📅 December 18, 2025 | BTC & ETH Market (Beijing Time) 1. BTC (Bitcoin) Today's Market Analysis
Current Price: ≈ 85,950 USDT (-2.19%)
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1️⃣ Trend Structure
• BTC is the same:
• Broke MA7 (88776)
• Broke MA25 (89806)
• MA99 at 104,500 → The long-term trend is still bearish
📌 But note:
BTC is stronger than ETH by one level
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2️⃣ Pattern Interpretation
• Plummeted from 107,500 → 80,600
• Rebounded to 92,000~93,000
• Now is again moving down after a high-level consolidation
📌 This is called:
Consolidation in a downward trend → Continue down
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3️⃣ Trading volume
• Trading volume has obviously shrunk
• Explanation:
• Selling pressure is not as fierce as ETH
• Large funds are waiting for direction
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4️⃣ KDJ
• K = 22
• D = 34
• J ≈ -1
📌 Interpretation:
• Approaching oversold
• More technically rebound conditions than ETH
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5️⃣ Key position
Support level:
• 85,300 (today's low)
• 80,600 (previous low, extremely strong support)
Resistance level:
• 88,800 (MA7)
• 90,000 (psychological barrier)
• 92,000 (rebound high point)
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👉 BTC today's conclusion
Weak oscillation leaning bearish, but the speed of decline is significantly slowing down
Strategy suggestion:
• ❌ Do not chase shorts
• ❌ Do not heavily buy the dip
• ✅ If 85,000~86,000 appears to stop the decline + volume, a small position short rebound can be taken. II. ETH (Ethereum) today's market analysis
Current price: ≈ 2816 USDT (-4.7%)
1️⃣ Trend structure (very key)
• Daily line clearly in a downward trend
• Price breaks below MA7, MA25
• MA7（3034） < MA25（3040） → Short-term dead cross
• MA99 is above 3700 → Medium to long-term remains bearish structure
📌 In one sentence:
ETH is not oscillating, it is a second drop after a failed rebound
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2️⃣ K line pattern
• The previous segment from 2623 → 3200 rebound
• Clearly encountering resistance at 3210~3250
• Now it is a strong volume bearish line downwards
• Today this one is an emotional release K
⚠️ It's not a washout, it's a continuation of the trend
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3️⃣ Trading volume
• During the decline, volume did not significantly shrink
• Explanation:
• No market protection
• Funds are retreating, not panic selling completely
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4️⃣ KDJ (very important in your chart)
• K = 19
• D = 34
• J = -10 (breaks below 0)
📌 Interpretation:
• ETH has entered the oversold zone
• But note:
In a downward trend, oversold ≠ immediate rebound
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5️⃣ Key position (very important)
Support level:
• First support: 2780~2800
• Strong support: 2620~2650 (previous low)
Resistance level:
• 2900 (just broken)
• 3030 (MA7)
• 3200 (rebound high point)
👉 ETH today's conclusion
Weak downward structure, short-term looks at 2780, if broken then look at 2620
Strategy suggestion:
• ❌ Not recommended to chase shorts (already oversold)
• ❌ Not recommended to catch the bottom (trend downwards)
• ✅ Can only wait near 2620 to see if there is a volume stop decline.
How should we operate today? (Truth version)
• Those with positions
• ETH: No补, No chasing
• BTC: wait for 85k to see if it holds
• Those without positions
• Today is not a buying point
• The real game point is:
• BTC: 80,600
• ETH: 2620
