AI选币侠

I provide 2-3 potential cryptocurrency recommendations every day, along with trading strategies for both long and short positions. The next day, I will conduct backtesting and review. I will also provide multi-dimensional trend analysis for the other mainstream indicators $BTC $ETH over the next 24 hours. You can go directly to my homepage to watch.
The AI model I've trained can quickly and accurately analyze all real-time data of all cryptocurrencies on centralized exchanges from multiple dimensions, serving as a reference for predicting future trends. While it cannot guarantee 100% accuracy, the overall win rate after two months of testing has been quite high. AI is a new thing and a trend of the times; we cannot rely completely on AI, but we also cannot reject it. We should not have biases against new things. It can be considered a super-strong auxiliary tool. After all, the speed and efficiency of AI are unmatched by the human brain. Once the data comes out, you can make judgments based on your own experience and skills, which can significantly increase the win rate. After all, not everyone is a professional trader, and many friends who have been trading for a long time may not be very clear about many technical indicators, often trading based on intuition. AI analysis can save you a lot of time and effort.
Specific analysis dimensions:
Technical aspects: EMA/SMA, MACD, RSI, Bollinger, ATR, VWAP, Volume Profile are the core.
On-chain aspects: active addresses, net inflow to exchanges, ETH locked, whale holdings, DeFi TVL.
Derivatives aspects: funding rates, open interest, implied volatility, maximum pain, basis.
Capital flow: exchange reserves, net inflow/outflow, large order transactions, cross-chain bridge flows.
Structural aspects: buy/sell walls, depth charts, liquidity pool depth.
Macroeconomic aspects: interest rates, US dollar index, regulations, network upgrades, competitive chain dynamics.
Combining these indicators into a six-dimensional matrix of “Technical + On-chain + Derivative + Capital Flow + Structure + Macroeconomic” for in-depth analysis of short-term trading strategies.

If friends have anything they need me to analyze, they can also post in the comments, and I can provide analysis.
#内容挖矿 #BinanceSquareFamily

Today's Potential Cryptocurrency Recommendation Strategy Reference: AAVE Short Selling (4x Leverage)
Basic Logic: DeFi lending leader is in a weak consolidation, positive funding rate (+0.002% to +0.005%) long positions pay short positions, OBV multi-period decline indicates continuous distribution, 84% liquidation in the last 24 hours was for long positions, significant downward pressure.
Entry Signal (any 3 of the following conditions can be met to enter):
1-hour RSI > 50 (currently 44, waiting for a rebound) Price touches $180 resistance level (currently 179.75, close)
Funding rate > 0% (all platforms are positive, condition met)
OBV for 1 hour/4 hours is negative (condition met)
Price below 4-hour EMA26 (currently 179.75 < EMA26 185.88, condition met)
Trading Strategy:
Entry Price: $179.50-$181.00 (waiting for a rebound above $180)
Take Profit: TP1 $175.00 (-3%, 12% profit), TP2 $168.00 (-6.5%, 26% profit)
Stop Loss: $184.00 (+2.5%, 10% loss) Holding Time: 24-36 hours
Risk Warning: This is a counter-trend short strategy, only suitable for entering after confirming price rejection on the rebound, do not blindly short. Accumulation of $5.8 million long liquidation below $168 provides downward support. $AAVE #BinanceABCs

Today's Recommended Potential Cryptocurrency UNI Long (6x Leverage)
Basic Logic: DeFi blue-chip DEX leader, Daily RSI 40 oversold, negative funding rate (Binance -0.005%), 24-hour position volume up 5.7% shows new capital inflow, net outflow of 256,000 UNI in the past 3 days accumulates signals.
Entry Signal (any 3 conditions can trigger entry):
Daily RSI < 45 (current 40, met)
1-hour MACD Histogram > 0 (current +0.02, met)
Price above 1-hour EMA12 (current 5.20 > EMA12 4.98, met)
Funding rate < 0% (most exchanges negative, met)
24-hour position volume up or stable (current +5.7%, met)
Trading Strategy:
Entry Price: $5.15-$5.25
Take Profit: TP1 $5.45 (+4.6%, 27.6% profit), TP2 $5.65 (+8.5%, 51% profit)
Stop Loss: $4.95 (-4.6%, 27.6% loss) Holding Period: 24-48 hours
Risk Warning: Accumulated $3.5 million long liquidation below $4.62, strict adherence to stop-loss line. $UNI #美国非农数据超预期

