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#加密市场反弹

🚨 Suspected Polychain's massive PENDLE position has been transferred out, with an unrealized loss potentially reaching $3.25 million.

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring:

An institution (suspected to be Polychain Capital) accumulated at an average price of $2.98 from March to September.

➡️ 4.114 million PENDLE (costing about $12.26 million).

However, 8 hours ago, this batch of chips was completely transferred to FalconX.

Currently, the PENDLE price has dropped to $2.19,

implying an unrealized loss of approximately:

📉 $3.25 million

Is the institution unable to hold on any longer?

Or is it preparing for structured operations?

The subsequent capital flow is worth closely tracking.

🚨 Is a large-scale token unlock happening again? LISTA is about to release 6.33 million dollars worth of chips

According to RootData:

Lista DAO (LISTA) will conduct a new round of large-scale unlock at 0:00 on December 20 (Beijing time)

🔓 Unlock scale: 38.44 million LISTA tokens

💰 Current value: approximately 6.33 million dollars

This coin, LISTA, is also worthless, but it doesn't affect its increase during a bull market

But the market is different now; mainstream tokens are not moving, let alone altcoins

the vast majority of defi tokens are useless, the only purpose is to sell them off

Just short it hard and that's it.

🚨 ZRO will welcome a large unlock of $38.56 million in one week

According to RootData:

LayerZero (ZRO) will

on December 20 at 11:00 (Beijing time)

welcome a new round of large unlocks:

🔓 Unlock scale: 25.71 million ZRO

💰 Current value: about $38.56 million

Large chips are about to enter the market,

Will ZRO definitely be dumped?

This kind of altcoin is purely worthless, family.

🚨 KAITO will unlock at the level of 1.73 million USD in one week

According to RootData:

Kaito (KAITO) will unlock

on December 20 at 12:00 PM (Beijing time)

2.86 million tokens,

currently valued at approximately 1.73 million USD.

The unlocking rhythm continues, fundamentals are weak, and liquidity is poor,

this type of 'hollow altcoin' shows typical trends during the unlocking period —

you know what I mean.

Risks will manifest early, they won't disappear out of nowhere.

Those who understand the rhythm in advance,

will never stand on the opposite side of the selling pressure.

🚨 XRP Spot ETF Welcomes Strong Inflows Again, Institutional Sentiment Clearly Warms Up

According to SoSoValue data, the total net inflow of the US XRP Spot ETF yesterday was 20.17 million USD, continuing the trend of capital inflow.

📌 Top two net inflows in a single day:

• Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ): +8.7 million USD (cumulative net inflow 185 million USD)

• Bitwise XRP ETF (XRP): +7.85 million USD (cumulative net inflow 213 million USD)

📌 Overall Situation:

• Total net asset value of XRP ETF: 1.18 billion USD

• Net asset ratio: 0.98%

• Historical cumulative net inflow: 975 million USD

Institutions continue to buy, ETFs keep attracting capital, and XRP's resilience in this market situation is increasingly worth paying attention to.

🚨 Panic selling reappears: a certain address sells off 3296 ETH

On-chain data shows that address 0x074…9B748 chose panic selling 3296 ETH (approximately 10.3 million USD) at a temporary bottom 11 hours ago, completing the sell-off and ultimately making a profit of only 292,000 USD.

Ironically—

Just 48 hours before the sell-off, the floating profit of that address reached as high as 1,266,000 USD.

Emotional trading plays out again:

It's not the position that makes money, but patience.

🚨 The market is bleeding again: multiple cryptocurrencies have collectively hit new lows

According to Binance's spot market, there is significant downward pressure today:

• AVNT has dropped 13.12% in the last 24 hours, hitting a new low for the week

• ALGO, SUPER, AT, and ALLO have all reached "today's new low", with declines of 5.96% / 5.18% / 7.22% / 8.1% respectively

• BICO and CELO have fallen below this week's low points, dropping 6.9% / 11.52% respectively

• JUV has slightly corrected by 3.08% within 5 minutes

• The only highlight: DEGO has shown a "bottom-fishing rebound", rising against the trend by 5.53%

Continuous downward volume + multiple varieties breaking down simultaneously

👉 Altcoins are entering another round of high volatility liquidation windows.

