Now is not a 'direct rise market',
It is the limit position for your ambush, waiting for the liquidation trigger market.
Second layer | Route judgment (A / B / C)
🟦 Main line A (≈50%｜Maintain)
Sideways control → Upper liquidation starts
Confirmation point:
1H effectively stabilizes at 3000
Capital flow is continuously net inflow for 1H–4H
Target area:
3050 → 3100+
Failure point:
Break below 2920
🟨 Sub-line B (≈35%｜Rising)
False rebound → Secondary down pressure → Extreme reversal (easiest to profit)
Trigger area:
2800 → 2750
Why the probability is rising:
The liquidation pool has not been consumed
OI has not shown panic
The main force has no momentum to pull the market
👉 This is the current 'maximum probability of eating meat route'.
🟥 Danger line C (≈15%｜not triggered)
Structural damage → deep insertion liquidation
Trigger condition:
2750 lost
OI rapid collapse + capital flow accelerates outflow
Deep insertion area:
2700 → 2650
Third layer｜position & execution point (direct order list)
Below is the complete executable point table, you can directly hang this.
✅ Long order layout (core)
🟢 Long A｜probing position (to prevent missing out)
Entry: 2920 – 2940
Position: 10%
Risk point: 2890
Invalidation point: 2860
Limit position: 2800
Target: 3000 → 3050
Nature: probing order, no patterns allowed
Profit and loss ratio: ≈1 : 2
👉 The only function is: to prevent sudden surges.
🥩 Long B｜extreme reversal · maximum probability of eating meat position (key point)
Entry area: 2800 – 2750 (in batches)
Position: main position
Risk point: 2720
Invalidation point: 2680
Limit position: 2650
First target: 3000
Second target: 3150+
Nature: structural level, can take big profits
Expected range: 8% – 15%
👉 This is the highest cost-performance point currently in the whole market.
🟣 Long C｜the limit of limits (bottom line)
Entry: 2700 – 2650
Premise:
Liquidation volume
OI first smash then stabilize
Invalidation point: 2600
Target: 2850 → 3000
Explanation:
Execute only when panic occurs
❌ Short order layout (conditional order)
🔴 Short A｜failed counter short
Entry: 3030 – 3060
Premise:
Failed to surge
CVD / capital flow does not follow
Risk point: 3090
Invalidation point: 3120
Target: 2950 → 2880
Nature: counter short, no patterns allowed
🔴 Short B｜startup failure → kill long
Entry conditions:
False breakout above 3000
OI decreases instead of increasing
Target: 2800
Explanation:
Only valid when the main line A is denied
Final execution summary (you just need to do it this way)
Now, only three things are worth your effort:
1️⃣ 2920–2940 light position (to prevent missing out)
2️⃣ 2800–2750 waiting for the limit, eat the big meat with the highest probability
3️⃣ 3000 or more only do 'failure short', do not chase more
Middle 2950–2980,
Not an opportunity, but a place for the main force to wash people.