Today's Potential Cryptocurrency Recommendation 1: LINK Long (5x Leverage)
Basic Logic: Leading Oracle, 4-hour RSI 28 deeply oversold, negative funding rate short pays long, net outflow of 96,000 LINK in the past 3 days shows accumulation behavior.
Entry Signal (satisfy any 3 to enter):
4-hour RSI < 30 (currently 28, already satisfied),
1-hour MACD histogram > 0 (currently +0.01, already satisfied)
Price above 1-hour EMA12 (currently 12.23 close to EMA12 12.23)
Funding rate < 0% (Binance -0.009%, already satisfied)
Position change in 24 hours < 5% (currently -3.6%, already satisfied)
Trading Strategy:
Entry Price: $12.20-$12.30
Take Profit: TP1 $12.85 (+5%, 25% profit), TP2 $13.20 (+8%, 40% profit)
Stop Loss: $11.70 (-4.3%, 21.5% loss) Holding Time: 24-36 hours
Risk Warning: Below $11.57 price accumulates $9 million long liquidation, if it falls below $12 could trigger a chain stop loss. $LINK #加密市场观察

BOJ Interest Rate Hike Certainty: Announced on December 19, Beijing time 11:30-13:00, with over 90% consensus among economists to raise rates by 25 basis points to 0.75%. However, the market has fully priced in this expectation, and actual fluctuations may be smaller than anticipated (historically, BOJ rate hikes have seen BTC drop 23-31%, but this time is pre-priced).
Current Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index 11-32 (Extreme Fear), BTC has dropped 6.5% to $87,000 over the past 7 days, ETH has dropped 15% to $2,843 over the past 7 days, with a total market cap evaporating by about 4-5%. High FDV altcoins generally fell by 3-10%, indicating a flight to safety towards BTC and stablecoins.
Trading Direction Recommendation: Prioritize selecting targets with negative funding rates (long positions can be taken on excessive shorts) or declining trends with positive funding rates (can short), leverage should be controlled between 3-7 times, and stop-loss widened to 4-6% to cope with the BOJ's violent fluctuations on the day. $BTC #美国非农数据超预期

Recommended operation strategy under this market $BTC

No wonder the turnover rate of delivery riders is very high
$BNB

📈 24h Crypto Market Outlook
🔹 Technical Analysis: BTC/USDT RSI low (≈44), MACD fully bearish crossover, price below EMA50, short-term momentum biased to the downside.
🔹 Capital Flow: Over the past 4 days, net outflow from exchanges ≈5k BTC, open interest (OI) declining, short pressure increasing.
🔹 Macroeconomic Factors: Bank of Japan 12-19 expected to raise interest rates by 25bp (probability ≈70%), yen may appreciate, risk assets under pressure.
⚡ Possible Trends
Base Case (≈60%) → Consolidation downward, BTC $84‑86k. Bullish (≈25%) → If BOJ remains or is dovish, BTC rebounds to $87.5k. Bearish (≈15%) → Confirmation of rate hike, BTC breaks $84k, drops to $83k.
🔑 Key Monitoring
Whether BTC stands above/below EMA50 ($86k / $84k) Funding rate positive/negative change USD/JPY whether falls below 145
💡 Suggested Action: Wait for interest rate results, light long positions (stop loss $84.5k) or short protection. Risk Warning: US stocks, geopolitical sudden events may amplify volatility. $BTC #美国非农数据超预期

ONDO is currently in a technical oversold state (RSI 30-32), with a price of $0.4057 near the lower Bollinger Band daily line, down 17.2% over the past 7 days. Despite a bearish structure across multiple time frames, the deep oversold condition combined with strong bullish factors (SEC investigation concluded, $200M institutional funds, Solana expansion plan) provides support for a short-term rebound. The bearish probability in the next 48 hours is 70% (trend continuing to $0.388) vs bullish probability of 30% (oversold rebound to $0.42). Derivative positions decreased by 3.7% and the funding rate is positive, with shorts dominating but the reduction signals suggest weakening selling pressure. Price: $0.4057 | 24H: -1.6% | 7 Days: -17.2%
Technical Aspect: 🚨 Deep Oversold Area
RSI: 31 (daily) | MACD all-period death cross, Bollinger Band: price close to the lower band, volatility squeeze
Open Interest: $109.47M (-3.7% 24h)
Funding Rate: +0.005% (shorts dominate)
📈 48-Hour Dual Scenarios
🐻 Scenario One: Bearish Continuation (Probability 70%)
Logic: MACD death cross + OBV continues to decline + moving averages in bearish arrangement
Path: $0.405 → $0.400 → $0.388 (target)
Trigger: Break below $0.404 + increased volume
🐂 Scenario Two: Oversold Rebound (Probability 30%)
Logic: RSI deep oversold + bullish factors not priced in + shorts reducing positions
Path: $0.405 → $0.409 → $0.417-0.427
Trigger: RSI breaks 40 + stabilizes above $0.409 moving average
💡 Action Strategy
🟢 Long (Rebound Bet)
Entry: $0.406-0.408 Stop Loss: $0.402 (risk control 5 points) Target: T1 $0.417 | T2 $0.427 Risk-Reward: 2.6:1 Position: Light 10-15%
🔴 Short (Trend Following)
Entry: $0.404-0.406 Stop Loss: $0.410 Target: T1 $0.400 | T2 $0.388 Risk-Reward: 3.4:1 Position: Medium 20-30%

