📈 【Ultimate Warning】 Daily RSI only 24.2! Is Ethereum staging a 'century scam'?
The market is playing out a dangerous 'silent game'—the daily RSI for Ethereum has dropped to an astonishing 24.2, a historically rare 'crash-level' oversold condition. However, the price bizarrely hovers at 2984, trapped in a dead silence of sideways movement. All indicators are screaming 'rebound', yet the price remains 'playing dead' and stagnant. Is this the 'extreme calm' before a violent surge after the super whales have finished accumulating, or is it the 'ultimate trap' carefully planned to lure retail investors to take over? The choice of direction in the coming days will determine the fate of countless accounts.
⚡ Core Alert: Historical-level overselling meets 'Death Consolidation'
The current market is in a state of extreme contradiction: the daily line is in an upward structure but RSI is 24.2 (extremely oversold), while the medium-short term (4H/1H) is stuck in a directionless consolidation. Signal quality C means a lot of noise, any single indicator may fail. The sentiment is 'neutral to bullish' but the risk is 'high', which translates to: it looks like it's going to rise, but it could collapse at any moment.
🎯 Ultimate Battlefield: Two Prices That Must Not Be Crossed
1. Bullish 'Gates of Judgment': 3031 (4-hour iron top). Only by breaking through and stabilizing at this point can we declare the end of the consolidation and start a daily-level rebound.
2. Bearish 'Gates of Hell': 2775 (4-hour bottom line). If this defense line is lost, the daily line's overselling will fail, and the crash mode will officially start.
⚔️ Survival Battle Plan: Two Scenarios, Live or Die
Give up on fantasies; the market only offers you two paths. In the current C-level noise, 'breakthrough following' is the only reliable strategy.
Battle Plan Scenario A: Breakthrough Long (Focus on this) Scenario B: Breakthrough Short (Backup Plan)
Core Logic Price strongly breaks through the strong resistance at 3031, confirming the main force's choice to go up, taking advantage of the daily oversold background to seize the trend reversal. The price gives up resistance, breaking the key support at 2775, confirming the establishment of a downward continuation, shorting with the trend.
Firing Zone After breaking 3031, pull back to around 3040 After breaking 2775, rebound to the 2780-2800 area
Retreat Order (Stop Loss) 2980 (If it falls back to the fluctuation zone, acknowledge the mistake) 2830 (If it returns above support, exit)
Harvest Targets ① 3200 ② 3350 ① 2600 ② 2450
Troop Investment Total Capital 3-5% (High success rate for breakthroughs) Total Capital 2-3% (Follow the trend)
Key Odds Up to 1:3 Up to 1:3.25
Execute the Iron Law: No guessing direction near 2984 (current price). This is a slaughter zone, not a trading zone.
⚠️ Three Survival Rules Under C-level Noise
1. Stop Loss is Oxygen: The stop loss levels in the table are your 'graveyard lines'. In the C-level market where false breakouts are frequent, hitting them requires immediate exit; hesitating for a second may lead to irreversible losses.
2. Position is Armor: Single loss must not exceed 2% of total capital. In uncertain fluctuations, surviving is a hundred times more important than making profits.
3. Profits Must Be Locked: When the price reaches the first target, immediately close 50%, and move the stop loss of the remaining position to the cost price. From then on, you are playing with 'market money'.
🔮 Destiny Prediction for the Next 24 Hours
· Destiny A (40%): Price increases sharply, breaking through 3031 in one go. Execute Scenario A.
· Destiny B (50%): Prolonged consolidation will lead to a drop; after exhausting buying power below 3031, it will turn down and break below 2775. Execute Scenario B.
· Destiny C (10%): Continue to 'weave' within a narrow range, consuming everyone's patience and capital. Best strategy: Stay out of the market and observe.
💎 Final Judgment
The market has already shown its cards: the daily line is a 'golden pit', and the medium-short term is a 'maze'. You don't need to be a prophet, just be a cold-blooded executor of discipline.
Remember: In the market, being out of position is your strongest weapon, and stop loss is your strongest shield. When the market can't decide on a direction, your best strategy is to wait for it to find a direction on its own, and then follow it.
