军哥加密

In recent days, news that U.S. President Trump hosted 220 people who bought his digital currency has gone viral.
The (Wall Street Journal) report also specifically pointed out that China's cryptocurrency tycoon Sun Yuchen, who once refrained from entering the U.S. for fear of being prosecuted by U.S. authorities, has now not only returned to the U.S. in a high-profile manner but also became a distinguished guest at Trump's private dinner. Sun publicly claimed to be the person who purchased the most 'Trump coins.'

Sun Yuchen's approach is as simple and straightforward as ever: he spent a huge amount of money to buy the cryptocurrency launched by Trump. According to the (Financial Times), he is one of the 220 'top buyers' and even used offshore virtual currency for payment, effectively bypassing U.S. regulations. In fact, among the 220 people who participated in the Trump dinner, 176 paid through offshore platforms that Americans cannot use.

Let me talk about myself. After graduating, I only attended a job for a little over a month before quitting. Working just doesn't suit me. Not long after quitting, I got into the crypto space, starting with 50,000 in savings. At first, I didn't understand anything and quickly lost over 20,000. With a sense of unwillingness, I returned to work with determination and persistently researched and studied. After more than a decade of ups and downs, I've experienced everything, and now my assets exceed 80 million.
Although I haven't achieved small goals like some people turning 10,000 into two small targets, I am already very content, and I feel secure and stable. I dream that by the end of this year, my account can exceed 100 million, and next year I will have more capital to earn more money.

Seeing Dogecoin repeatedly testing around $0.13, many novice friends have started panic selling, not realizing that this could be the best buying opportunity by the end of 2025.
In the past week, Dogecoin staged a tug-of-war at the key support level of $0.13. On December 16, DOGE briefly dipped to a short-term low of $0.131, but as trading volume surged by 77% to $1.08 billion, a potential turning point is brewing.
As a player who experienced the crazy market of Dogecoin from $0.05 to $0.73 in 2021, I deeply understand that true opportunities often lie amid widespread market panic. While newbies are asking whether to cut losses, whales have already begun quietly positioning themselves.

Watching the market fluctuations, feeling anxious? My experience of losing 20,000 U last year by following the trend and going ALL IN taught me: Impulse is the devil; rules are the way.
Recently, my private messages exploded again. A bunch of new friends saw the overseas ETF capital inflow and big moves by institutions and panicked, asking me: 'Should we rush in?'
Looking at this familiar atmosphere, I recall my painful experience from last year when I followed the trend and bought high, only to get stuck halfway up the mountain and lose 20,000 U. After years of ups and downs, I finally realized one truth - the crypto world is not short of opportunities, only patience.
Today, let's not talk about complex technical indicators. Instead, I will share a few life-saving insights for new friends.

The real tough guys in the crypto world are not those who trade every day, but those who dare to wait with no position.
"Brother, I only have 10,000 USDT, how can I turn things around?" Every time I hear this question, I laugh and ask back: "First tell me, do you dare to make only five trades in three months?"
This sounds simple, but very few can actually achieve it. Many years ago, I was also addicted to frequent trading; if I didn't trade a few times a day, I would feel anxious. As a result, my account balance kept getting smaller, and my hair kept getting thinner.
Until that lesson from the liquidation, I realized: doubling small capital relies not on trading frequency, but on trading efficiency. So, I set a strict rule for myself: only trade 1-2 times a month, and wait with no position if there is no 'absolute signal.'

The sharpest scythe in the crypto world is not market volatility, but the uncontrollable human heart.
Three years ago, I stepped into the crypto world with a yearning for financial freedom. I remember that night when I faced the K-line chart alone until dawn, constantly pondering a question: why do 90% of traders ultimately end up losing money?
Looking back now, the answer is already clear: in this market, what can defeat you is never a lack of skills, but the greed and fear deeply rooted in human nature.
A conversation with a seasoned trader made me realize something profound. He once said: "When the market panics to the point of being ignored, I quietly build my position; when everyone is celebrating and discussing getting rich from crypto, I gradually exit." This phrase became a turning point in my trading career.

