📍#BNB Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/23)
【Core Viewpoint】：Golden Shovel is rusting. Daily DMI confirms bear control. 860 is the short-term ceiling.
BNB is currently trading at 853.21, continuing its weak performance. The Daily chart has not only lost all short-term moving averages but the DMI indicator also shows bearish momentum (-DI) significantly overpowering the bulls, with trend strength rising. This implies the current drop has real weight, not just a low-volume drift. With the 1H MACD confirming a death cross, bounces can't even reach 860. If bulls fail to defend 849, the short-term price will accelerate towards 819 or even 745.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Mid-Bearish (1D)
Market Interpretation:
The Daily close at 853.21 is far below the critical resistance of 921.01 and suppressed by short-term MAs. The DMI indicator gives a clear signal: a bearish trend is forming. This is dangerous, indicating that selling pressure dominates price action. Until 921 is reclaimed, all rallies are merely "escape waves."
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Short dominance. Short on weak bounces; losing 745 starts a major bear market.
• Defense/Pivot: 921.01 (A distant dream for bulls)
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 921.01 ～ 745.09 (Note: Large range, suggest entering near short-term resistance ~870)
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): Close below 745.09
• Take Profit (TP): 745.09 ／ 614.87
• Stop Loss (SL): 960.74
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Consolidation (4H)
Market Interpretation:
The 4H price is stuck near 853 with DMI below 20, indicating low-volatility "garbage time." Although price is below short-term MAs, momentum is messy, and both sides are hesitant. Fakeouts are common here. Suggest watching the 819-857 range and staying inactive until a breakout.
【4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Range watch. Resistance at 857, support at 819.
• Defense/Pivot: 819.55
🛑 Watch Zone:
• Strength Watch: 857.48
• Weakness Watch: 819.55 (Breakdown voids bullish range thesis)
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Small Bearish (1H)
Market Interpretation:
The short-term trend has weakened. MACD death cross with negative histogram indicates emerging selling pressure. Price is capped below 860.17 with weak bounce strength. Once 849.34 breaks, short-term support collapses.
【1H Intraday Strategy】
• Key Action: Short on rejection near 860; chase breakdown below 849.
• Fund Allocation: Limit Orders 60% + Chase Breakdown 40%
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 860.17 ～ 849.34
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): 849.34
• Take Profit (TP): 840.02 ／ 829.19
• Stop Loss (SL): 871.91
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📝 Summary & Advice
• For Holders: BNB's weakness is structural. Both Daily and short-term charts are bearish. Reduce positions while price is above 850. Don't wait until 819 breaks to panic.
• For Non-Holders: Do not catch this falling knife. Wait for a bounce near 860 to short, or wait for a breakdown below 849 to follow the trend. The trend is down; trade with it.
