📍#ETH Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/23)
【Core Viewpoint】：3,000 is shaking. Double bearish signals on Daily and Hourly charts. 2,984 is the last fig leaf.
Ethereum is trading at 3,002. While technically above 3,000, the chart is exhausted. The Daily timeframe is strictly suppressed by 3,177, and this bounce failed to even touch the core resistance zone before fading. The 1H chart has flipped bearish, unable to clear 3,016. The market is "boiling the frog." Once the bullish defense at 2,984 is breached, a waterfall drop awaits.
#Crypto #ETH #Ethereum #DingDingAnalysis
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Mid-Bearish (1D)
Market Interpretation:
The Daily close at 3,002.77 remains under the pressure of the downtrend, with 3,177.69 acting as an insurmountable wall. This is a classic "bearish relay" structure. Whales are using the psychological 3,000 level to lure bulls while stacking shorts above. Losing 2,984 confirms the start of the next major leg down.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Short dominance. Short aggressively near 3,177 or chase the breakdown below 2,984.
• Defense/Pivot: 3,177.69 (Bearish structure downgrades only if reclaimed)
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 3,177.69 ～ 2,984.90 (Alloc: 60%)
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): Close below 2,984.90
• Take Profit (TP): 2,792.31 ／ 2,582.59
• Stop Loss (SL): 3,603.00
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Consolidation (4H)
Market Interpretation:
The 4H timeframe is the last fortress for bulls, keeping price barely within the 2,984 to 3,194 range. However, "low-level consolidation" is usually bearish, as prolonged stagnation often leads to drops. Overhead selling pressure is heavy; if bulls can't forcefully break 3,194, all oscillation is merely draining their ammo.
【4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Watch 2,984.90 closely—it's the lifeline.
• Defense/Pivot: 2,984.90
🛑 Watch Zone:
• Strength Watch: 3,194.62
• Weakness Watch: 2,984.90 (Breakdown voids bullish range thesis)
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Small Bearish (1H)
Market Interpretation:
The short-term trend has weakened first, with bounces rejected at 3,016. This indicates a severe lack of buying interest and pessimistic sentiment. As long as price stays below 3,016, the strategy is "sell the rallies."
【1H Intraday Strategy】
• Key Action: Short if bounce fails at 3,016; chase if 2,956 breaks.
• Fund Allocation: Limit Orders 60% + Chase Breakdown 40%
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 3,016.77 ～ 2,956.15
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): 2,956.15
• Take Profit (TP): 2,902.81 ／ 2,842.19
• Stop Loss (SL): 3,472.50 (Recommended to set just above 3,070.11)
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📝 Summary & Advice
• For Holders: ETH is on the edge. 2,984 is your final escape hatch. If it breaks, run.
• For Non-Holders: This is a feast for bears. Wait for a bounce to 3,016 or 3,177 to open shorts; the win rate is far higher than betting on a bounce now.
