In 2017, I entered the market with $5000, witnessing the tragic scenes of my friends facing contract liquidation, mortgaging their homes, and even nearly becoming homeless. Meanwhile, my account has steadily grown like climbing a slope, with a maximum drawdown of no more than 8% in five years, never liquidated, and ultimately reaching seven figures.
What I rely on is not some insider information, but a trading system called 'probability profit method'. In this current volatile market, this method is even more powerful. Today, I will break it down based on my practical experience.
First move: Lock in compound interest, putting a 'bulletproof vest' on profits
Every time I open a position, the first thing I do is set the take profit and stop loss orders. Once the profit reaches 10% of the principal, I will immediately withdraw 50% of the profit to a cold wallet, leaving the remaining half to continue rolling in the market.
This method seems simple, but it has allowed me to safely withdraw profits 37 times over five years, with the most in one week being $180,000, a sum so large that it even attracted video verification from the exchange's customer service. After profit withdrawals, the money you use to roll over is actually "free money," and the mindset is entirely different.
Current situation adaptation: The market is currently highly volatile, often showing significant gains today and significant losses tomorrow. With this tactic, even if the market reverses later, you only lose part of the profit, and the principal remains intact. This is much more reassuring than laboriously working for half a year only to lose everything in one pullback.
Second tactic: Misaligned position building, turning the consolidation market into your "ATM."
I never bet in one direction; instead, I use a "misaligned position building method" combined with multiple timeframes. I use the daily chart to see the direction, the 4-hour chart to find the range, and the 15-minute chart to pinpoint the entry point.
For the same coin, I will place a breakout long order (with the stop loss set at the previous low on the daily chart) and a limit short order lurking in the overbought area on the 4-hour chart. The stop losses for both orders are controlled within 1.5% of the principal, and the profit target is set at over 5 times.
The market is in a range 80% of the time. This strategy of "opening both long and short positions" allows me to profit while others are liquidated when the market fluctuates. On the day LUNA crashed last year, the price fluctuated by 90% within 24 hours, and I achieved a daily account growth of 42%.
Current situation adaptation: Currently, mainstream coins like BTC are in a high-level consolidation phase, with unclear direction. Holding onto one direction can easily lead to being hit back and forth. It’s better to use a misaligned position strategy; no matter which direction the market breaks, you have a countermeasure.
Third tactic: small stop loss for big profit, a win rate of 38% can still yield stable profits.
My win rate is actually not high, only about 38%, but my profit-to-loss ratio is as high as 4.8:1. I consider each 1.5% stop loss on the principal as a necessary "entry ticket."
This is equivalent to using a small, certain loss to seek a chance for potentially high returns. As long as the market is favorable, I let profits run with a trailing stop; if the market is unfavorable, I immediately cut losses and exit. Over the long term, the mathematical expectation is positive, earning back 1.9 yuan for every 1 yuan of risk taken.
Current situation adaptation: In the current market where institutions are observing and the news is chaotic, it’s hard to be right every time. The essence of this tactic is not to pursue a high win rate but to pursue a high profit-to-loss ratio. As long as you can capture two decent trends in a year, the returns can outperform most financial products.
Three key points for beginners to adapt to the current situation.
Capital slicing, controlling positions: Divide the total capital into 10 parts, using a maximum of 1 part for each order, and hold no more than 3 parts at the same time. In the current market, never bet heavily on one direction.
Cool down emotions, enforce breaks: If I incur losses on two consecutive trades, I must force myself to leave the screen and go exercise or do something else. The consolidation market is most likely to trigger "revenge trading," resulting in greater losses.
Profit conversion, cashing out: Every time my account doubles, I will withdraw 20% of the profit to buy traditional assets like U.S. bonds or gold. Digital assets are highly volatile, and regularly converting part of the profit into more stable assets allows you to sleep well even in a bear market.
Conclusion: Survival in the crypto world, discipline is the biggest moat.
In this market, it’s not that you can’t make mistakes, but you can’t make mistakes too much. One liquidation can leave you unable to recover. The current market is in a consolidation phase, and the biggest risk is not missing opportunities but the permanent loss of capital due to impulsive trading.
This method sounds simple, but executing it is contrary to human nature. However, it is these seemingly tedious disciplines that have allowed me to achieve stable growth over five years. Starting today, it might be wise to revisit your trading plan, set appropriate take profits and stop losses, and ensure you always have capital to stay at the table.
"The casino is not afraid of you winning money; it is afraid of you winning and not playing anymore. The market is not afraid of you making mistakes; it is afraid of you completely exiting after making a mistake."#巨鲸动向 $ETH
