for large profits, adhere to risk-reward ratios.
I keep my stop-loss to 1%-2% of total funds, but my target profit is at least three times the stop-loss. This means that even with a win rate of only 50%, I can still profit in the long run. Risk management is not about limiting profits, but ensuring survival.
The crypto market is highly volatile, with daily fluctuations of 10% being common. Without a stop-loss strategy, it's like driving without brakes—an accident is inevitable.
3. Quantitative rules + human judgment, eliminate emotional trading.
I execute small waves in choppy markets using quantitative tools while retaining the right to make large directional judgments manually. Rules are the best weapon against emotions.
Why do most people lose money? Because they are emotional creatures. They become greedy when seeing prices soar and fearful when prices drop. My solution is to write down a specific, quantifiable trading plan, such as 'sell at a 20% rise, run at a 10% drop', and then execute it like a robot.
03 Current Market: How to Smartly Respond to Rotating Markets
The current market has two obvious characteristics:
The acceleration of hot rotation goes from AI to MEME coins in just a few days. For beginners, my advice is: don't chase rises, wait for trend confirmation. A hot asset strengthening for three consecutive days is a true signal worth watching.
The fundamentals of the bull market remain unchanged, Bitcoin stabilizes at 40,000, and ETH surpasses 2,800. The long-term trend is still upward. In this environment, patience is more effective than frequent trading.
Action guide for beginners:
Mainstream coin dollar-cost averaging is the foundation: use 'timed, fixed amount' dollar-cost averaging for Bitcoin and Ethereum, ignoring short-term fluctuations. In the long run, this can lower costs and avoid chasing highs and selling lows.
Participate in hot coins with small positions: allocate no more than 10% of total funds to hot assets, enter and exit quickly, and never fall in love with a position.
Stay away from high-leverage contracts: my high win rate comes from strict risk control, not high leverage. For beginners, leverage is a fast track to bankruptcy. Data shows that 99% of users eventually end up liquidated.
04 The Mindset Training Behind Success
Technical skills are easy to learn, but mindset is hard to cultivate. I've seen too many traders with excellent technical analysis fail due to an imbalanced mindset.
Greed and fear are the two main 'demons' for traders in the crypto world. The solution is simple: make decisions based on rules, not emotions. Before each trade, I always ask myself: 'Is this decision based on logic or emotion?'
True successful individuals are clear about their strengths and focus most of their energy on this advantage. For me, my strength lies in patiently waiting for high-probability opportunities rather than chasing every small fluctuation.
The greatest cost in the crypto space is not money, but time. Full-time involvement means being online 10-16 hours a day, 7 days a week, for several years. Ask yourself, are you really ready?
Conclusion: Your survival guide in the crypto space
The essence of making money in the crypto space is realizing your understanding. Every loss reveals a blind spot in your cognition. The story of MMT soaring 500% will continue, but only by building your own trading system can you stand firm amidst volatility.
My current strategy is: seek stability in mainstream coins, pursue speed in hot opportunities, and always adhere to discipline. Even if I miss ten MMTs, I will only make money within my understanding.
In this zero-sum game, your opponent is often yourself. Overcoming your demons and prioritizing rules is the key to long-term profitability.
If you find this article helpful, consider following me. I will continue to share more insights and practical experiences in the crypto space so we can grow together, avoid traps, and seize the opportunities that truly belong to us.#巨鲸动向 $ETH
