Current structure
BTC Dominance is compressed into a symmetrical triangle. The price is below the upper trend line, within a dense volume zone of 59.2–59.6%.
EMA20/50/100/200 are currently contracted — the market is in a phase of choosing direction, there is no momentum yet.
RSI around 62 — moderately bullish zone, but without extremes.
This is not a trend. This is compression before movement.
Key scenarios
1️⃣ Breakout upwards (≈45% probability)
Conditions:
Fixing above 59.9–60.0%
Holding EMA100/200
Retest from above without a quick return to the range
Consequences:
Pressure on altcoins
Another corrective wave for altcoins is likely -5%…-15%
BTC may be in a flat or slight decline
2️⃣ Deviation from resistance (≈40% probability)
Conditions:
False breakout or clear rejection from the upper trend line
Return below 59.4%
Weakening RSI without an increase in dominance
Consequences:
The beginning of the upward wave for altcoins
Altcoins can give +10%…+30%, especially mid/low cap
BTC — growth or sideways, without dominance
3️⃣ Continuation of the flat (≈15% probability)
Conditions:
Range compression 59.2–59.7%
Lack of impulse candles
Consequences:
The market is 'sawing'
Only local speculations, grids, fast trades work
Medium-term ideas for altcoins are premature
Practical conclusion
Now is NOT the time to guess.
BTC.D is at a point where the market is either:
will hit altcoins once more,
or it will give them the initiative.
The decision will be based on the fact of a breakout or rejection, not on expectations.
Until confirmation — risk control, short trades, without aggression.
It's like a compressed spring: there's a lot of energy, but no direction yet.
#strategy #CryptoTrading #Altcoins #CryptoNews
⚡ Strategies: LONG / SHORT, SPOT — how the market moves and where to enter—@INVESTIDEAUA
