Family, who understands this! I just landed back in the country after a long journey across time zones, and even though I wanted to catch up on sleep, I couldn't resist taking a look at the market first. Rather than wait for tonight's chat room, I got up early to share some fresh insights with you all, after all, as your analyst, even if I'm dead tired, I remember to synchronize market judgments with my fans! (The accompanying picture is of a chicken and pigeon, those who understand will understand; remember to give this night owl a thumbs up after reading~)
Let me reveal my core operational plan without beating around the bush: I am still firmly holding my medium-term short position, but it must be closed this week, no exceptions! Even if the market doesn't hit my take-profit target, I will close all medium-term short positions with one click at 8 AM next Monday, no lingering battles. This is my current clearest operational discipline; friends who are laying out plans alongside me should take note of this time point.
Returning to the current market situation, to be honest, right now is the phase of 'swing traders celebrating, trend followers waiting in silence.' Recently, the market has been oscillating back and forth in a narrow range, with an absurdly weak trend. Those wanting to chase trends are likely to wear themselves out; but for swing traders, this is an excellent 'wool harvesting' window period. As long as you grasp the high and low points of the range, you should have made decent profits over the past week. On the other hand, trend followers really have no room to operate at this moment, and instead of stubbornly trying to enter and figure things out, it's better to calm down and wait for the direction to become clear. After all, ineffective trading during oscillation periods will only waste capital and patience.
Let me insert some real talk here: because I was too exhausted from the journey back home last night, I haven't had the chance to sort out the recent fundamental data, such as macroeconomic data and key information on market liquidity. So I can't currently assess the overall macro environment of the market. Including whether the recent downtrend that started from 126000 has truly concluded, I can't confidently make a conclusion at this moment.
However, from a technical perspective, this recent downtrend on the weekly level does indeed have the possibility of wrapping up. But as you all know, since I still hold a medium-term short position, it indicates that I personally lean towards 'this downtrend is not finished yet.' Here, I want to share a signal of my shift in thinking: if my short position hits the breakeven point, I will immediately adjust my strategy. For the next two months, the core thought will shift to 'buying on the dips,' and I will no longer stubbornly adhere to the logic of short positions.
Alright, that's all for my rough insights that I've organized after just landing. The details will have to wait until I catch up on sleep and finish reviewing the fundamental data to refine. Tonight, I will be on time in the chat room to chat with everyone, and at that time, we'll delve deeper into swing trading techniques, methods of range judgment, and specific projections for the future market direction.
Finally, let's interact! Friends who have read this article, drop a '1' in the comments to let me know you're here~ If you have any questions you'd like to ask, feel free to leave a message in the comments, and I'll prioritize answering them in tonight's chat room! Remember to follow me@帝王说币 #加密市场观察 $BTC
