一哥交易经
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汇市8年,阅K无数.币海沉浮,唯有坚守.前头部企业投顾,爱钓鱼的盘手一枚.价格行为交易者,分享日内交易机会.(波段/高频/长线).主流起家,有问必答.还有每月抽奖,一对一答疑分享.
交易手续费立省20%邀请码：ONE666
公众号:一哥交易经
X:0xOnebit
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🚀 Binance chat room has launched the 【private chat】 feature! To facilitate smoother communication in the future, you no longer have to worry about not being able to find me if you have questions; you can add me as a friend or join the chat room!
Add Friend:
1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance
2. Click the “➕” in the top right corner and then click add contact
3. Enter one666 or my Binance ID 463061964 to add me as a friend
Join Chat Room:
1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance
2. Click the “➕” in the top right corner and click scan
3. After scanning the QR code below, click to join the chat!
For everyone's convenience, please scan to enter the chat room, so that market trends and news can be communicated directly in real-time!
Add Friend:
1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance
2. Click the “➕” in the top right corner and then click add contact
3. Enter one666 or my Binance ID 463061964 to add me as a friend
Join Chat Room:
1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance
2. Click the “➕” in the top right corner and click scan
3. After scanning the QR code below, click to join the chat!
For everyone's convenience, please scan to enter the chat room, so that market trends and news can be communicated directly in real-time!
🎙️ 1217 股币暂且"脱钩"/麻吉大哥又抄底了.
End
03 h 37 m 45 s
566
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251217 Daily Market Analysis
$BTC
Bitcoin briefly "decoupled" from the US stock market last night, with stocks in the crypto sector falling broadly, such as MSTR, BMNR, COIN, CRCL.
However, in contrast to Bitcoin, there was a clear resilience. When the US stocks fell briefly, Bitcoin remained stable. This usually happens once every few weeks.
So, can this indicate that the overall market has begun to stabilize and has a chance to enter a bullish market framework?
The larger scale is still in a consolidation structure. The smaller scale is indeed moving downwards in a fluctuating manner, gradually approaching the lower edge of the larger framework.
Following the intraday rise and backtest around 88,000 last night, the bullish momentum failed to continue. After the small scale started to weaken, the market began to experience continuous fluctuations and a downward trend.
Bitcoin briefly "decoupled" from the US stock market last night, with stocks in the crypto sector falling broadly, such as MSTR, BMNR, COIN, CRCL.
However, in contrast to Bitcoin, there was a clear resilience. When the US stocks fell briefly, Bitcoin remained stable. This usually happens once every few weeks.
So, can this indicate that the overall market has begun to stabilize and has a chance to enter a bullish market framework?
The larger scale is still in a consolidation structure. The smaller scale is indeed moving downwards in a fluctuating manner, gradually approaching the lower edge of the larger framework.
Following the intraday rise and backtest around 88,000 last night, the bullish momentum failed to continue. After the small scale started to weaken, the market began to experience continuous fluctuations and a downward trend.
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1217 [Afternoon Update] Daily Market Analysis
1217 BTC
The major currency follows the rebound of the US stock market and tests the 80,000 to 80,800 area under pressure, falling back. The weakness of the small level bullish trend is obvious, unable to stay above this level.
The short position backed by the 80,000 to 80,800 area has profits, so do a good job of protecting it to prevent rapid price pullbacks and profit loss.
The downtrend of the short position continues. The small level retracement is at the 865 support, and as long as it stays above this level, there is a chance to continue looking for upward rebounds.
Pay attention to the price performance around the previous low of 855 during the day. After stopping the decline and stabilizing, treat it with a fluctuation mindset. Those waiting for the bullish trend can try to enter with a light position and low buy.
If it breaks down with increased volume. The lower area of 83,000 to 81,000 is where bulls should wait.
The major currency follows the rebound of the US stock market and tests the 80,000 to 80,800 area under pressure, falling back. The weakness of the small level bullish trend is obvious, unable to stay above this level.
The short position backed by the 80,000 to 80,800 area has profits, so do a good job of protecting it to prevent rapid price pullbacks and profit loss.
The downtrend of the short position continues. The small level retracement is at the 865 support, and as long as it stays above this level, there is a chance to continue looking for upward rebounds.
Pay attention to the price performance around the previous low of 855 during the day. After stopping the decline and stabilizing, treat it with a fluctuation mindset. Those waiting for the bullish trend can try to enter with a light position and low buy.
If it breaks down with increased volume. The lower area of 83,000 to 81,000 is where bulls should wait.
