叮叮幣圈投資筆記

【Core View】: A "Flash in the Pan" under a Bearish Sky. Short-term bounce is merely short covering.
BNB mirrors the broader market weakness. The Long-Term (1D) and Medium-Term (4H) trends are firmly controlled by bears, suppressed by overhead moving averages. However, the Short-Term (1H) shows a technical rebound attempting to repair the divergence. This is a classic "Macro Bear, Micro Bull" scenario. While there is profit potential for scalpers, the risk is high. Conservatives should ignore the bounce and focus on shorting the highs.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (1D)
Analysis:
Daily close is consistently suppressed below EMA9 and EMA21, trading under the key watershed level of 921.01. RSI < 50 indicates bulls have no strength. The current consolidation is likely digesting selling pressure before the next leg down.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: A bounce to resistance is a prime shorting opportunity. Do not chase shorts at support.
• Invalidation Level: 1,051.23 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 921.01 ～ 1,051.23 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 745.09 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 745.09 / 614.87
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Minor Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
Although momentum is slightly weaker on the 4H, the structure remains bearish. Price is below 888.27 with RSI < 50, indicating limited bounce strength. As long as it cannot reclaim the MA ribbons, any rise is a bull trap.
【4H Strategy】
• Invalidation Level: 917.00 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 888.27 ～ 917.00 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 848.54 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 819.81 / 780.08
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Minor Bullish (1H)
Analysis:
The 1H chart shows signs of halting the decline! Price successfully reclaimed EMA9 and EMA21, holding support at 867.02. Short-term capital is entering for a scalp. Aggressive traders can try a counter-trend long.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Counter-trend Long. Enter on pullback to support; strict stop loss is mandatory.
• Defensive Level: 835.58 (Bounce ends if broken).
🟢 Long Setup:
• Buy on Dip (Limit Order): 867.02 ～ 855.61 (Recommend 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakout: Above 887.05 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 898.46 / 918.49
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
BNB is currently in a "Downtrending Macro, Rebounding Micro" phase.
1. If you are Short: Watch the 4H resistance zone (888 - 917). If price bounces there and fails, it's a great spot to add to shorts. If broken, hedge temporarily.
2. If you are in Cash:
• Aggressive: Try a short-term long in the 1H support zone (855 - 867) for bounce profits. Remember, this is counter-trend—take profits quickly.
• Conservative: Ignore the short-term rebound. Patiently wait for price to rally to 888 or 921 and show weakness, then short with the trend.

【Core View】：In the context of a major bearish trend, the short-term rebound is merely a cover for the bears.
The trend of BNB is synchronized with the overall market, with the long-term (1D) and medium-term (4H) still under bearish control, and the upper moving averages exerting pressure. However, a technical rebound has appeared in the 1H short term, attempting to correct the divergence. This is a typical 'long short' game; while there may be some profit in the short term, the risks are high. It is recommended that conservative traders ignore the rebound and focus on positioning short at higher levels.
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📊 Long-term Trend: Medium Bearish (1D)

