📊 $TON /USDT — OBJECTIVE MARKET PICTURE
(without expectations and without guessing)
In short and in fact: the market is currently conflictual, and this is what is important to understand, rather than looking for an 'ideal long'.
🔎 WHAT IS VISIBLE ACCORDING TO THE DATA
Price: ~1.47
In 24 hours: about −4% → weakness persists
Funds flow (SPOT + FUTURES):
on short time frames (1–8h) there is a local inflow → speculative interest
on 1D and 30D — outflow → money is generally exiting, distribution is occurring
RSI / MACD:
RSI on higher time frames is close to oversold → possible bounces
RSI on 2H — weakness, but not 'the bottom'
MACD on higher time frames is negative → downward pressure dominates
Structure of the 2H chart:
price below EMA21/50/100/200
SAR and Ichimoku above the price
price below the middle of Bollinger
👉 By structure, the market is bearish.
🧲 LIQUIDITY (KEY TO MOVEMENT)
Magnets from above:
1.50–1.52
next 1.55
above — 1.58–1.61
Magnets from below:
1.45–1.44
then 1.42–1.41
➡️ The market is currently moving not by trend, but by liquidity.
📈 FORECAST (GENERAL, WITHOUT ENTRIES)
Short-term (12–36 hours)
break of the zone 1.45–1.44: ~50–55%
corrective bounce to 1.50–1.52: ~30–35%
flat with shakeouts: ~10–15%
Medium-term (2–5 days)
This is not a phase of sustainable growth.
Maximum — a series of bounces within downward pressure.
⚠️ IMPORTANT FOR UNDERSTANDING
TON is not in a long structure on 2H.
Going long now — either a speculative bounce or entry only after confirmation.
The main mistake — entering 'because it's cheap'.
🧠 FINAL VERDICT
The market is complex and conflicting:
locally — bounces are possible,
structurally — downward pressure remains.
👉 Without a clear entry and cancellation plan, there's no point in being here.#strategy #CryptoTrading #Altcoins #CryptoNews
⚡ Strategies: LONG / SHORT, SPOT — how the market is moving and where to enter—@INVESTIDEAUA
