12.17 Evening Big Pie / Second Pie Evening Thought Analysis｜Strategy Update

The overall evening market is still in a weak operation.

The big pie saw a wave of short selling in the early morning, quickly dropping from around 88000 to about 86200, then entering a repair phase, oscillating around the 87200–86200 range during the afternoon, but the rebound has always lacked continuity.

From a structural perspective:

The daily level short volume is being released again, with the K-line closing in the red, and the trend direction remains unchanged; the 4-hour structure shows continued shrinking of long positions, with consecutive red candles suppressing and the short rhythm prevailing; although there is a rebound at the hourly level, it is of a short covering nature, and overall still operates within a downward structure.

Comprehensive judgment: The rebound does not change the trend, and the evening continues to treat it with a high short approach.

🎯 Evening Operating Ideas

BTC (Big Pie):

Short when rebounding to the 87500–88000 area

Target first looks at around 85000

If it breaks down, the space can continue to follow downwards

ETH (Second Pie):

Layout short positions when rebounding to the 2960–2990 area

Take profit looking down at the 2850–2800 area

⚠️ Rhythm Reminder

The current market is not suitable for chasing highs, and the continuation of the long rebound is relatively weak.

Identifying structure, waiting for rebounds, and following the trend to short is the core strategy for the evening. $BTC $ETH $BNB #美国非农数据超预期