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#ETH走势分析 The sentiment for Japan's interest rate hike has basically run out
Get on the bus early and wait for a surge, because most people are not on the bus

#ETH走势分析 Ethereum has been fluctuating so much recently that a major direction is expected soon!\nBitcoin and Ethereum have different investment values, suitable for investors with varying risk preferences and investment needs. The former excels in value storage properties and mainstream recognition, while the latter is strong in technological applications and ecological potential. Below is a specific comparative analysis as of December 2025:\n \n1. Value positioning and market recognition: Bitcoin focuses on the value storage of "digital gold". By 2025, it has achieved key breakthroughs such as the approval of spot ETFs and being classified as a strategic reserve in the U.S. Its acceptance among institutions is at the forefront of mainstream cryptocurrencies, and structural benefits are created by the diversification of emerging market central bank assets. CoinShares predicts that in an optimistic scenario, Bitcoin may exceed $150,000 in 2026. Ethereum, on the other hand, is the core of blockchain application infrastructure, focusing on practical scenarios such as DeFi and tokenized assets. Its spot ETF has attracted about $21.4 billion in funds, and institutions are gradually increasing their allocation ratio, aligning more closely with the investment demand for practical asset utility.\n2. Technological development and ecological potential: Bitcoin's technological iteration is relatively stable, focusing on consolidating the security and stability of value storage, with innovations more concentrated in the application layer such as financial derivatives and custody services. Ethereum’s technological upgrades are more aggressive, having just completed the Fusaka hard fork in December, significantly increasing L1 throughput and blob capacity, reducing rollup costs, and optimizing user authentication experience, laying a solid foundation for Layer-2 expansion and institutional tokenization applications. Ecological projects like Base also plan to double the chain throughput, highlighting the growth potential brought about by technological innovation.\n3. Short-term trends and risk characteristics: Bitcoin's performance in December has been weak, with daily levels continuously closing in the red and showing a multi-cycle bearish arrangement, facing significant short-term pullback pressure and the risk of potential sell-offs by publicly listed companies holding Bitcoin. Ethereum's pullback on the same day (1.36%) was smaller than Bitcoin's, and the performance improvements brought by the Fusaka upgrade provide fundamental support. However, its price is still subject to the overall market sentiment of cryptocurrencies and macro policies, and it faces competitive pressure from rival products like Solana in the smart contract platform space.\n \nIn summary, for investors seeking stability and valuing long-term value storage, Bitcoin is more suitable; if one can withstand industry competition and technological iteration risks, and is optimistic about the prospects of blockchain applications, Ethereum has greater potential.

#美联储降息 #BTC 2025 December 12, 2025, after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, Bitcoin exhibited severe volatility with a sharp decline followed by a rebound. Specifically:

1. Early morning decline: Previously, Bitcoin surged to around $94,500 and then continuously declined, breaking below the $90,000 mark during today's Asian session, erasing the rebound gains made during the meeting. This is due to the Federal Reserve conveying a cautious attitude towards the continuation of interest rate cuts, leading to the exit of funds that had previously positioned for a rate-cut trend.
2. Subsequent rebound: As of around 8 a.m. on December 12, Bitcoin has shown a rebound, not only breaking above $93,000, with an intraday increase of 1.19%, but also rising over 4% from the daily low.
3. Short-term trend prediction: Currently, the selling sentiment has eased somewhat, with hourly and half-hour indicators stabilizing in the oversold zone. This afternoon, there is a high probability of a rebound in the European session, but the strength of the rebound may be limited, likely leading to a volatile trend. In the short term, it is important to focus on the support level of $89,000 - $90,000, while the resistance levels above are first at $93,500 and $94,000.

#BONK🔥🔥 You should also take a flight and take off once!

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Last Boarding Time
Tonight 3680, This Week 4000 see

#ETH走势分析 As of December 10, 2025, Ethereum shows a significant upward trend, with a technical bias towards bullish momentum, driven by macro market sentiment. The specific market situation and analysis are as follows:

1. Real-time price and market performance: As of 4:59 PM on that day, the current price of Ethereum is $3326.98, with a 24-hour increase of 5.97%. Trading activity is high, with a 24-hour trading volume of $33.02B and a total market capitalization of $401.80B, firmly ranking second in cryptocurrency market capitalization. The daily performance is strong, with a peak of $3397 during the early morning and a low of $3089. Previously, it was also influenced by U.S. job vacancy data, which, along with the overall rise in cryptocurrencies, saw it increase by nearly 10%, leading the market.
2. Key resistance and support levels: The first resistance level above is in the range of $3380 - $3397, with higher targets looking towards $3520 (corresponding to the 0.382 line and EMA120 line). In terms of support levels, on the daily chart, it can rely on the upper Bollinger Band at $3286, while the previously broken $3170 on the four-hour chart can serve as a stop-loss point for upward movement. Additionally, the EMA15 line at $3088 also provides strong support.
3. Technical analysis: On the daily chart, K-line has closed positively for four consecutive days, with an increase of 9.88%, and it stands firmly at the EMA15 line, continuing to gain strength. MACD shows an increase in volume, with DIF and DEA close to the 0 axis. The K-line has broken through the upper Bollinger Band, forming a clear bullish trend overall. On the four-hour chart, MACD shows an upward trend with expanding DIF and DEA, the K-line has deviated from the EMA trend indicator, and has broken through the 0.5 Fibonacci line resistance at $3170, indicating sufficient short-term bullish momentum.