A day in the cryptocurrency world is like a year in the human world. This is true; however, hidden behind it is not just the myth of getting rich quickly, but also the blood and tears lessons paid for in real money by countless retail investors (including myself).
I remember half a year ago, I was filled with the dream of 'doubling overnight' and rushed into the cryptocurrency world with 30,000 yuan. Following the 'big shots,' I chased after rising prices, FOMOing (fear of missing out) into any coin that soared, and I even dared to use 10x leverage without understanding what a contract was. The result is predictable—after six months, my 30,000 yuan capital is left with only a few thousand.
After countless pitfalls, I finally understood: in the cryptocurrency world, surviving longer is more important than making quick profits. Today, I summarize these lessons learned with real money into 10 life-saving rules, hoping to help new friends avoid 90% of the detours.

Surviving in the crypto world is not about who earns the most, but about who lasts the longest.
I still remember when I first stepped into the crypto world, I was a newbie with shining eyes. Watching the stories of everyone around me getting 'rich quickly', I thought I had found a shortcut to wealth. What happened next? The market gave me a harsh blow: losing half a year's salary in just a few days made me realize that this place is not a casino, but a battleground of human nature and discipline.
Ten years have passed, and I have grown from that naive newbie to a trader managing eight-figure funds. The deepest lesson I've learned is that the real secret to making money is not in precise predictions, but in adhering to principles with a 'dumb method'.

(This article only represents personal opinions and does not constitute investment advice)
1. Opening Strike: Why the altcoins you hold may have already become 'outdated'
A few years ago, a saying was popular in the crypto world: “Bitcoin is digital gold, altcoins are casino chips.” But today, even the rules of the casino have changed! Newcomers are still fantasizing that altcoins are “high-multiple bitcoins,” unaware that the market has already split into two parallel worlds:
Bitcoin Camp: Wall Street institutions, pension funds, ETF buyers, with daily capital flows measured in billions of dollars, playing the macro trend + compliance allocation;

That call for help made me see the true face of the cryptocurrency world.
The phone rang at two in the morning, and I heard Xiao Lin's voice on the other end, choked with tears: “I spent all my salary, I can't even pay the rent this month...”
When I arrived at her house, I saw takeout boxes scattered everywhere, and the computer screen was still flashing with K-line charts. This former top student who once shone in college was now curled up in a corner, her eyes bloodshot.
“Take me to trade cryptocurrencies, I must make back my losses!” She grabbed my hand with a grip so strong it was painful.
I looked at the photo of her and her mother on the desk, took a deep breath, and said: “Okay, but you have to promise to strictly follow my six iron rules. This is not a wealth secret, it's a survival principle.”

The crypto world is like an unknown jungle, filled with both treasures and traps. What I want to do is draw you a treasure map while marking those deadly quicksands.
Six years ago, I entered the world of cryptocurrency with 500U (approximately 3500 yuan). Like every newcomer, I experienced the anxiety of staring at the screen at three in the morning, tasted the bitterness of chasing highs and cutting losses, and paid the tuition for 'altcoins going to zero overnight.'
Now, I have achieved financial freedom, but looking back, true growth comes from those painful reflections. Today, I won't talk about the myth of getting rich quickly; instead, I will share the seven core principles that have allowed me to survive and steadily grow in this market.

