The media is currently actively spreading unverified rumors about a possible military operation by the USA against Venezuela. According to these reports, a statement may be made during Donald Trump's address to the nation. There is a source, but so far there are no confirmations.
And it is in this place that the most interesting part begins.
The market always reacts the same way to such stories.
On alert — they are selling.
On the fact — often a bottom is established.
Afterwards, the market usually recovers, regardless of whether a war has started or not.
This is not a guess, but a recurring historical pattern. Geopolitical risks create fear, fear creates a sell-off, and the sell-off creates liquidity for a rebound.
The current situation is complicated by everything overlapping each other.
Ahead are the data on inflation.
At the same time, there is informational noise surrounding the USA and Venezuela.
Next is the meeting of the Bank of Japan, where a rate hike is possible. Such a step in August 2024 has already caused a sharp market decline.
Therefore, the coming days may be nerve-wracking. This is not the time for heroics and 'all in' bets. But it is in such periods that the ground for strong technical rebounds is formed.
The main thing now is a cool head. Rumors create movement, facts often conclude it. History has shown this repeatedly.
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