New Trends in Bitcoin Volatility: The Logic and Outlook Behind its Lower Volatility Than Nvidia

Recently, Bitwise released an important viewpoint, pointing out that Bitcoin's price volatility in 2025 will be lower than Nvidia's. Behind this phenomenon is the profound evolution of Bitcoin's investor structure towards diversification.

Looking back over the past decade, Bitcoin volatility has shown a continuous downward trend. In its early days, the Bitcoin market was small, with a limited number of participants, mainly concentrated among geeks and early speculators. Any slight disturbance could trigger drastic price fluctuations, exhibiting significant high-risk characteristics. However, as time has passed, the market has developed, gradually expanding in size, and the participant structure has become increasingly diverse.

The introduction of traditional investment instruments such as ETFs has become a key force driving increased institutional participation in Bitcoin. It provides traditional investors with convenient and secure investment channels, allowing them to participate in the market indirectly without directly holding Bitcoin. Numerous institutional investors, such as pension funds and hedge funds, have entered the market, bringing substantial capital. These institutions possess professional research teams and rigorous risk management systems, focusing on long-term value and risk control in their investment decisions. This has led to more rational market investment behavior, reducing blind speculation and short-term volatility, and propelling Bitcoin through a process of "de-risking."

Based on current trends, Bitwise predicts that Bitcoin volatility will remain lower than Nvidia's in 2026. As the market continues to mature, investor diversification intensifies, and regulatory policies become clearer and more standardized, ensuring stable market development. Simultaneously, continuous technological advancements in Bitcoin and the expansion of its application scenarios, particularly in areas like cross-border payments and value storage, will provide strong support for its price stability. Bitcoin is gradually shedding its high volatility label and moving towards becoming a more stable and mature investment asset.

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