See original
Your big brother is still your big brother.
C2C is back, recharged with 500,000 dollars.
Settlement price is 2720.
The complete liquidation price is estimated to be around 2500.
Can this big brother successfully bottom out this wave?
$ETH
C2C is back, recharged with 500,000 dollars.
Settlement price is 2720.
The complete liquidation price is estimated to be around 2500.
Can this big brother successfully bottom out this wave?
$ETH
🎙️ 1216 大饼过三关之--大非农
End
03 h 14 m 08 s
174
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251206 Daily Market Analysis - Major Non-Farm Payrolls Approaching
$BTC
Last night followed the flash crash of the US stock market. After a small level retest of 8w8, it was broken with increased volume.
After stopping the decline around 8w5 during the day, it began to rebound after a narrow range oscillation. The profit and loss ratio for shorting during the day is small, and with the current oversold rebound, there is a demand for a rebound to test the pressure around 8w8. Waiting to consider shorting after the rebound is under pressure. Moreover, subsequent short trades should focus on quick stops for profit.
Especially the expectations on the news side, the fluctuations will be relatively large.
After breaking through the large-level channel, there was a reduced volume rebound during the day, and the bullish momentum is not strong. The bulls around 8w5 are holding, but the continuation of bullish strength is unpredictable. In the evening, pay attention to whether the pressure around 8w8 can break through and stabilize upwards.
Last night followed the flash crash of the US stock market. After a small level retest of 8w8, it was broken with increased volume.
After stopping the decline around 8w5 during the day, it began to rebound after a narrow range oscillation. The profit and loss ratio for shorting during the day is small, and with the current oversold rebound, there is a demand for a rebound to test the pressure around 8w8. Waiting to consider shorting after the rebound is under pressure. Moreover, subsequent short trades should focus on quick stops for profit.
Especially the expectations on the news side, the fluctuations will be relatively large.
After breaking through the large-level channel, there was a reduced volume rebound during the day, and the bullish momentum is not strong. The bulls around 8w5 are holding, but the continuation of bullish strength is unpredictable. In the evening, pay attention to whether the pressure around 8w8 can break through and stabilize upwards.
See original
Announcement at 9:30 PM of the major non-farm payroll data
The news is quite important.
Friends with positions, remember to protect your positions to avoid being hit by sharp fluctuations.
High unemployment rate is good for the market; conversely, low unemployment is bad for the market.
High employment numbers are bad for the market; conversely, low employment numbers are good for the market.
The news is quite important.
Friends with positions, remember to protect your positions to avoid being hit by sharp fluctuations.
High unemployment rate is good for the market; conversely, low unemployment is bad for the market.
High employment numbers are bad for the market; conversely, low employment numbers are good for the market.
See original
1216 [Afternoon Update] Daily Market Analysis
Last night, Bitcoin was again subjected to heavy short selling, breaking through the flag structure formed in the upward channel.
After breaking below 8w8, the short-term pullback and decline continue. Arriving around 8w5 begins to stop the decline, with expectations for a small-level rebound to test the resistance at around 8w8. Short selling is not recommended, as the risk-reward ratio is too small.
The left side has multiple orders with good protection, especially focusing on the pressure test around 8w8. The bulls can only reverse at a smaller level after regaining above 8w8. Otherwise, it will just be a fleeting rebound.
The larger level remains within a wide oscillation zone, so both long and short positions are just taking a bite and leaving, without needing a larger pattern.
Upper resistance: 90500/91800/93500/
After breaking below 8w8, the short-term pullback and decline continue. Arriving around 8w5 begins to stop the decline, with expectations for a small-level rebound to test the resistance at around 8w8. Short selling is not recommended, as the risk-reward ratio is too small.
The left side has multiple orders with good protection, especially focusing on the pressure test around 8w8. The bulls can only reverse at a smaller level after regaining above 8w8. Otherwise, it will just be a fleeting rebound.
The larger level remains within a wide oscillation zone, so both long and short positions are just taking a bite and leaving, without needing a larger pattern.
Upper resistance: 90500/91800/93500/
See original
Big brother couldn't hold on, has already been completely liquidated.
Probably on the way to recharge money again.
$ETH
Probably on the way to recharge money again.
$ETH
Watching Brother Ma Ji being liquidated all the way down.
From holding 4800 ETH, only 400 are left after the liquidation so far.
Brother is probably preparing bullets again...
$ETH
From holding 4800 ETH, only 400 are left after the liquidation so far.
Brother is probably preparing bullets again...
