UNI Analysis Prediction: Strong Trend Continuation, Beware of Overbought Pullback
Price Prediction Path (65% Probability)
Bullish Scenario: Hold Key Support at $6.00 → Breakthrough Upper Band at $6.30 → Challenge $6.40 Short Liquidation Zone
Trigger Conditions:
4-Hour MACD Maintains Positive Value, Histogram Does Not Turn Negative, OBV Continues Upward Trend, Accumulation Signals Show Stable Increase in Open Interest, Funding Rate Remains Positive But Not Excessive
Key Catalysts:
Unification Proposal Approval Expectations (Deadline 12-25): High Probability of Approval Will Trigger a New Round of Buying and Continuous Short Squeeze: 24-Hour Short Liquidation Ratio 82%, Short Sellers Are Pressured at $6.40 Liquidation Cluster: $5.3M Short Liquidations Awaiting Trigger
Price Targets:
First Target: $6.30 (4-Hour Bollinger Band Upper Band) Second Target: $6.40 (Core Short Liquidation Cluster) Extreme Target: $6.51 (1-Hour Bollinger Band Upper Band)
Bearish Scenario (35% Probability): Break Below $6.00 → Quick Retracement to $5.90-5.84 Support
Trigger Conditions:
1-Hour RSI Divergence Intensifies, Quickly Reverts from 71+ Highs, Continued Net Inflow into Exchanges (Selling Pressure Increases), Unexpected Opposition Voice in Governance Voting
Risk Points:
Severe Overbought: 1-Hour/4-Hour RSI Reaches 71-74, Historical High Liquidity Pressure: 7-Day Net Inflow +1.56M, Short-Term Profit-Taking Risk Daily SuperTrend Bearish: Long-Term Trend Not Yet Confirmed Liquidation Cascade: Break Below $6.00 Will Trigger $5.3M-$8.2M Long Liquidations
Price Targets:
First Support: $5.90 (Liquidation Cluster $4.8M) Core Support: $5.84-5.86 (Core Long Liquidation Cluster $8.2M)