⚠️ Core Risks
Bullish Risks:
❌ Technical bearish structure remains unchanged
❌ OI decline shows lack of confidence
❌ Market correction suppresses rebounds
Bearish Risks:
❌ RSI 30 level prone to trigger a V-recovery
❌ $200M SWEEP fund + Solana expansion bullish
❌ $0.417 short liquidation cluster Short Squeeze risk
💎 Summary Recommendation
Currently, ONDO is in a contradiction phase of technical oversold vs fundamentally bullish. Recommendations:
✅ Conservative: Predominantly short, short below $0.404 to $0.388
✅ Aggressive: Buy at the oversold zone $0.406 with light positions for rebounds
✅ Steady: Wait for clear signals (RSI > 40 or break below $0.400) before acting accordingly
⚡ Strict Stop Loss 2-3% | 📍 Observe January unlocking event $ONDO #内容挖矿

⚠️After checking the data, I fell silent: the "Red Fruit Short Drama" on your phone is crushing Bilibili and Youku.

Today I was shocked by a piece of data: the monthly active users of Red Fruit Short Drama have reached 236 million.
What does that mean?
Bilibili took 15 years, Youku took 18 years to accumulate the user base, this app surpassed them in less than two years.
This is not just a victory in the "sinking market"; this is the algorithm's dimensionality reduction blow to human nature.
When everyone goes home, they can really take a look at their parents' or elders' phones; there's a high probability they all have this app, and the penetration rate is ridiculously high.
Why can't many adults stop once they start scrolling? Because it understands human nature too well:
Cyber Free Eggs: Other platforms charge membership fees, but it’s not only free; you can also earn cash by watching dramas. For the elders, this is not "entertainment"; it’s "earning pocket money," and the stickiness is extremely strong.
Emotional Bulldozer: The dramas here don’t require logic; they only need emotions. Mother-in-law and daughter-in-law conflicts, reverse hits, sudden wealth – the plot pace is so fast that no thinking is needed, all are dopamine traps.
In the past, we worried about children being addicted to online games; now we might have to worry about adults being addicted to short dramas.
This combination of "nipple happiness" + "small gains" is indeed the ultimate weapon for harvesting attention.
$ETH #加密市场观察

Today's Potential Token Recommendation: LIGHT Long

Fundamentals: The current price of LIGHT is $1.55, with an FDV of $661 million and a circulation of only 10.2%, making it an early high-growth asset. It was just listed on OKX perpetual contracts on December 16, having previously been launched on Binance, Bybit, and Bitget, with sufficient trading depth. The project has received $9.6 million in financing support, with a 24-hour spot trading volume of $34.38 million and a perpetual trading volume reaching $498 million, indicating high institutional participation.
Technical Analysis: The 1-hour RSI at 65 is in a healthy bullish range, while the 4-hour RSI at 72 is close to overbought but has not broken the critical level of 80. The MACD histogram shows strong bullish momentum at +0.007 on the 1-hour and +0.038 on the 4-hour. The price is currently running below the upper Bollinger Band of 1.747, with the key EMA12 firmly at 1.501 and EMA26 at 1.412 forming a bullish arrangement. The ADX indicators at 44 for the 1-hour and 31 for the 4-hour confirm a strong trend continuation, with the daily RSI at 57 leaving ample room for upward movement. The volume OBV indicator shows multi-period resonance increases, supporting trend continuation.
Derivatives Data: The funding rate of +0.004% shows a slight positive value, indicating that longs are paying but at a very low rate, suggesting a balance between long and short positions with no excessive leverage. The open interest of $33 million combined with a daily trading volume of $498 million indicates ample liquidity, with an estimated slippage of less than 1% for $100,000 orders, suitable for high leverage entry and exit.
On-chain Signals: A holder concentration of 96.16% seems high-risk, but the 82.8% lock-up of the largest holder's chips actually reduces selling pressure, with no significant unlocking events in the last 48 hours. From December 15 to 17, the price rose continuously from $1.10 to $1.55, a 40% increase without significant on-chain transfers, indicating stable control.