$ETH
See original
Watching Brother Ma Ji being liquidated all the way down.
From holding 4800 ETH, only 400 are left after the liquidation so far.
Brother is probably preparing bullets again...
$ETH
From holding 4800 ETH, only 400 are left after the liquidation so far.
Brother is probably preparing bullets again...
$ETH
🎙️ 1215 大饼滞销, 天下苦9w8久矣
End
03 h 48 m 19 s
166
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20251215 Daily Market Analysis - This Week is Full of Major News
$BTC
The new week for Bitcoin begins. The past four weeks have still been consolidating in the range from 8w1 to 9w6.
In the consolidation structure, treat it with a large-scale oscillation mindset, whether it's a bottom reversal or a downward continuation. Whichever side shows strength later, just follow the trend.
The intraday Bitcoin follows the futures to start rising. After the accumulated buying pressure completes the downward probe, it quickly rebounds upwards.
The intraday rebound is clearly on low volume, and the increase is not large. It gradually starts to break out of the pressure stagnation. After the small-scale bullish trend, we will wait to see if Bitcoin can continue to extend upwards during the US stock market period. It depends on whether the pressure around 905 can complete the upward breakthrough.
The new week for Bitcoin begins. The past four weeks have still been consolidating in the range from 8w1 to 9w6.
In the consolidation structure, treat it with a large-scale oscillation mindset, whether it's a bottom reversal or a downward continuation. Whichever side shows strength later, just follow the trend.
The intraday Bitcoin follows the futures to start rising. After the accumulated buying pressure completes the downward probe, it quickly rebounds upwards.
The intraday rebound is clearly on low volume, and the increase is not large. It gradually starts to break out of the pressure stagnation. After the small-scale bullish trend, we will wait to see if Bitcoin can continue to extend upwards during the US stock market period. It depends on whether the pressure around 905 can complete the upward breakthrough.
🎙️ 1214 新的市场预期,谁来带动市场活跃起来?
End
03 h 22 m 26 s
180
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251214 Daily Market Analysis - The bearish impact of interest rate hikes in Japan
$BTC Last week, the Bitcoin experienced stimulation from news, with a huge contrast after interest rate cuts and expectations materialized, leading to frequent minor fluctuations during the day. Those chasing breakouts were frequently hit over the past week.
In a large-scale wide fluctuation, the rapid and chaotic movements on a small scale catch people off guard.
This week, more news-driven market activity is expected, along with new expectations for a yen interest rate hike, bringing varying degrees of potential bearish sentiment to both the crypto sector and U.S. stocks. Let's see how the market digests this.
Back to the market. Bitcoin has continued to maintain low-level fluctuations after Friday's U.S. stock market close, with no strong bullish actions on a small scale.
In a large-scale wide fluctuation, the rapid and chaotic movements on a small scale catch people off guard.
This week, more news-driven market activity is expected, along with new expectations for a yen interest rate hike, bringing varying degrees of potential bearish sentiment to both the crypto sector and U.S. stocks. Let's see how the market digests this.
Back to the market. Bitcoin has continued to maintain low-level fluctuations after Friday's U.S. stock market close, with no strong bullish actions on a small scale.
🎙️ 1214 交易公开课: 常见反转形态和布林带实践
End
01 h 44 m 02 s
100
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251212 Daily Market Analysis
$BTC
After the interest rate meeting, a small door was drawn, revisiting the support around 90,000 as expected. The big coin surged upwards following the US stock market, rebounding again to test the area around 94,000.
After a rebound during the day, the stagnation is obvious, and it is not recommended to chase longs at the small scale. The risk-reward ratio is too poor.
The small-scale consolidation structure has emerged, so we will treat it with a consolidation oscillation approach for now. In the evening, pay attention to the lower edge of the consolidation at 90,000 for another revisit, confirming effective support before continuing to look for a rebound upwards.
If it is broken down with volume, quick action is required to take profit when chasing down. Below, 88,000 is where to guard against longs.
Resistance above: 93,530/94,500/95,400
Support below: 89,500/88,000/86,000
After the interest rate meeting, a small door was drawn, revisiting the support around 90,000 as expected. The big coin surged upwards following the US stock market, rebounding again to test the area around 94,000.
After a rebound during the day, the stagnation is obvious, and it is not recommended to chase longs at the small scale. The risk-reward ratio is too poor.
The small-scale consolidation structure has emerged, so we will treat it with a consolidation oscillation approach for now. In the evening, pay attention to the lower edge of the consolidation at 90,000 for another revisit, confirming effective support before continuing to look for a rebound upwards.
