At three in the morning, I pulled out my phone to check the market, and the numbers dropped by two digits again. Is this the daily routine for many friends lately? A few days ago, a fan messaged me saying their holdings felt like they were pressed by the 'automatic deduction button'; every day they had to take a deep breath before opening the app. I could feel that sense of suffocation even through the screen. Today, let's not talk about the abstract; let's expose the 'shrinkage curse' that has caused countless people to stumble and provide some life-saving 'awakening agent.'
Here's a heart-wrenching conclusion: Those still stubbornly holding onto non-mainstream assets this year are likely experiencing 'split shrinkage.' It's not that I'm a harbinger of doom, but the fundamental logic of these assets hasn't changed; there is no actual value support, and it's all driven by market sentiment and hype. I have an old friend who doubled his investment last year with a certain 'star project,' and this year he thought he could replicate the miracle. However, he ended up suffering through 'split 2' to 'split 4,' and his principal was directly cut in half. He bitterly joked over dinner last week: 'I used to look at candlestick charts like an ECG, now I look at them like my blood pressure, rising higher the more it falls.'
In fact, the market has already given signals this year. In the first half of the year, mainstream assets have been stable with a slight increase, but many non-mainstream assets have started to "plunge against the trend." Behind this is a collective risk aversion of funds. I reminded my fans back in March to clear out varieties that "even the white paper cannot explain clearly." At that time, some people said I was "missing out on a chance to get rich," but looking back now, those friends who followed the advice have at least preserved most of their principal. Here I share a selection criterion I have used for five years: any project that only talks about "upward potential" without discussing "practical scenarios," and only gathers communities without showing data, is directly classified as "high-risk blacklisted." You should know that true valuable assets never rely on "empty promises" to retain investors.
Some people may say: "I also want to sell, but I'm always hoping for a rebound to break even." I totally understand this, after all, everyone has their moments of "unwillingness." When I cleared a certain position last year, I also lost 10%, but then that project went to zero, and I was glad that I had "cut my losses" in time. Here’s a practical suggestion for everyone: set a "stop-loss red line," for example, if the principal loss reaches 30%, or if the project encounters negative news such as the team running away or regulatory scrutiny, take action immediately. Don’t get caught up in whether "there will be a rebound"—opportunities in the market always outnumber the funds that are trapped.
After saying so much, I still want to hear everyone’s real situation: how much non-mainstream assets do you still hold? Are you gritting your teeth and holding on, or have you already pulled out in time? Let's chat about your experiences in the comments section, and I will reply to each one. Also, follow my homepage's "Asset Allocation Guide" series; tomorrow I will break down the layout logic of mainstream assets in detail to help everyone gradually regain their diminished principal. Lastly, a reminder: investing is not about gambling, staying clear-headed is more important than anything else, and keep the phrase "timely stop-loss" in mind～@帝王说币 #巨鲸动向 $BTC
