Rasuli Researcher

$AVAX
{spot}(AVAXUSDT)

{future}(AVAXUSDT)
Hey Binance Square family! 👋

Avalanche (AVAX) is currently trading at $22.71, with an intraday high of $23.93 and a low of $22.71.

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🔍 Market Structure: A Higher High with Unconfirmed Breakout

AVAX has recently formed a higher high, signaling a potential trend shift. However, the price has failed to close above the $25.82–$26.93 resistance zone, leaving the bullish breakout unconfirmed. This hesitation at a critical level increases the probability of a fakeout or liquidity sweep before any continuation.

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📉 Potential Shakeout: Liquidity Hunt Before the Surge

Currently, AVAX is hovering just above an ascending trendline. The most probable scenario is a sweep of that trendline liquidity, grabbing stops from impatient longs before the market forms a clean higher low and reverses aggressively to the upside. A temporary dip below the trendline toward the $19.08 region, where support lies, would likely be a classic liquidity hunt—designed to trigger fear, force early exits, and then reverse powerfully into the next leg.

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📈 Bullish Continuation: Targeting $30

As long as the price holds above the $22.00–$23.00 support zone, the bullish probability remains dominant. A sustained move above the $26.93 level, especially on a daily candle close, would significantly increase the probability of continuation toward the major resistance between $30.00 and $30.74.

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⚠️ Risk Management

If the price closes below $16.67, that would invalidate this bullish outlook and open the door to deeper downside. Until then, structure remains bullish, and the higher-probability outcome still favors upside after a potential short-term shakeout.

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💡 Strategy Tip

Patience is key. Wait for high-probability setups and protect your capital. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.

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*Note: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.*