凌晨的手机推送不断闪烁，比特币价格滑向85000美元，加密社群一片哀嚎，而我这个十年老韭菜却忍不住笑了起来。
就在周一，比特币一度暴跌至85,154美元，较10月初的126,000美元历史高点下跌约30%。过去24小时内，超过14.7万投资者被强制平仓，全网爆仓金额高达4.68亿美元。
社群裡到处都是“机构收割”、“熊市来了”的哀鸣。但在我看来，这根本不是什麽黑天鹅事件，而是两台“资金抽水机”正在全速运转的必然结果——而看懂这一机制的新手，反而能抓住难得的机会。
01 市场真正害怕的不是下跌，而是流动性的消失
今天的暴跌感觉似曾相识？没错，这根本不是加密货币市场特有的现象，而是全球流动性收紧下的必然结果。
美国财政部的“国债抽水机”正在全速运转。​ 为填补TGA账户，美国财政部大规模发行国债，这一过程从市场直接抽走流动性。当投资者用现金购买这些国债时，资金就从金融体系流入财政部账户，市场流动性骤然紧张。
更关键的是，这次市场缺少缓冲垫。曾经作为“防撞垫”的美联储逆回购工具余额已从2万亿美元降至微不足道的水平，使得这次流动性抽水更加直接和剧烈。
美联储的“预期抽水机”同样在发挥作用。​ 尽管上周美联储已经降息，但官员们对后续路径的模糊表态让市场失望。市场讨厌不确定性，这种预期管理实质上进一步收紧了金融条件。
加密市场对流动性变化异常敏感，因为它高度依赖稳定币作为“现金轨道”。当流动性收紧时，稳定币供应量可能萎缩，进而引发加密货币普遍下跌。
02 历史数据揭示流动性危机中的生存法则
面对这样的市场，恐慌是新手最容易犯的错误。回顾历史数据，你会发现一些有趣的模式。
在类似流动性紧缩环境中，比特币的表现往往优于其他加密货币。2023年，当稳定币供应量下降4.15%时，以太坊下跌约13%，而比特币价格保持相对平稳。
这种分化在当前市场已经显现：比特币的主导地位近期实际上有所回升，显示资金正从山寨币向比特币“避险迁移”。
流动性紧缩通常具有阶段性特征。根据历史数据，流动性压力最严重的阶段往往持续数周，一旦TGA账户补足目标且国债发行放缓，压力就会缓解。
当前日本央行可能加息的预期也在加剧全球流动性紧张，这进一步强化了美元的价值，给以美元计价的加密资产带来额外压力。
03 老韭菜的生存指南：三条实用策略
作为一名资深玩家，我想分享三条实用策略，帮助新手在这样的市场中生存下来甚至获利。
一是不要盲目抄底，等待明确信号。​ 在市场恐慌时，最危险的行为就是试图接住下落的刀子。根据我的经验，更好的策略是等待3日均线拐头向上，同时成交量明显放大再行动。
当前市场恐惧贪婪指数已跌至16，进入“极端恐惧”区域。这虽然表明市场情绪悲观，但也意味着反弹可能临近。关键在于等待确切的止跌信号，而非预测底部。
二是关注关键指标，而非市场噪音。​ 在流动性驱动的市场中，以下几个指标至关重要：
10年期TIPS实际利率：突破1.90%是风险预警线，加密货币可能承压。
恐惧贪婪指数：低于25时减少卖出，高于70时考虑减仓。
稳定币供应量变化：这是加密货币流动性的先行指标。
三是严格控制仓位，生存优于盈利。​ 在波动性放大的环境中，我将单笔交易仓位控制在20%以下，并设置8%的止损点。历史数据显示，在市场下跌10%时，这种仓位管理可以使组合回撤控制在5%以内。
对于新手，我建议进一步降低仓位至10-15%，避免使用高杠杆。数据显示，过去24小时爆仓中多头占比极高，这正是过度杠杆的结果。
有人可能会问，市场何时会复苏？从历史模式看，一旦TGA账户目标达成且国债发行放缓，压力就会缓解。未来如果美联储真的如某些预测那样重启资产负债表扩张，甚至每年扩张3000亿至5000亿美元，这些新流动性将为风险资产提供强劲支撑。
真正的底部不是V型反转出来的，而是通过时间磨出来的。当市场多数人恐慌时，保持冷静并遵循纪律的投资者，将在新一轮上涨中捕获早期红利。
在加密市场生存，需要的不是预测未来的水晶球，而是应对当下的生存智慧。风暴之中，活下来的人才有资格谈论未来。
源#巨鲸动向 $ETH