【Core View】: A "Bull Trap" within a Major Bear Market. Short-term bounce is just setting up a deeper dive.
SOL is presenting a classic "Macro Bear, Micro Bull" conflict. The Daily and 4H charts remain heavily suppressed by bears, with indicators (RSI, KD) showing sellers in control. However, the 1H chart signals a bounce with a MACD golden cross and price reclaiming EMAs. This is likely a "Dead Cat Bounce" driven by short covering. Do not blindly bullish; scalpers must be quick.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (1D)
Analysis:
Daily close remains suppressed below EMA9 and EMA21, and trading under the key level of 148.09. RSI < 50 and KD dead cross indicate that macro bearish momentum is not exhausted. Heavy resistance overhead.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: A bounce to resistance is a gift for bears. Patiently set limit orders.
• Invalidation Level: 174.52 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 148.09 ～ 174.52 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 107.05 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 80.62 / 39.58
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Minor Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
The 4H sell-off has slowed slightly, but price remains below the EMA ribbons and capped by 134.10. RSI remains weak, suggesting this consolidation is bearish and could break lower at any moment.
【4H Strategy】
• Invalidation Level: 140.23 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 134.10 ～ 140.23 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 123.28 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 117.15 / 106.33
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Minor Bullish (1H)
Analysis:
The 1H chart shows a strong rebound signal! Price reclaimed EMA9 and EMA21, with RSI back above 50 and a MACD golden cross. Short-term bulls are fighting back; there is room for aggressive scalps.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Counter-trend Long. Strictly defend support; exit immediately if broken.
• Defensive Level: 125.97 (Scenario invalid if broken).
🟢 Long Setup:
• Buy on Dip (Limit Order): 128.05 ～ 125.97 (Recommend 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakout: Above 131.24 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 133.32 / 136.51
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
SOL is in a contradictory phase of "Downtrending Macro, Rebounding Micro."
1. If you are Short: Watch the 4H resistance at 134.10 - 140.23 closely. If the bounce fails there, it's a prime add-on spot. If broken, hedge temporarily.
2. If you are in Cash:
• Aggressive: Try the 1H short-term long opportunity (near 128.05) for bounce profits. Remember, this is counter-trend—be fast.
• Conservative: Ignore the short-term noise. Patiently wait for price to rally to 134 or 148 and show weakness, then short with the trend.

【Core View】: The 'trap for the bulls' in a major downtrend, the short-term rebound is to kill deeper.
SOL is currently showing a typical split trend of 'long down short up'. The daily and 4H levels are still firmly suppressed by the bears, with various indicators (RSI, KD) indicating that the bears are in control. However, the 1H short-term has shown a MACD golden cross and a rebound signal above the moving average. This is very likely a 'dead cat bounce' triggered by short covering; do not blindly look for bullish opportunities, and those aiming for a rebound should enter and exit quickly.
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📊 Long-term trend: Medium bearish (1D)

【Core View】: The macro trend remains dominated by bears, but the short-term is stuck in choppy mud.
ETH price action remains extremely weak, suffocated by moving averages on the Long and Medium-term timeframes with a complete bearish alignment. However, the Short-term (1H) has entered a directionless consolidation zone. Patience is key now; don't waste ammo during this "junk time." Waiting for a bounce to resistance to initiate high-altitude shorts is the highest probability strategy.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (1D)
Analysis:
Daily close continues to be suppressed below EMA9 and EMA21, and is trading under the key level of 3,177.69. Momentum is bearish. This is a standard bearish continuation pattern with heavy overhead resistance.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Patiently wait for price to rally into the resistance zone to build short positions. Do not chase lows.
• Invalidation Level: 3,731.80 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 3,177.69 ～ 3,731.80 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 2,437.14 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 2,437.14 / 1,883.03
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
The 4H structure remains ugly. Price is below the EMA ribbons and under 3,178.46. The bearish trend is extending, and any bounce appears feeble.
【4H Strategy】
• Invalidation Level: 3,332.48 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 3,178.46 ～ 3,332.48 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 2,909.48 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 2,755.46 / 2,486.48
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Consolidation (1H)
Analysis:
The short-term has entered an awkward consolidation phase, with price stuck chopping around 2,940.06. Neither bulls nor bears have made a clear statement here. It's easy to get chopped up trading in this zone.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Trade the range (buy low, sell high) or simply wait on the sidelines for a confirmed breakout direction.
• Range Observation: 2,898.24 ～ 3,004.11
🛑 Setup:
• Range Testing: Small positions at range edges (Recommend 50% allocation).
• Breakout Confirmation: Only switch bias and add size (50% allocation) if price effectively closes below 2,898.24 or above 3,004.11.
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
ETH is currently "Macro Bear, Micro Chop." The primary strategy should be selling high, with range trading as a secondary option.
1. If you are Short: The long-term trend is unchanged. Hold positions and trail stop losses based on the 4H defensive level (3,332.48).
2. If you are in Cash:
• Conservative: Ignore the 1H chop. Patiently wait for price to rally to near 3,178 and show resistance before entering shorts.
• Aggressive: Lightly trade the range (2,898 - 3,004) on the 1H chart, buying support and selling resistance, but set strict stops to prevent getting caught in a sudden breakout.

