Hello everyone, today is December 18, 2025 (Thursday).
The overall market shows a mild rebound trend, affected by short-term oversold technical recovery, signs of institutional accumulation at low levels, and stabilization of U.S. tech stocks. Market sentiment is gradually shifting from fear to neutral.
The global cryptocurrency market capitalization has rebounded to around $3.02 trillion, with a 24-hour increase of about 1-3%, and the dominance of $BTC remains at 57.6%.
Trading volume is moderately increasing, the Fear & Greed index has risen to 30 (Neutral leaning towards Greed), and the RSI has moved out of the oversold area. It is recommended to continue with light positions and monitor the sustainability of the rebound.
The following is a review and outlook for the four major cryptocurrencies based on the latest real-time market conditions (as of UTC afternoon to evening).
Overall judgment: Short-term bearish pressure is further alleviating, rebound strength is increasing, but year-end tax losses and macro uncertainty still exist, key focus on the breakthrough of critical resistance levels.
$BTC (Bitcoin)
Current price: approximately 87,186 USD (24h increase approximately 0.5%).
Intraday trend: Continuing the stabilization pattern from yesterday, gently increasing volume, effectively recovering the 87,000 level, and bullish confidence has somewhat recovered.
Key level:
Resistance zone: 88,000-89,000 (breaking through may open up greater repair space).
Support zone: 86,500-87,000 (if it holds on a pullback, the rebound is healthy).
View update: The rebound aligns with the technical recovery expectations after being oversold; if it successfully breaks 88,000, look towards 89,000-90,000; otherwise, remain cautious of year-end selling pressure, and the risk of losing support points to 86,000. Dominance stability shows a tendency for funds to seek safety.
Trading suggestion: Focus on light long positions for short-term, reduce position near resistance to lock in profits, increase position for plays if support holds, set stop-loss strictly.
$ETH (Ethereum)
Current price: approximately 2,854 USD (24h increase approximately 2.4%).
Intraday trend: Relatively strong performance, returning above 2,850, ETF fund inflows turned slightly positive, Gas fees rising show improved on-chain activity.
Key level:
Resistance zone: 2,900-3,000 (breaking through would reverse the bearish pattern).
Support zone: 2,800-2,850 (key defensive line, holding it will extend the rebound).
View update: The intraday fluctuation range has moved up to 2,850-2,900, expanding operational space. If it holds above 2,900, the next target points to 3,000-3,100; losing 2,800 requires caution for a rapid pullback.
Trading suggestion: Light long at 2,850, reduce position at resistance; increase position if close to support, with position control within a reasonable range.
$SOL (Solana)
Current price: approximately 124 USD (24h increase approximately 2.5%).
Intraday trend: Leading mainstream coins, ecological DEX trading volume significantly rebounding, and the meme segment is active, driving sentiment recovery.
Key level:
Support: 122-123 (holding it will ensure a strong rebound).
Resistance: 126-128 (be cautious of false breaks if it fails to break).
View update: If it can consistently stay above 124, it will open up upward space to 128-130; if it encounters resistance and falls back, losing 122 may lead to a second dip near 120. Current performance is outstanding, and short-term rotation opportunities are evident.
Trading suggestion: Effective support at 123 for a short long aiming for 126; exit promptly if resistance fails, look for short opportunities.
$BNB
Current price: approximately 839 USD (24h increase approximately 2.2%).
Intraday trend: Platform coins show resilience again, rising with the market's volume, Binance on-chain data provides stable support.
Key level:
Resistance: 850-860 (breaking through opens the way for a higher target of 880).
Support: 830-820.
View update: If it can hold above 840, the rebound potential is strong, aiming for 860; short-term downward pressure is limited but requires the market to cooperate.
Trading suggestion: Light long near 840, reduce position at 850 resistance; buy on dips at 830 support for a rebound.
Market summary:
The market has entered a clear recovery phase after being oversold, trading volume is moderately increasing, fear sentiment is easing, and short-term rebound momentum is strengthening. However, year-end effects still exist, and macro data (such as the latest statements from the Federal Reserve) may trigger volatility.
Unless BTC effectively breaks 89,000, the rebound will still be primarily technical; recent continuation patterns may tilt towards bullish, but it is not advisable to be overly optimistic.
Risk warning: It is recommended to strictly control positions, set stop-loss and take-profit, and avoid heavily chasing highs and lows.
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The market is highly volatile, and risk control is essential! (Koi Festival fee-saving invitation code: HAOYUN666666)