She hides her wealth in numbers and carves her wisdom in discipline.
8 years ago, she entered the cryptocurrency market with over 200,000, and now her account value exceeds 80 million, yet she still lives in the old town of Chaozhou, riding an electric bike to the market every day, patiently haggling with vendors for 50 cents.
In her view, "Being grounded makes it less likely to drift"—this phrase perhaps truly reflects her investment philosophy.
In a market where 90% of people ultimately lose money, she achieved a 400-fold increase in assets. As a veteran who has experienced three bull-bear cycles, I know very well that this cannot be explained by luck.

Eight years ago, I was tightening screws in an electronics factory, earning 3000 a month, squeezed into a dormitory with six people, hesitating for half a day even over a 12 yuan boxed meal with an egg. Now, I own two apartments in Shanghai, with over 20 million in my account — this is not luck, but survival wisdom gained from four painful lessons. As a cryptocurrency analyst who has risen from the bottom, today I will share four practical tips that even beginners can immediately apply. (Note: This is purely a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice!)​
1. Don't panic and 'jump ship' after a sharp rise, first check what the trading volume is doing​
I once hurriedly sold due to SOL's sharp rise of 20% followed by a decline, missing out on the subsequent 50% increase; another time, after SOL surged by 30% and then crashed, I decisively sold and avoided a 40% drop. The key difference lies in trading volume:

Strict self-discipline + risk control is the true amulet for navigating through bull and bear markets
As an experienced veteran in the crypto space, I have witnessed too many myths of overnight wealth and have seen even more tragedies of overnight zero. Crypto contract trading, this seemingly tempting digital game, has caused many to experience a mix of love and hate.
I remember when I first entered the industry, I was like most newcomers, rushing into the market with dreams of getting rich quickly. The results were predictable—liquidations became a daily occurrence, and the longest 'winning' streak was five consecutive liquidations, with the account shrinking by more than 90%.

Gold is breaking records, Musk has secured a trillion-dollar compensation, and the Federal Reserve is on the verge of cutting interest rates—amid this financial storm, cryptocurrency is becoming the biggest casino combined with a gold mine.
A few days ago, the Tesla shareholders meeting approved Musk's nearly one trillion dollar compensation plan, which reminded me of the frenzy caused by a tweet he made years ago that skyrocketed Dogecoin. Which coin will this mogul target next? No one knows, but I know that once he speaks, the market will inevitably shake.
Meanwhile, inflows into gold ETFs have surged for five consecutive months, setting new historical records. This clearly indicates that global capital is seeking a safe haven; under the cloud of economic uncertainty, many people have already begun to 'vote with their feet.'

When the price alerts on your phone ring incessantly, and your sleep is torn into pieces by candlestick charts, congratulations, you have entered the most thrilling casino in the world - the crypto space.
I still remember the moment I bought Bitcoin for the first time. My fingers trembled as I entered the purchase amount on the exchange interface, checking the address five times. The moment I pressed confirm, sweat had already soaked through my shirt. Back then, I naively thought that just buying low and selling high would make me rich easily, not realizing that the real test was just beginning.
Years have passed, and my assets have gone through a complete cycle from zero to recovery, transforming me from a tender 'newbie' into a seasoned player in the crypto world. Today, let's talk about how to navigate this enticing yet treacherous world without getting completely wrecked.

Rules and patience are the most valuable cryptocurrencies in this market.
I will never forget that hot summer night in 2018 when a young guy who had just entered the industry excitedly whispered in my ear: 'Brother, this time it’s definitely a sure win! I invested my entire holdings!' A week later, he watched helplessly as his 800U shrank to 200U, feeling as if his soul had been drained.
After ten years in the cryptocurrency world, I have seen too many stories like this. Some became rich overnight, while many others went to zero in an instant. What allowed me to crawl back from the edge of countless liquidations was not luck, but a set of survival rules earned through blood.