【Core Viewpoint】: The overall trend is still a bearish crush, but the short term is trapped in a muddy consolidation.
The trend of ETH remains very weak, being firmly suppressed by moving averages in the long and medium term, with a complete bearish arrangement. However, on the short term 1H level, it has entered a directionless oscillation zone. Current operations require patience; do not waste bullets during this 'garbage time,' and wait for a rebound to the pressure zone high, which is the strategy with the highest win rate.
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📊 Long-term Trend: Medium Bearish (1D)
Current Situation Interpretation:
The daily closing price continues to be constrained below EMA9 and EMA21, and is pressed below the key level of 3,177.69. The momentum is bearish, and this is a standard continuation pattern in a downtrend, with heavy trapped positions above.

【Core View】: A "Dead Cat Bounce" within a Major Bear Market. Scalping the long side is like playing with fire.
While the Long-Term (1D) and Medium-Term (4H) trends remain suffocated by bears and look deep into the abyss, the Short-Term (1H) has surprisingly shown a small bullish signal. This is a classic "Short Squeeze" or "Bull Trap" scenario. The macro trend is still Down. Strategy: Conservatives wait to short high; Aggressive traders can try a quick counter-trend scalp, but be ready to run fast.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (1D)
Analysis:
Daily close remains below EMA9 and EMA21, suppressed under 94,070. Momentum is clearly weak. The bullish structure is not repaired; this is merely a consolidation pause in a downtrend. Heavy resistance overhead.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: A bounce to resistance is the best gift for bears. Build short positions patiently.
• Invalidation Level: 107,540.01 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 94,070.00 ～ 99,659.95 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 85,636.69 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 76,890.00 / 63,419.99
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
The 4H structure is still ugly. Price is below 90,112.84, with ADX > 20 indicating a trending bearish bias. Although there is a short-term need for a bounce, as long as it cannot break the EMA resistance, this is just preparation for the next crash.
【4H Strategy】
• Invalidation Level: 97,124.47 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 90,112.84 ～ 92,648.32 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 85,636.69 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 83,101.21 / 78,625.06
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Small Bullish (1H)
Analysis:
The 1H chart shows a rare rebound signal! Price closed above EMA9 and EMA21, holding above 87,101.80. This indicates short-term capital entering for a bounce. There is meat on the bone for aggressive scalpers, but beware of the 4H resistance above.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Counter-trend Long. Enter on support pullback, strict stop loss required.
• Defensive Level: 84,191.82 (Bounce ends if broken).
🟢 Long Setup:
• Buy on Dip (Limit Order): 87,101.80 ～ 86,027.62 (Recommend 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakout: Above 88,937.60 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 90,011.78 / 91,847.58
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
Current Market: "Macro Bear, Micro Bull." Extremely difficult trading conditions.
1. If you are Short: Watch the 4H resistance zone (90,112 - 92,648). If the bounce fails there, add to shorts. If broken, hedge or exit temporarily.
2. If you are in Cash:
• Aggressive (Catching the bounce): Try longing in the 1H support zone (86,027 - 87,101), targeting near 90,000. Get in and get out fast.
• Conservative (Trend Trading): Ignore the short-term noise. Wait patiently for price to rally to 90,112 or 94,070 and show weakness, then short heavily.