Trading Strategy: Use 7x leverage to go long. Enter in batches in the price range of $1.52-$1.55, with Binance perpetual LIGHT/USDT offering optimal liquidity. The primary target is $1.75 (the extension of the 1-hour Bollinger upper band), corresponding to a 15% increase, with 7x leverage yielding a 105% profit. The second target is $1.85 (the Fibonacci 1.618 extension after breaking the previous high). The stop-loss is set at $1.41, which is below the 4-hour EMA26, a retracement of 8.5% from the entry price, resulting in an actual account loss of about 60% with 7x leverage, which is manageable risk. The holding period is 24-48 hours; if the $1.75 target is reached, reduce the position by 50% to lock in profits, and track the remaining position to $1.85. Note that if the 4-hour RSI breaks 80, be cautious of short-term pullbacks, but as long as the price holds above $1.50 and the ADX remains above 40, the probability of trend continuation is high. $LIGHT #加密市场观察

ETH is currently at a technical breaking point and a game-changing moment at the bottom of on-chain accumulation. The technical indicators across all time frames show moving averages suppressing prices (1h/4h/1d prices below all EMA/SMA), the 4h RSI is oversold (34.5), and a 24h deleveraging of -5.78% accompanied by $216M in long liquidations depicts a short-term pattern favoring bears. However, on-chain data shows a completely opposite narrative: a net outflow of 258,000 ETH over 7 days, a 30-day reserve decline of 5.64%, an average daily inflow of $140M into institutional ETFs, and whales accumulating against the trend (borrowing $85M to buy 38,600 ETH), all of which are typical signals of smart money bottom accumulation.
In the derivatives market, the funding rate has turned negative (Binance/OKX shorts paying longs), the maximum pain point for options is anchored at $3,000, and the liquidation heatmap shows $1.37B of short positions piled up at $3,048, suggesting that if the price stabilizes above $2,940, it will trigger a short squeeze. On a macro level, the Federal Reserve is lowering interest rates, the DXY has dropped to a two-month low of 98.11, and the Fusaka upgrade is boosting the L2 ecosystem, creating mid-term positive factors. However, structurally, CEX liquidity is contracting (Bybit down 7 days -12.41%) and daily active addresses have decreased by 8.6%, indicating weak short-term demand.
Operational recommendations:
Consolidation as the main scenario (40% probability): high selling and low buying in the $2,900-$2,950 range, with regular investment in spot combined with options hedging for bullish positioning (30% probability): building positions in increments at the lower Bollinger Band between $2,897-$2,911, targeting $3,000-$3,200, and a stop-loss at $2,870 for bears' defense (20% probability): if it breaks below $2,897, short to $2,823-$2,750, but position sizing must be strictly controlled (≤30%) key monitoring indicators: OI recovery speed (needs to rise above $39B+), whether the 4h RSI is bottoming out and recovering
In terms of time window, there is a possibility of testing the $2,950-$3,000 range before options expiration from 12/17-12/20; if it fails, it will enter a 7-10 day bottoming period waiting for a new round of catalysts (possibly end-of-year institutional reallocation or January ETF funds coming in). The core logic remains unchanged: trade bearish on technicals, and allocate bullish on-chain. $ETH #美国非农数据超预期

The current price of ETH at $2,930 is at a strong bearish technical structure (below all moving averages, 4h RSI oversold at 34.5) and a contradictory on-chain bullish signal (7-day net outflow of 258,000 ETH, institutional inflow of $140M). On the derivatives front, a 24h deleveraging of -5.78% accompanied by 87% long liquidations of $216M shows the failure of bulls, but the maximum pain point for options at $3,000 suggests the willingness of market makers to push higher. The macro environment is slightly warm (Federal Reserve rate cuts, DXY falling to a two-month low of 98.11, positive upgrades from Fusaka), but the risk of technical breakdown is high. The probability of short-term fluctuations is 70%, within the range of $2,823-$3,000; the direction of the breakout depends on the defense of the $2,911 support and the speed of OI recovery. $ETH #美国非农数据超预期

