📍#ETH Dingding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/21)
【Core View】：3,000 levels regained and lost, the air force has gathered, and the last line of defense for the bulls is precarious.
Ethereum is currently priced around 2,968, confirming a drop below the psychological level of 3,000 again. The bearish arrangement at the daily level is very complete, and the pressure zone between 3,150 and 3,177 is like an iron wall. The short-term 1-hour level also declares the end of the rebound, turning into a minor bearish trend. This means that yesterday's rebound was just the main force luring the bulls to offload. The current market is like 'boiling a frog in warm water'; as long as the price remains below 3,000, any rebound is an opportunity for you to escape, not a signal to enter.
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📊 Long-term trend: Medium bearish (1D)
Current situation interpretation:
The daily closing price of 2,968.42 is already below all key moving averages and is firmly pressed below 3,151.62. This is a standard 'downward continuation' pattern. The bulls are unable to recover lost ground, while the bears are ready to pounce. Once the support at 2,909 is pierced, the hellish gate to 2,437 will open.
【1D Band Strategy】
• Key operation: A rebound to the range of 3,028-3,151 is an excellent short point. A drop below 2,909 is a signal to chase shorts.
• Defense/Long-short boundary: 3,177.69 (if it can't return here, there is no hope for the long-term)
🛑 Short position layout:
• Short on rebound (limit order): 3,028.88 ～ 3,151.62 (recommended capital 60% to ambush)
• Chase price on breakdown: close below 2,909.48
• Take profit target (TP): 2,909.48 ／ 2,755.46 ／ 2,437.14
• Stop loss (SL): 3,316.86
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📊 Medium-term trend: Consolidation (4H)
Current situation interpretation:
The 4-hour level is currently in 'dead time', with prices fluctuating in a narrow range between 2,957 and 2,969. This kind of indecisive trend is the most frustrating. For swing traders, the risk of range trading is extremely high, and it is recommended to wait and see. Pay close attention to the defense situation at 2,909; once it is lost, the bears will accelerate their takeover of the market.
【4H Band Strategy】
• Key operation: Observe more, act less, keep your bullets.
• Defense/Long-short boundary: 3,178.46
🛑 Watch range:
• Upper edge of the range: 3,178.46
• Lower edge of the range: 2,909.48 (key watershed)
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📊 Short-term trend: Small bearish (1H)
Current situation interpretation:
The short-term trend has weakened, with prices breaking below the short-term moving average and the resistance level of 2,978. This indicates that the short-term bulls have given up, and market sentiment has turned pessimistic. The rebound strength is weak, and a sharp drop may occur at any time.
【1H Day Trading Strategy】
• Key operation: If the rebound does not exceed the resistance, go short; a drop below 2,963 will be a signal to chase the price.
• Capital suggestion: patiently place orders 60% + chase price on breakdown 40%
🛑 Short position layout:
• Short on rebound (limit order): 2,971.14 ～ 2,978.84
• Chase price on breakdown: close below 2,963.26
• Take profit target (TP): 2,963.26 ／ 2,948.60 ／ 2,933.02
• Stop loss (SL): 3,465.70 (it is recommended to set it slightly above 2,978 according to strategy)
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📝 Summary and operational advice
• For holders: 3,000 has been lost, this is not a joke. If you still hold many long positions, it is recommended to reduce positions on the rebound and not let your assets shrink.
• For those with empty hands: Patience is the greatest virtue. Wait for the price to rebound to around 3,000 and then short when it shows weakness, or wait for a drop below 2,909 and then chase shorts to take advantage of the falling dividends.
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