【Core Viewpoint】: 'Dead cat bounce' under a strong bearish structure, short-term rebound chasing is like taking risks in a fire.
Although the long-term (1D) and medium-term (4H) are still firmly suppressed by bears, with no bottom in sight, the short-term (1H) unexpectedly shows a small bullish signal. This is a typical case of 'bear short covering' or 'false bullish' market. The overall direction remains downwards, and the recommendation for operations is: the conservative should continue to wait for high shorts, while the aggressive may try extremely short-term counter-trend long positions, but remember to act quickly and be ready to flee at any moment.
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📊 Long-term trend: Medium bearish (1D)

【Core View】: BNB loses its shine. Perfect Bearish Alignment. Every bounce is a selling opportunity.
BNB is mirroring the broader market's weakness, displaying an ugly "stair-step down" pattern. From 12H to 1H, all moving averages are acting as heavy resistance. There is zero sign of bullish defense. The strategy is simple: Don't have faith in the token right now. Deeply bearish bottoms ahead.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (12H)
Analysis:
Price is consistently suppressed by the EMA9 and EMA21 ribbons and trading below the key watershed level of 921.01. Bullish momentum has evaporated, and the overhead supply is heavy. This is a classic bearish continuation structure.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Follow the trend. Patiently wait for a bounce to the resistance zone to short.
• Invalidation Level: 921.01 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 921.01 ～ 1,051.23 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 745.09 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 614.87, 438.95
• Stop Loss: 1,051.23
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Major Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
Bearish momentum on the 4H timeframe is extending. Price is below 888.27 with MAs fanning downwards. This is not a range; this is the characteristic of a main crash phase. Any minor support looks extremely fragile.
【4H Strategy】
• Stop Loss / Pivot: 917.00 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 888.27 ～ 917.00 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 848.54 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 819.81, 780.08
• Stop Loss: 956.73
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Minor Bearish (1H)
Analysis:
Short-term timeframes are equally weak, closing below 864.92. Extreme pessimism in the market means bounces are quickly sold off. Do not try to pick the bottom here.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Bounce momentum is weak. Short at resistance.
• Trailing Stop Loss: 889.10
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 864.92 ～ 889.10 (70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 834.43 (30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 810.25, 779.76
• Stop Loss: 919.59
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
BNB is currently in a "No Man's Land" descent. Stay calm:
1. If you are Short: Your direction is spot on. Trail your stops based on the defensive levels above and let profits run.
2. If you are in Cash: Don't buy the dip just because it looks cheap. Strategy: "70% Limit Order in 888 - 921 zone" + "30% Chase below 834/848".
3. Key Zones: If 745 breaks, expect panic selling to accelerate into the abyss.

【Core view】: The platform coin's halo has completely faded, the bearish arrangement is perfect, and any rebound is a chance to escape.
The current trend of BNB is highly synchronized with the overall market, presenting an ugly 'stair-step decline' pattern. From 12H to 1H, all moving averages are completely under pressure, with no signs of bullish resistance in sight. The current strategy is simple: do not have faith in it; any rebound is an opportunity for the bears to increase their positions, with no bottom in sight.
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📊 Long-term trend: Moderate bearish (12H)
Current situation interpretation:
The closing price continues to be constrained by the EMA9 and EMA21 dual moving averages, with the price being held below the critical watershed of 921.01. Bullish momentum has dissipated, and the overhead trapped positions are heavy; this is a typical bearish continuation structure.