LINK 24-Hour Trend Outlook
Current Status: LINK is trading at $12.89 (as of 2025-12-16 14:30 UTC), down 5.27% in the last 24 hours, with a weekly decline of 6.10%. The technical structure is weak — although the 1-hour chart shows a positive MACD, the 4-hour RSI has fallen to 38.12, nearing the oversold edge, and the daily MACD has turned negative, with prices consistently below the moving averages across all time frames (13.15-14.31). This indicates that the short-term rebound strength is limited, and the medium-term trend remains under pressure.
Key Support and Resistance: The core support zone below is at $12.52-$12.60 (4-hour Bollinger Band lower bound); if lost, it points to $12.33 as the daily lower bound. The upper resistance zone is $13.00-$13.15 (liquidation resistance area, short positions starting from $198,000), a breakout requires strong volume support. The futures open interest of $542M has only slightly decreased by 0.93%, but the positive funding rate (Binance 0.0099%) and 96.8% liquidation ratio for long positions ($3.27M) suggest that long premiums face a risk of unwinding.
Fundamentals and Sentiment Catalysts: Strong fundamentals provide mid-term support for LINK — Coinbase announced that CCIP has become a $7 billion packaging asset (cbBTC, cbETH, etc.) exclusive interoperability provider, CMTA adopted its interoperability standards, and the Grayscale LINK ETF (GLNK) attracted $37M in inflows on its first day. On-chain data is similarly positive: daily active addresses increased from 2,088 to 2,935, trading volume soared from $383M to $673M (+76%), and protocol fees and revenue grew by 72% in a single day (from $269 to $464). Social sentiment is strongly bullish, focusing on Swift collaboration, institutional adoption, and BlackRock integration hiring narratives. However, the net inflow of +156k LINK (turning into inflow on December 15) may indicate short-term profit-taking.
48-Hour Scenario: The baseline path is for LINK to consolidate in the $12.50-$13.00 range, balancing the weak technicals with positive fundamentals. If the 4-hour oversold condition triggers a rebound and breaks through $13.00, it may challenge the $13.50 resistance; however, if the $12.50 support is lost, the risk of dipping to $12.33 or even $12.00 increases. Overall, the trend is slightly weak and volatile, with upward movement requiring ETF inflows or new catalysts to activate, while downside risks come from technical breakdowns and the chain reaction of long liquidations $LINK #美国非农数据超预期

SUI Future 24-hour Trend Outlook
Current Status: SUI price is at $1.50 level (as of 2025-12-16 14:30 UTC), with a 24-hour decline of 4.18% and a weekly decline of 5.90%. The technical indicators show a divergence—1-hour MACD turning positive indicates short-term rebound momentum, but both the 4-hour and daily levels are below the major moving averages, with RSI hovering in the neutral weak position between 42-55.
Key Support and Resistance: Support is concentrated at $1.43 (Bollinger Band lower track and dense liquidation zone) and $1.41 psychological level. Resistance is located at $1.52-$1.77 (50-day moving average band), with a breakout requiring clear buying pressure. The current futures open interest is $689M, down 5.03%, and the positive funding rate indicates that longs are still paying a premium, compounded by the 94.9% liquidation in the past 24 hours being long positions ($3.52M), indicating that longs are facing pressure.
On-chain and Sentiment Signals: Strong fundamentals provide support—daily active addresses have surpassed 610,000, TVL has reached $2.64 billion (weekly increase of 12.82%), and 24-hour on-chain trading volume is 5.08 billion SUI (approximately $7.7 billion). Importantly, there is a net outflow of 5-7M SUI from exchanges, indicating that holders prefer self-custody over selling. Social sentiment is bullish, with the community emphasizing explosive user growth, rising DEX trading volumes, and the narrative that current prices are undervalued. However, caution is needed regarding the ongoing daily unlocking of approximately 387,000 SUI (until December 18), which could be a source of short-term selling pressure.
48-hour Scenario: In the baseline scenario, SUI may fluctuate between $1.43-$1.52, with bearish technical tendencies clashing with strong on-chain data. If $1.50 holds and the 1-hour momentum continues, there is hope to test the $1.52-$1.60 resistance; however, if it breaks below the $1.43 support, it may trigger a liquidation chain reaction down to $1.41 or even lower. Overall, the outlook is cautiously neutral, with upside needing sustained on-chain buying pressure to offset unlocking selling pressure, while downside risks stem from weak technicals and long liquidations. $SUI #加密市场观察