#ETH走势分析 The weekend has no market activity. Those optimistic about the future market can find good entry points. As of 2025-12-20 17:48 (UTC+8), the price of Ethereum (ETH) is approximately $2985, experiencing intraday fluctuations and rebounds, showing signs of bottoming out on the 4-hour chart, with a short-term bias towards fluctuating rebounds, while the mid-term is still in a correction and recovery phase.
1. Core Prices and Key Levels
- Current Price: Approximately $2985, 24h fluctuation range 2773-2983, intraday rebound over 200 points
- Support Levels: 2850-2870 (short-term key support), 2770-2750 (strong support)
- Resistance Levels: 2964-3000 (round number + previous fluctuation range), 3050 (Bollinger Band middle line), 3170 (mid-term resistance)
2. Technical Highlights
- Daily: The candlestick is supported at the lower Bollinger Band, RSI is close to oversold and has a rebound demand, MACD is reducing volume, overall leaning towards fluctuating bottoming
- 4-Hour: Bottoming rebound breaks through the 2870 resistance, RSI rises from a low position, MACD in the negative zone is flattening, bearish momentum is weakening, there is a short-term rebound opportunity
- Mid-term: Still in a downward channel, bearish momentum is weakening, needs to stabilize above 3000 and break through 3050 to confirm a short-term reversal
3. Influencing Factors
- Macroeconomics: After the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, "bad news has been digested", market sentiment is recovering, driving ETH's rebound; expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the performance of U.S. tech stocks remain important external variables
- Capital and Sentiment: The overall market is leaning towards "extreme fear", but short-term buying pressure is promoting rebounds, attention is needed to see if trading volume can continue to increase
4. Trading Strategies (Short-term Reference)
- Aggressive: If the price stabilizes after a pullback to 2870-2890, small positions can be taken long, stop loss below 2850, target 2960-3000
- Conservative: Wait for stabilization above 3000 with increased volume before entering, or observe until the strong support area of 2770-2750 for positioning
- Risk: If it loses 2850, it may retest 2770-2750, timely stop losses are needed to exit.