🚨 Bottom Panic Sell-off: Whale Liquidates $10.3 Million in ETH

On-chain monitoring shows that address 0x074…9B748 sold off 3,296 ETH in a panic sell-off at a temporary bottom 11 hours ago, cashing out approximately $10.3 million.

This liquidation ultimately only made a profit of $292,000 —

whereas two days ago, the unrealized profit once peaked at $1.266 million.

Not selling at highs and panic selling at lows, a typical mindset of a segment collapse:

Profits dropped from $1.26 million to $290,000, just a matter of patience for a pullback.

On-chain sentiment is still swinging wildly, and the FUD behavior of whales is amplifying market volatility.

🚨 Grayscale Transfers Large Amounts Again: Over $70 Million in BTC and ETH Flowing to Coinbase

According to Arkham monitoring, Grayscale initiated another large transfer to Coinbase Prime last night:

14,684.643 ETH (approximately $47 million)

252.5 BTC (approximately $23.28 million)

The total transfer amount exceeds $70 million.

Grayscale has been continuously moving assets to exchanges recently, raising market concerns about potential selling pressure, structural adjustments, or internal portfolio rebalancing.

In the current environment of liquidity tightening and increased volatility, such large operations are more sensitive to market sentiment.

Whale activity is frequent; proceed with caution.

🚨 Delphi: The key price level for BTC's year-end reversal has emerged

Delphi Digital analyst Jason gave a relatively optimistic assessment today:

Bitcoin is trying to stabilize in the $90,000–$110,000 range.

He stated that if BTC can maintain and break through this range before the end of the year,

👉 a sustained rebound may start at any time.

In other words:

$90,000–$110,000 is the "bullish defense zone"

Once stabilized, we might see sentiment reverse by the end of the year.

Currently, market sentiment is leaning towards panic, but structural funds are still flowing in.

The key is whether BTC can hold this range.

The variables for the year-end market are starting to increase.

🚨 Hong Kong aims to incorporate 'asset tokenization' into the 10-year roadmap

The latest report from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority provides a clear timeline:

⏳ 2–5 years (mid-term goal)

Comprehensively promote the tokenization of physical assets (real estate, funds, bonds, etc.)

Develop more tokenized financial instruments

Lay the foundation, establish standards, and conduct large-scale pilot programs

⏳ 5–10 years (long-term vision)

Fully establish a tokenized issuance and secondary trading system

Create a unified data and compliance framework

Promote large-scale tokenized assets for trading, settlement, and circulation in Hong Kong

Enhance market transparency and efficiency

⛓️ At the same time, accelerate the construction of:

Tokenization platforms

Smart contract applications

Near-instant settlement networks

In summary:

👉 Hong Kong aims to fully integrate the underlying infrastructure of the capital market onto the blockchain, becoming the next-generation global capital hub.

🚨 Bitcoin approaches giant liquidation thresholds at both ends, nearly 3.2 billion dollars in positions are waiting to be triggered

Latest Coinglass data shows:

📈 Upside breakout point

If BTC breaks above 94,738 dollars

→ The intensity of short liquidations on mainstream CEX will soar to 1.999 billion dollars

📉 Downside breakout point

If BTC breaks below 85,998 dollars

→ The intensity of long liquidations will reach as high as 1.204 billion dollars

This means:

👉 The market is stuck in a range that could explode at any moment

👉 Who gets triggered first depends on the direction of the next K

Both bulls and bears are waiting for a trigger, and volatility could escalate at any time.

Long-term view remains bearish on BTC, this market situation hasn't yet driven people to despair.

