Brothers, today is December 19, 2025, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) interest rate decision is about to be announced! The market expects a high probability of an increase from 0.5% to 0.75%, which may trigger tightening global liquidity and increased volatility in the crypto market (remember the last time during the Fed's tightening cycle, BTC was directly halved).
Current BTC price: around 85,500USD, with slight fluctuations in 24h, and clear signs of RSI being oversold.
My view:
- If the rate hike is moderate (only 25bp), after market digestion, BTC is likely to rebound, targeting 87,000-88,000.
- If it exceeds expectations aggressively, it may test the 84,000 support in the short term, or even dip to 83,000.
Today's trading strategy (for reference only, DYOR):
1. Wait-and-see approach: Don't go heavy before the decision, wait for the dust to settle.
2. Bullish positioning: Gradually build long positions in the range of 84,500-85,500, with a stop loss at 83,800 and a target of 87,500+.
3. Short opportunity: If it breaks 84,000, you can take light short positions, targeting 83,000 with a stop loss at 85,200.
In the long term, BTC institutional inflows + ETF support are still present, and reaching 90,000 before the end of the year is not a dream! However, there is significant macro pressure in the short term, and risk control is the priority.
What do you think? Will it be more long or short after the rate hike? Share your positions in the comments, and I will respond to everyone!
