In the last 24 hours, the total amount of Bitcoin-related liquidations reached 61.706 million (with a total global liquidation amount of 260 million), affecting over 100,000 people; among them, the liquidation amount for short positions far exceeded that for long positions, with short position liquidations exceeding 21 million in 12 hours, and the largest single liquidation value approaching 7 million.
The overall market shows a strong bearish trend, but short-term technical indicators (RSI, KDJ) indicate overselling, creating a demand for a rebound. Short-sell on highs "re-enter when rebounding to resistance levels". Main coin direction: Cautiously short-sell Entry timing: It is recommended to short-sell on highs when rebounding to the 86500-86800 resistance range, or to pursue short-sell after the price breaks below the 85500 support Stop-loss setting: 3%-4% (approximately in the 88000-89000 range) Target price: 84000-83000 (expected return rate 5%-8%) • Secondary coin direction: Short-sell. • Entry: Light position near the current price of 2956, or increase position near the rebound to 2975. • Stop-loss: 3020 (approximately 2.2% range). • Target: First target 2914, second target 2883 (expected return 3-5%). #美联储FOMC会议
Technical indicators are intertwined with long and short positions, but bears have a slight advantage. Funds continue to flow out, trading volume is shrinking and declining with increased volume. Support level is 88826.10; if broken, it may accelerate the downward trend. • Direction: Cautiously short.
• Entry: Short after breaking 88826.10, or build positions after a rebound to 90216.30 meets resistance.
• Stop Loss: 3% above the entry price (e.g., if entering at 89000, stop loss at 91670).
• Targets: First target 88826.10, second target 87500.
Inquire with the wise to find direction, work with the strong to expand the pattern, embrace the universe to see far and wide, and possess foresight that surpasses the visible! Multiple positions are already in place
On Friday, the white盘丝路, the market's long and short game intensified, but the bulls still hold the advantage.
• The MACD indicator shows a golden cross, with momentum moving upwards, indicating a bullish signal.
Operation Suggestions:
• Bitcoin (BTC): It is recommended to gradually build positions in the range of 91500-92000, or chase long positions after breaking through 92500. Stop loss at 89000-89500, target at 94500 and 96500.
• Ethereum (ETH): It is recommended to gradually build positions in the range of 3190-3200, or chase long positions after breaking through 3250. Stop loss at 3160, target at 3300 and 3350.#加密市场反弹
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Based on a comprehensive analysis of technical indicators and capital flow, the current market shows a clear bearish dominance. Prices are fluctuating near key support levels, but multiple indicators suggest that downward pressure has not yet been fully released.
Direction: Cautiously look for short entry Timing: It is recommended to short at highs in the 90500-90800 range, or to follow the downtrend after a valid break below 89500 Stop-loss setting: 91500 (approximately 3% stop-loss margin) Target price: 88000 (first target, approximately 3% profit) → 86500 (second target, approximately 5% profit)
Direction: Cautiously enter long positions. Entry timing: It is recommended to build positions in batches within the range of 91500-92000, or chase after a valid breakout at 92500. Stop-loss setting: 90500 USDT (risk control at 2-3%). Target price: First target 93500, second target 94500 (expected return rate 3-5%).
December 9 news: In the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting this week (the last one of the year), half of the officials may oppose the rate cut, but Powell still plans to push for a rate reduction. The focus of the meeting is to build consensus, with a possible path being a reduction of 25 basis points to 3.5%-3.75%, and to signal a higher threshold for subsequent easing. Among the 12 voting members of the Federal Reserve, 5 and 10 out of 19 members do not support a rate cut; last month's delayed version of the September non-farm payrolls showed job growth but the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, and the reasons for the slowdown in employment have become a point of controversy regarding the rate cut.
• Price-Volume Structure: Increased Volume on Decline, Decreased Volume on Rebound (Weak Characteristics)
• Capital Flow: Net Outflow of Short-Term Contracts 1H (-23031102.95), Net Inflow 4H (14404519.28, Low-Level Support); Continuous Net Outflow in Spot Market (Selling Pressure Unabated)
2. Trading Execution Plan
• Entry Timing: ① Short Sell on Rebound to Resistance Zone 90800-91100; ② Effectively Break Below Support Level 89666 to Short Sell
• Stop-Loss Setting: 91500 (1.5% Margin) or Adjust to 3% Based on Risk Preference
• Target Price: First Target 88969, Second Target 88133 (Expected Return Rate 4-6%)
• 4H net inflow of 352 million, 24H net inflow of 397 million, derivatives market sentiment is relatively optimistic.
• Spot capital: 24H net outflow of 29.13 million, diverging from contract capital flow.
• Key reminder: Short-term bullish atmosphere is supported by contract capital, but be wary of potential suppression from spot capital outflows to avoid one-sided chasing of longs. Big coin: Buy in batches on pullback at 90500-90800 or chase longs if it breaks 91500, stop loss at 89200, target 92000-92500. Second coin: Buy in batches on pullback at 3050-3070 or chase longs if it breaks 3150 on increased volume, stop loss below 3020, target 3180-3200, 3250-3280.
Weekend Silk Road precision needs no questioning, the feel is still there, and if there is no direction, Fan Chang is still continuing to keep up with the rhythm, together we step on the mountain peak. #美联储重启降息步伐