🚨 Ethereum is about to enter the "Liquidation Death Triangle", with $2.6 billion positions waiting to be triggered

Latest Coinglass data shows:

📈 Upside breakout point (short liquidation zone)

If ETH breaks above $3,243

→ The cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.596 billion

📉 Downside breakdown point (long liquidation cliff)

If ETH falls below $2,936

→ The long liquidation intensity could reach $1.064 billion

This means:

👉 ETH has been pushed into a large volatility zone that is about to be activated

👉 Combined, there's a $2.6 billion powder keg, just a fuse away

👉 Every 1% fluctuation from here on could ignite a significant chain reaction of liquidations

Market sentiment is rapidly tightening, waiting for that moment of direction.

I am currently bearish on ETH in the long term, patiently waiting.

🚨 Is the "real circulation" of Bitcoin possibly only half left? Institutions are quietly consuming the entire market

glassnode's latest data shows:

🏢 Public companies: 1.07 million BTC

🏛️ Government agencies: 620,000 BTC

📊 US spot ETF: 1.31 million BTC

🏦 Exchange custody: 2.94 million BTC

Total holdings ≈ 5.94 million BTC, accounting for 29.8% of the total circulation.

This means:

👉 Nearly 30% of Bitcoin has been "locked up" in institutional and custodial wallets

👉 The actual circulating Bitcoin is less than you might imagine

👉 Every round of incremental funds is competing with institutions for extremely limited chips

👉 Volatility will become more intense, and liquidity will become thinner

This is the strongest long-term fundamental of Bitcoin:

It's not about how strong the demand is, but how much the supply is decreasing.

🚨 Data: Binance Net Inflow of 75.5731 Million USDT in the Past Hour

According to Coinglass data:

In the past hour, Binance has seen a strong net inflow of 75.5731 million USDT.

A large influx of stablecoins into the exchange in a short time usually indicates:

Potential capital inflow

Or signs that large investors/institutions are preparing to open positions

Need to continue monitoring subsequent market actions.

🚨 Data: Binance had a net inflow of 276 million USDT in the past 24 hours

According to Coinglass data:

Binance experienced a strong net inflow of 276 million USDT in the past 24 hours.

The continued inflow of large stablecoins into the exchange usually indicates:

Market sentiment may be improving

Large investors/institutions may be positioning themselves for new trades

There are signs of improving liquidity on the capital side

Subsequent market changes are worth paying attention to.

🚨 Data: XRP falls below the $2 mark

According to Binance market data:

XRP/USDT has just dropped below $2,

currently reported at $1.999,

with a 24-hour increase of only 0.1%.

The psychological barrier has been breached, and short-term fluctuations may intensify.

🚨 Aave community erupts in governance crisis: CoW Swap integration accused of 'privatizing DAO revenue'

Recently, the Aave community has seen intense controversy, with the core focus being:

Whether the CoW Swap integration has led to protocol revenue being secretly diverted by Aave Labs, rather than flowing into the Aave DAO treasury.

🔍 Breaking point: On-chain analysis reveals unusual revenue direction

Governance representative EzR3aL stated in a forum post:

The trading fees generated by the new CoW Swap frontend no longer enter the DAO treasury

but are directed to an independent address

Estimating that the DAO loses about $200,000 in revenue per week as a result

⚡ Community reaction is intense

Aave Chan Initiative leader Marc Zeller stated:

The situation is "extremely concerning"

Claiming this is a secret privatization of about 10% of Aave DAO's potential revenue

The controversy has further spread to:

Aave Vaults

Horizon

Aave v4 liquidation engine

And other modules' revenue attribution issues.

🧑‍💻 Founder responds

Aave founder Stani Kulechov stated:

Aave Labs has the right to monetize the frontend interface

Especially for parts that do not belong to the core functions of the protocol

And emphasized that the goal is "to bring more users and revenue to the ecosystem"