🚨 Japan's most aggressive interest rate hike in thirty years has landed, but Bitcoin hasn't crashed; instead, it has risen! Why?
Looking back at history, this truly is a "nuclear bomb": after the last three interest rate hikes in Japan, Bitcoin fell by 20%-30% within more than a month. The core logic is the reversal of "yen carry trades" — global institutions are forced to sell assets to buy back yen to pay off debts. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
💥 But this time, the market script has changed! After the interest rate hike, Bitcoin didn't fall but rose, and there are three reasons:
1. Expectations fulfilled: Panic had already been released before the resolution, "bad news is fully priced in."
2. Yen not strong: The yen exchange rate remains weak, and arbitrageurs do not have urgent liquidation pressure.
3. Substantial remains loose: Japan's real interest rate is still negative, and the accommodative environment has not fundamentally changed.
‼️ The alarm has not been lifted! The real risks have been delayed, not disappeared. In the future, keep a close eye on two major signals: #日本加息
· Yen trend: If it appreciates significantly (such as breaking 150), it may still trigger a trillion-dollar liquidation wave. #加密市场观察
· Central bank rhetoric: Does the governor hint at consecutive interest rate hikes in 2026?
💎 Our strategy: #巨鲸动向
In the game between "short-term bad news fully priced in" and "long-term tightening shadow," we must remain vigilant. Avoid high leverage and pay attention to key support levels for BTC. In the long run, the divergence in monetary policies between Japan and the U.S. highlights Bitcoin's unique value as a non-sovereign safe haven. At the same time, capital will also seek high-elasticity opportunities in ecosystems like Ethereum, such as those with top community consensus assets.
👇 What do you think?
Is this a "false alarm" or the "calm before the storm"?
Do you think Bitcoin can completely break free from the "interest rate curse"?