If it is broken down with volume, quick action is required to take profit when chasing down. Below, 88,000 is where to guard against longs.
Resistance above: 93,530/94,500/95,400
Support below: 89,500/88,000/86,000
See original
251211 Daily Market Analysis - Yen Rate Hike Will Be the Next Market Hotspot
$BTC
After the FOMC meeting, the federal funds rate was cut by 25 basis points from 4% to 3.75%.
The latest Federal Reserve dot plot predicts one rate cut each in 2026, 2027, and 2028. The final expectation is to maintain the interest rate stable at 3.1%.
After a night of back-and-forth battles between bulls and bears, the US stock market/gold/crypto sector faced intense news-driven competition.
After announcing the interest rate cut, the US stock market rebounded massively, with Bitcoin following suit and frequently spiking at smaller levels, until the subsequent speech by Old Powell, which hinted at a reduction in the pace of interest rate cuts and a high probability of pausing rate cuts in January next year. Subsequently, the market experienced another round of decline before the close of the US stock market, as bulls chose to close positions in the absence of new rate cut expectations for the future, leaving the market to decide the next steps.
After the FOMC meeting, the federal funds rate was cut by 25 basis points from 4% to 3.75%.
The latest Federal Reserve dot plot predicts one rate cut each in 2026, 2027, and 2028. The final expectation is to maintain the interest rate stable at 3.1%.
After a night of back-and-forth battles between bulls and bears, the US stock market/gold/crypto sector faced intense news-driven competition.
After announcing the interest rate cut, the US stock market rebounded massively, with Bitcoin following suit and frequently spiking at smaller levels, until the subsequent speech by Old Powell, which hinted at a reduction in the pace of interest rate cuts and a high probability of pausing rate cuts in January next year. Subsequently, the market experienced another round of decline before the close of the US stock market, as bulls chose to close positions in the absence of new rate cut expectations for the future, leaving the market to decide the next steps.
See original
Stay up all night to finish an assignment.
1 There are no new clear expectations for market interest rate cuts; more data is needed, and the pace and rhythm of interest rate cuts in 2026, 2027, and 2028 will slow down.
2 Continue purchasing U.S. Treasury bonds to stabilize market liquidity-----prevent market collapse.
3 This interest rate cut is still aimed at maintaining stability in the labor market.
4 There are internal divisions within the Federal Reserve, mainly regarding the extent of interest rate cuts and whether to cut rates at all. The number of cuts in 2025 has already been sufficient; the effects of the cuts need time to manifest in the market.
5 Inflationary pressures are not significant, especially the inflation caused by tariffs may only be temporary.
1 There are no new clear expectations for market interest rate cuts; more data is needed, and the pace and rhythm of interest rate cuts in 2026, 2027, and 2028 will slow down.
2 Continue purchasing U.S. Treasury bonds to stabilize market liquidity-----prevent market collapse.
3 This interest rate cut is still aimed at maintaining stability in the labor market.
4 There are internal divisions within the Federal Reserve, mainly regarding the extent of interest rate cuts and whether to cut rates at all. The number of cuts in 2025 has already been sufficient; the effects of the cuts need time to manifest in the market.
5 Inflationary pressures are not significant, especially the inflation caused by tariffs may only be temporary.
See original
251210 Daily Market Analysis - Rate Cut Already Priced in
$BTC
The large pancake experienced an unusual surge in volume during US stock trading, skyrocketing to 94,000, but subsequently faced brief resistance and began to pull back.
The upward volatility continues, but there was a short-term overexertion, and there was no new bullish force to break through the previous high, so there are no recommendations for chasing higher at a small level; wait for the pullback to end before looking for opportunities.
At 3 AM, on the night of the Fed's interest rate decision, the expectation of a rate cut had long been priced in by the market, and with this surge, the news of the rate cut was almost fully priced in.
For those with long positions, just ensure you have protective stop losses in place; for those without positions, observe from the sidelines.
The large pancake experienced an unusual surge in volume during US stock trading, skyrocketing to 94,000, but subsequently faced brief resistance and began to pull back.
The upward volatility continues, but there was a short-term overexertion, and there was no new bullish force to break through the previous high, so there are no recommendations for chasing higher at a small level; wait for the pullback to end before looking for opportunities.
At 3 AM, on the night of the Fed's interest rate decision, the expectation of a rate cut had long been priced in by the market, and with this surge, the news of the rate cut was almost fully priced in.
For those with long positions, just ensure you have protective stop losses in place; for those without positions, observe from the sidelines.
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