📍#ETH Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/17)
【Core Viewpoint】：Triple bearish alignment confirmed. The last line of defense has collapsed. ETH is in free fall mode with no bottom in sight.
Ethereum is currently trading around 2,929, having lost the psychological 3,000 level. This is not a correction; it is a structural collapse. The 12H, 4H, and 1H timeframes are resonating in a bearish chorus. Compared to BTC, ETH is showing extreme weakness. Any bounce now is an opportunity to escape or short heavily. Forget about a V-shape recovery; the real target for bears is down at 1,800.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Bearish (12H)
Market Interpretation:
Price is strictly suppressed below 3,177.69. RSI is in the weak zone, and both DMI and MACD are flashing strong sell signals. This is a classic "Ugly Short" formation. Overhead supply is heavy, and smart money is fleeing.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Short the bounce at resistance is the best play. Chase if it breaks major lows.
• Defense/Pivot: 3,177.69 (Being bullish below this level is suicidal)
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 2,929.73 ～ 3,177.69 (Alloc: 70%)
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): 2,437.14 (Alloc: 30%)
• Take Profit (TP): 1,883.03 (Targeting the 1000s range)
• Stop Loss (SL): 3,353.20
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Bearish (4H)
Market Interpretation:
The 4H ADX > 20 indicates the downtrend is accelerating. Bulls have no strength to fight back. The close at 2,929.72 confirms the breakdown, and moving averages are fanning out downwards. Resistance has shifted down to the 3,000-3,100 area.
【4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Follow the trend. Short on weak rallies.
• Defense/Pivot: 3,332.48
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 3,045.93 ～ 3,178.46 (Alloc: 60%)
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): 2,909.48 (Alloc: 40%)
• Take Profit (TP): 2,755.46
• Stop Loss (SL): 3,390.69
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Minor Bearish (1H)
Market Interpretation:
In the short term, price cannot even reclaim 2,940. RSI remains depressed and KD has crossed deadly. This indicates extreme market panic—not even a dead cat bounce is visible. A waterfall drop could happen at any moment.
【1H Intraday Strategy】
• Key Action: Aggressive traders can short the range; conservative traders wait for breakdown confirmation.
• Fund Allocation: Limit Orders 70% + Chase 30%
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 2,929.40 ～ 3,004.11
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): 2,898.24
• Take Profit (TP): 2,834.19
• Stop Loss (SL): 3,084.45
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📝 Summary & Advice
• For Holders: Losing 3,000 was the final bell. Hoping for a rebound to break-even will likely get you trapped deeper. Cut losses on any bounce.
• For Non-Holders: Congratulations, opportunities are everywhere. Focus on shorting bounces near 3,000-3,100 or chasing the breakdown below 2,900 to catch this capitulation wave.
#Crypto #ETH #Ethereum #DingDingAnalysis
