Early Morning Pancake Short Selling Strategy (Including Capital Flow + Risk Warning)

1. Capital Flow Signal

Continuous capital outflow across multiple cycles, clear signal of institutional withdrawal:

◦ 1H Contract Net Outflow: -480,931,982.87 USDT

◦ 4H Contract Net Outflow: -383,283,526.20 USDT

◦ 24H Spot Net Outflow: -319,230,011.95 USDT

Large outflow in the 30m-4H cycle serves as core bearish evidence

2. Trading Strategy

◦ Entry: Short at the high in the range of 87500-88000 (BOLL middle track + MA10 resistance); can chase the short if it directly breaks below the support at 85261

◦ Stop Loss: 88500-89000 (risk about 3%, covering BOLL upper track + intraday high resistance)

◦ Targets: First target 84500-85000 (profit about 3%), second target 83000-83500 (profit about 5%); breaking below the support at 85261 will expand the downside space

3. Risk Warning

◦ ATR value 727.16, market volatility is high, position must be strictly controlled

◦ When the price stabilizes at 87500 and breaks through 88500 with volume, the short strategy needs to be reassessed