合规还是越界？​ 作为一名从业多年的加密分析师，我今天要揭秘交易所那些“奇葩”审核背后的真相！
最近，一位新手玩家向我吐槽：提取1万USDT，竟被平台客服追着问资金用途，甚至要查交易记录。一句“这是我的隐私吧”直接导致提币权限被冻结。这种经历在当下监管收紧的背景下越来越常见。
一、交易所为何对你的U去向如此感兴趣？
反洗钱（AML）合规压力是主因。全球监管机构对加密货币行业的审查越来越严格，交易所为规避法律风险，不得不加强对用户资金的监控。当提币金额超过一定阈值（如5000美元），平台风控系统会自动标记，要求补充材料。
“头部交易所尤为敏感”。像币安、火币这类大型平台，为符合各国监管要求，提现审核往往比小交易所更严格。相反，一些不规范的小平台可能审核宽松，但资金安全风险更大！
十三部门联合发文明确“虚拟货币相关业务活动属于非法金融活动”，并强调稳定币存在被用于洗钱等非法活动的风险。在这一政策背景下，交易所为自我保护，只能加大审核力度。
二、新手如何避免提币被“审问”？
分散存储策略
别把鸡蛋放一个篮子里！可将资产分散在多个交易所和自有钱包（如TP钱包、imToken）。大额资产建议存入硬件钱包，减少对中心化平台的依赖。
提币前做好功课
了解平台规则：不同交易所对提币金额、频次有不同规定
选择合适网络：TRC20-USDT手续费低且到账快，适合小额提现；ERC20-USDT更安全但速度慢
提前准备材料：收入证明、交易记录等可加速审核
应对审核的技巧
描述用途具体化：避免笼统说“日常消费”，可具体为“投资分配”或“资产转移”
保留所有交易记录：每月导出交易流水，便于需要时举证
小额测试：首次提币或对新地址，先进行小额测试
三、交易所权限边界在哪？
交易所不是执法机构，无权无限度索取用户信息。但根据imToken的AML政策，平台在某些情况下确实有权要求用户完成身份验证（KYC），例如在使用法币兑换服务或涉及大额交易时。若平台过度索要信息（如社交记录、非直接交易对手信息），可合理拒绝并投诉。
值得注意的是，当资产被冻结时，与客服沟通比硬怼更有效。提供清晰的资金来源证明（如工作收入、其他平台转入记录），通常能加速解冻。
四、行业趋势：监管收紧是常态
全球监管日趋严格已成定局。美国要求1万美元以上交易向国税局报备，香港推行虚拟货币交易所强制发牌制度。未来，合规审查只会更严格。
我的观点是：合规是必要的，但执行不应“一刀切”。交易所应在安全与用户体验间找平衡，而非简单将用户当嫌疑人。对新手而言，理解规则、提前准备是关键。
这场“提币攻防战”也再次提醒我们“Not your keys, not your coins”​ 这一币圈箴言的重要性。真正掌握自己的资产，还是得依靠去中心化钱包。#巨鲸动向 $ETH

The smoke from the oil in the pot and the fluctuations of the K-line chart are essentially an art of temperature. The former sustains life, while the latter changes it.
In the summer of 2016, at a small seafood stall in Fuzhou's night market, Lao Chen (a pseudonym) was busy stir-frying clams for a table of guests, his apron stained with grease. That year, he was 37 years old, working until the early hours every night, with income just enough to support his family.
Today, 45-year-old Lao Chen sits in his study, with his cryptocurrency assets valued at over 5 million. Not only has he achieved financial freedom, but he has also bought three houses for his family.
"Friends and family laugh at me for my futile efforts; I do not argue but quietly record, learn, and practice," Lao Chen said with a smile. "The real opponent in the crypto world is not the market makers, but oneself."