【Core View】: Major Bearish clouds overhead, but stuck in Short-Term Mud.
SOL is in a tricky spot. While the 12H timeframe clearly indicates a bearish structure suppressed by key MAs, the 4H and 1H charts are trapped in a tight consolidation squeeze. Put simply: The macro trend is Down, but whales are washing out leverage in the short term. Do not overtrade here or you will get chopped. Patience is key.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (12H)
Analysis:
Price closed at 128.20, clearly breaking below both EMA9 and EMA21, and remaining under the 131.17 resistance level. Lower highs are forming, and bearish momentum has not yet been fully exhausted. Heavy resistance above.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Follow the major downtrend, but wait for a bounce to resistance before shorting.
• Invalidation Level: 148.09 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 131.17 ～ 148.09 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 107.05 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Stop Loss: 156.72
• Take Profit (TP): 80.62, 39.58
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Consolidation (4H)
Analysis:
4H has entered an awkward chop zone. The closing price of 128.20 is sandwiched right between EMA9 (128.11) and EMA21 (130.02). Bulls and bears are fighting it out, no clear direction yet.
【4H Range Strategy】
• Key Action: Range trade (Sell High / Buy Low) or simply wait for a breakout.
• Capital Allocation: 60% Cash / Wait + 40% Range Trading.
🛑 Setup:
• Range Zone: 123.28 ～ 134.10 (Bias short within range)
• Chase Short Trigger: Only if price closes effectively below 123.28.
• Bullish Reversal: Only if price closes back above 134.10.
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Consolidation (1H)
Analysis:
Although price is holding slightly above short-term MAs, it is capped heavily by 128.96. The bounce is weak. This is a "Weak Consolidation" pattern—often leading to a drop after prolonged stagnation.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Maintain a bearish bias below resistance. Do not long easily.
• Defensive Level: 122.48 (Short-term weakness confirmed if broken).
🛑 Setup:
• Bias Short: Look for shorts below 128.96.
• Chase Long Trigger: Only if price closes strongly above 134.28.
• Capital Allocation: 70% Limit Orders + 30% Breakout Chase.
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
SOL is currently a "Bearish Macro wrapping a Choppy Micro." High difficulty trading environment.
1. If you are Short: Hold your long-term shorts with SL at 156.72, but be prepared for some short-term grinding.
2. If you are in Cash: 4H and 1H are chopping. Recommend "Wait and See."
• Aggressive: Try light shorts near 128.96 - 131.17.
• Conservative: Wait for a breakdown below 123.28 (4H support) or 122.48 (1H defense) to chase the drop, avoiding the meat-grinder in the middle.

【Core view】: Long-term bearish clouds overhead, short-term mired in consolidation.
The trend of SOL is currently quite tangled. Although the 12H large scale is still constrained by a bearish pattern and tightly suppressed by key moving averages, the 4H and 1H short-term have entered a consolidation range of 'up and down squeeze'. In simple terms: the overall direction is still bearish, but the short-term main force is washing the盘. It is advisable not to chase high and kill low, as it is easy to be caught in a double trap; patiently waiting for the breakout of the range is the best strategy.
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📊 Long-term trend: Bearish (12H)
Current situation interpretation:
Closing price 128.20 clearly breaks below the EMA9 and EMA21 dual moving averages, and continues to operate below the pressure level of 131.17. Structurally, the highs are decreasing, and the bearish momentum has not yet been fully released, with heavy pressure above.

【Core View】: Ethereum is exceptionally weak. Major Bearish structure confirmed, but Short-Term is chopping.
ETH looks uglier than BTC right now. Key indicators (MACD, KD, RSI) are all bearish on higher timeframes. Although the 1H chart shows some consolidation, do not mistake this for a bottom. The macro trend is down; any bounce is a bull trap. The strategy is "Wait and See"—patience will pay off.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (12H)
Analysis:
Price closed at 2,941.04, suppressed below 3,177.69 and the EMA ribbons. MACD has crossed lethally (Dead Cross) with negative histogram bars. Bearish momentum is building up, and bulls are nowhere to be found.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Bounces to resistance are selling opportunities. If it breaks support, chase the drop.
• Invalidation Level: 3,177.69 (Bearish scenario invalid if price reclaims this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 3,177.69 ～ 3,731.80 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 2,437.14 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 1,883.03, 1,142.48
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Major Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
The 4H structure is broken. Price lost 3,178.46 and is trading below AVWAP. RSI is < 50, with KD and MACD forming a dual dead cross resonance. This is a highly dangerous signal indicating the downtrend is accelerating.
【4H Strategy】
• Stop Loss / Pivot: 3,332.48 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 3,178.46 ～ 3,332.48 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 2,909.48 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 2,755.46, 2,486.48
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Consolidation (1H)
Analysis:
While the big picture is bearish, the 1H chart is stuck in an awkward chop. Closing price at 2,941.04 is near the range edge. Momentum is unclear. Over-trading here will just get you chopped up.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Whales are resting. Recommend staying on the sidelines until direction is confirmed.
• Capital Allocation: 80% Cash / Wait + 20% Action upon confirmation.
🛑 Short Setup:
• Watch Mode: Bearish bias as long as below 3,012.31.
• Entry Trigger: Only consider chasing short if price closes effectively below 2,847.11.
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
ETH is showing "Weakness persisting." HTF and MTF are clearly bearish, but LTF is pausing.
1. If you are Short: Hold your position tightly. As long as price stays below 3,332 (4H invalidation), the downtrend is intact.
2. If you are in Cash: The 1H chop is risky. Recommend "Observing" for now. Wait for a bounce to 3,178 to fail before shorting, or wait for a breakdown below 2,909 (4H trigger) for a higher probability trade.