However, cryptocurrency prices are extremely volatile, and profit-taking suggestions have appeared around $3380. If a neckline forms at the high point and fails to hold, caution is needed for pullback risks, and operations should be combined with real-time market data to manage stop-losses.

How will tonight go?
The Federal Reserve's year-end interest rate meeting for 2025 will be held on December 9-10, and the market widely predicts a high likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut at this meeting. Here are the key predictions and relevant basis:

1. High probability of a rate cut: As of December 9, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points has risen to 89.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is only 10.4%. Wall Street institutions like JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley have also adjusted their views, unanimously predicting a 25 basis point cut at this meeting.
2. Internal divisions still exist: Dovish officials such as New York Fed President Williams and San Francisco Fed President Daly clearly support a rate cut, fearing the risk of a deteriorating job market; meanwhile, the hawkish camp, including Boston Fed President Collins, holds a hesitant attitude toward further cuts, believing that the current interest rate level is necessary for controlling inflation. Among the 12 voting policymakers, as many as 5 have opposed or questioned further rate cuts.
3. Additional market focus: In addition to the rate cut decision, investors will also focus on the Federal Reserve's latest quarterly economic outlook report and Powell's post-meeting press conference statements. These contents will provide important signals for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path next year, influencing the year-end trend of global capital markets.

The results of this meeting will be announced at 3:00 AM Beijing time on December 11.

On December 9, 2025, Bitcoin showed a volatile downward trend after a rise, with intense competition around key levels, dominated by market caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The specific performance is as follows:

1. Price fluctuations: In the early morning, it briefly broke through $92,000, reaching a high of $92,260, but the upward momentum quickly faded. Subsequently, the price oscillated downward and fell below the $90,000 mark. By midday, the spot price of Bitcoin was reported at $89,872, with a 24-hour decline of 1.63%, and the intraday low dipped to around $89,550.
2. Market performance: The short-term volatility triggered large-scale liquidations, with the total liquidation amount across the network reaching about $280 million, and nearly 97,000 traders faced liquidation. The capital situation showed divergence, with major Bitcoin ETFs like BlackRock's IBIT experiencing significant net outflows in a single day; however, since December, the ETFs have still seen net inflows, and exchange Bitcoin balances remain low, indicating that long-term holders are continuously accumulating.
3. Technical aspects: Currently, it is in a consolidation box between $88,000 and $92,300, with the 20-day moving average around $89,370 providing immediate support, and the 30-day moving average around $92,387 constituting strong short-term resistance; the daily MACD indicator is flat, and the four-hour Bollinger Bands are contracting, indicating a lack of unilateral driving momentum in the short term and a state of consolidation.

As of December 7, 2025, 7:56 AM, the price of Ethereum (ETH) is approximately $3042-$3055, with a slight increase of about 0.4%-0.8% in the last 24 hours, showing a narrow range of fluctuations.

Price and Performance

- Real-time price: approximately $3042-$3055, with small fluctuations during the day.
- 24 hours: highest approximately $3190, lowest approximately $2991, with a fluctuation of about 6.4%.
- 7 days: cumulative increase of about 1.7%, overall showing a fluctuating upward trend.

Technical Analysis

- Support levels: $3000 (psychological level), $2983 (daily support), $2950-$2970 (short-term moving averages).
- Resistance levels: $3070 (previous high), $3150-$3200 (medium-term pressure), $3400-$3500 (strong resistance).
- Indicators: Daily candlestick shows a "Evening Star" pattern, momentum weakening, and short-term correction risk rising; 2-hour MACD shows signs of a golden cross but with a weak trend.

Market View

- Short-term: fluctuating in the $3000-$3070 range, direction unclear, fierce long-short contest.
- Medium-term: if it stabilizes above $3050, it is expected to test $3150-$3200; if it falls below $3000, it may test support near $2900.

Operational Suggestions

- Mainly observe, waiting for the price to break above $3070 or fall below $3000 before taking action.
- Short-term reference: go long near $3025, stop loss at $3000; go short near $3070, stop loss at $3100.



Risk Warning: Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, and the above content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.

Is the bull still there? Can it be chased back in?
In December 2025, the Bitcoin market is in a vague stage of intense long and short battles, neither clearly a bull market nor in a recognized bear market, and is at a critical crossroads. The specific situation is as follows:

1. From recent trends: After hitting a historical high of over $126,000 at the beginning of October, it has seen a cumulative drop of over 30%. On December 1, there was a sharp decline, but on the 2nd and 3rd, it stabilized and warmed up, with the price exceeding $93,000 on December 3, showing a 6% increase in 24 hours, indicating a short-term rebound trend.

2. Stalemate in long and short views: Bulls believe that the RSI is close to the oversold area, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and the historical pattern of seasonal Bitcoin increases in December may drive a price rebound, with long-term hopes for higher price levels; bears are worried about insufficient spot demand, significant net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, and long-term holders continuously reducing their holdings. If it breaks below the support level of $86,000, it may further decline.

3. Contradictions in market sentiment and indicators: The current fear and greed index is 23, indicating extreme fear, but on-chain surveys show a significant decrease in the proportion of pessimistic investors, and short-term technical indicators are also showing signs of stabilization and improvement, indicating that overall sentiment is gradually warming from panic.

So, do you think the bull market is still there?

Beef returns quickly, waiting for Ethereum to return to 5000

Is Wallace's boss also trading cryptocurrencies?
Is he hurt by Pepe or has he made a fortune?