Friends, hitting this is fate, tonight I won't talk about any nonsense. As an old player in the crypto circle for five or six years and a wild analyst, I'll give you a direct conclusion: the next 12 hours may be the most crucial window this year to stay up and watch Bitcoin, no exceptions.
That's right, it's from Monday morning 12 AM to 8 AM Beijing time. Don't ask me why the market always loves to choose such a strange time to change—it's just specially designed to deal with all kinds of disobedience, especially likes to launch surprise attacks when you're sleeping the soundest.
1. My core logic: Where the weekly line closes determines whether you wake up smiling or delete the app.
First, I will state my personal opinion (note, purely personal judgment):
1. If before 8 AM tomorrow, the price falls below 87,000 dollars.
Then don't hold onto fantasies; market sentiment and structure have already explained everything. This is no longer an ordinary correction, but a directional choice at the weekly level. Once established, you need to be mentally prepared to look down at the next support level. Remember, when it really comes to this point, any short-term rebound is an opportunity for you to reduce your position; don’t cling to the fight.
2. If before 8 AM tomorrow, the price stabilizes above 89,000 dollars (even better if it touches 90,000).
Then I need to broaden my perspective. This means that the bulls not only held the bottom line but also accumulated enough momentum for an upward assault. As long as they stand firm, I believe the rebound will come quickly and fiercely, with the first target of 100,000 dollars not being out of reach, and it may not take two to three months like before; the trend could accelerate.
3. Why 8 AM tomorrow?
Because this is the key timing for the weekly closing, many institutions and large holders' position preferences will be determined after this time window. In simple terms, this is the moment for both bulls and bears to showdown; whoever wins helps whoever.
Two, a reminder of 'hard facts' that are not sensitive at all.
I understand that you don't like to hear 'maybe' or 'perhaps', but the market is never 100%. What I can tell you is:
Watch if the trading volume suddenly expands at key positions, especially between 3-5 AM (this is a concentrated activity period for overseas main players).
Don't be fooled by momentary spikes; what to look at is the stable price level, neither the highest nor the lowest, but where it remains stable most of the time.
If the direction is reversed, remember what I often say: admit when you're wrong, wait for the next clear structure before acting; this is not embarrassing.
Three, let's talk about something practical.
In this market, some people have made quick money by luck, but in the end, those who can stay are the ones who can wait, understand, dare to act, and also dare to retreat.
I’m not a god, but at every key point, I will use my experience to give you the most straightforward analysis. By the way, we eat meat together, and if I'm wrong, I'll accompany you in reviewing.
The current market is in a phase of 'selling pressure not relieved + key support' game, and the short-term trend is highly dependent on capital flow and emotional changes. Although the selling from long-term holders is still ongoing, on-chain data shows some positive signals, which may indicate that a phase bottom is approaching.
Tonight, we witness together.
(If you think this article has some value and want to follow up on the subsequent key node analysis, don't forget to hit follow #巨鲸动向 $ETH .