【Core View】: Ethereum is weak, with a large-scale bearish trend established, and the short-term is trapped in a dead fish consolidation.
ETH's movement is uglier than BTC's, with multiple key indicators (MACD, KD, RSI) turning bearish across higher timeframes. Although short-term consolidation signs have appeared on the 1H chart, do not take this as a stop-loss signal. The major trend is downward, and any rebound is a trap for the bulls. It is recommended to 'watch more and act less', patiently waiting for better shorting opportunities or confirmation of a breakout.
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📊 Long-term trend: Bearish (12H)
Current Situation Interpretation:
The closing price of 2,941.04 is being suppressed below 3,177.69 and the EMA moving average group. The MACD has crossed bearish and the momentum bars have turned negative, indicating that the downward momentum is strengthening, with the bulls having no power to fight back.

【Core View】: The Bears are in Full Control. Weak Bounces ahead. DO NOT catch the falling knife.
The market is currently resonating with a "Major Bearish" signal. From long-term to short-term, price action is heavily suppressed by moving averages. Momentum on the 12H and 4H charts remains strongly bearish with lower closes. The structure is clear: every small bounce is a gift for the bears. The bullish structure has collapsed—following the trend (Short) is the only way to survive.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (12H)
Analysis:
Price is consistently suppressed below 94,070 and trading under both EMA9 and EMA21. Momentum is visibly weak. This is a classic bearish consolidation pattern with heavy overhead resistance.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Be patient. Wait for a bounce to resistance levels to enter shorts.
• Invalidation Level: 94,070 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 94,070 ～ 107,540 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 76,890 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 63,419.99, 46,239.99
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Major Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
The 4H chart looks ugly. Price closed below the key level of 90,112, indicating strong bearish continuation. This is not a range; this is the start of a one-sided drop with moving averages fanning downwards.
【4H Strategy】
• Stop Loss / Pivot: 92,648.32 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 90,112.84 ～ 92,648 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 85,636.69 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 83,101.21, 78,625.06
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Minor Bearish (1H)
Analysis:
Short-term timeframes are also suffocated by short-term MAs, closing below 87,210. While the drop seems to be slowing slightly, the bounce is extremely weak. Another dump could happen at any moment.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Move fast. Any failed bounce at resistance is a short entry.
• Trailing Stop Loss: 89,274.27
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 87,210.45 ～ 89,274 (70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 84,368.27 (30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 82,304.45, 79,462.27
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
The Bears call the shots right now. Manage your risk strictly:
1. If you are Short: Move your Stop Loss (refer to the Invalidation Levels above) to protect your profits.
2. If you are in Cash: DO NOT buy the dip blindly. Use the "70% Limit Order on bounce + 30% Chase on breakdown" strategy.
3. Key Zones: Heavy resistance at 90,000 - 94,000. If 85,636 breaks, expect a waterfall drop.

📍#BTC Dingding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/16)
【Core Viewpoint】: The bear army is fully pressing in, rebounds are weak, do not attempt to catch a falling knife.
The current market is exhibiting a 'major bear' resonance pattern, with all timeframes being heavily suppressed by moving averages. The bearish momentum at the 12H and 4H levels continues, with closing prices repeatedly hitting new lows. The current market situation is very clear: any small rebound is a gift for the bears, and the bullish structure has completely collapsed; only going short in line with the trend is the way to survive.
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📊 Long-term trend: Medium bear (12H)