🚨 ATTENTION: POWERFUL HEADLINE… BUT WITH A TRAP 🚨
👉 It is NOT official that “6 out of 12 members of the FOMC already support a 25 bp cut in January”.
This has NOT been announced by the Fed, is NOT in a statement from the FOMC, and Reuters did NOT confirm it.
💣 So, what is REAL?
✅ Real:
• The Fed ALREADY cut 25 bp in December
• Recent speeches from several FOMC members were more dovish
• Economic data has cooled (employment, inflation, growth)
• The market (rate futures) has started to raise the probability of another cut in 2026, potentially in January
❌ Not real / exaggerated:
• There is no prior public vote from the FOMC
• No one can confirm that “6 out of 12” are already aligned
• That is market reading + crypto narrative, not a decision made
🧠 Smoke-free translation:
The sentiment CHANGED,
but the decision is NOT finalized.
📈 Is it bullish for crypto and risk assets?
👉 Yes, in expectation.
Because:
• More cuts = more liquidity
• More liquidity = more risk appetite
• More risk = crypto moves first
⚠️ But watch out trader:
• Expectation ≠ confirmation
• The market can front-run the news
• And it can also sell the fact if the Fed disappoints
🔥 Harsh conclusion:
This is not fake,
but it is also not official.
It is a change in climate, not a signed decision.
The market senses liquidity…
but the Fed has not opened the valve yet. 👀📊
Are we continuing with a bullish narrative?
Yes.
With total confirmation?
Not yet.