AVAX treasury company goes public and crashes 93% in 6 weeks—SEC warns it “may not survive the year”
📍 Background
On June 11, Avalanche Treasury Corp (NASDAQ: AVAT) went public on Nasdaq via a SPAC merger, valuing the company at $675 million. The core story was simple and brutal: it bought a large amount of AVAX tokens, staked them for yield, and let shareholders enjoy the upside from the token price. The company holds about 15 million AVAX—roughly 3.5% of the circulating supply—making it, at the time, the largest “AVAX treasury” concept holder in the market.
However, only 6 weeks after listing, the AVAT share price has plunged from above $10 to below $0.73, with a cumulative drop of as much as 93%. Even more fatal, in its latest filed SEC 10-Q quarterly report, the company clearly warned: “There is substantial doubt about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern.” In plain terms: the company itself isn’t sure it can make it to the end of the year.
📋 Key takeaways, broken down
1. Shocking financials: Q1 net loss was $26.78 million, mainly due to fair-value write-downs on its AVAX holdings. The company’s original AVAX position of about $265 million has shrunk to a current market value of about $123 million, with an unrealized book loss of over 50%.
2. Liquidity crisis emerges: AVAT has pledged roughly 7.8 million AVAX (more than half of its total holdings) as loan collateral, but after the merger, the company’s legal entity has almost no cash reserves. If the AVAX price keeps falling, it could trigger margin calls or liquidation.
3. AVAX itself is trapped in a bear market: AVAX is down about 47% year-to-date. On Wednesday it was around $6.72, near a five-year low. The fatal flaw of a treasury strategy centered on a single asset is laid bare—concentrated exposure with no hedge and no buffer.
4. The business model is questioned: In essence, this company is an “AVAX ETF,” but it has no management-fee revenue and no real operating business—it relies entirely on AVAX price appreciation. When AVAX falls, it has no exit route.
🔑 Core logic analysis
AVAT’s collapse isn’t an isolated event—it exposes the structural risks of the “crypto treasury company” business model.
First, the nature of these companies is to take a traditional company’s “cash management” strategy and push it to the extreme: they don’t hold cash—instead, they go All in on a single crypto asset. When asset prices rise, leverage amplifies returns; but when prices fall, the same leverage accelerates destruction. AVAT’s shareholders are personally experiencing this mathematical rule.
Second, the SEC’s “going concern” warning carries signal value. This isn’t regulatory “crackdowns”—it’s management acknowledging a reality they have to admit under legal liability pressure. When a company openly says it may not survive for more than 12 months, its funding channels, partnership relationships, and even employee morale can all be hit in a cascading effect.
The deeper issue is that AVAT’s troubles could boomerang and affect the Avalanche ecosystem. A “treasury whale” holding 3.5% of circulating supply, if forced to liquidate, would create additional selling pressure on AVAX—forming a death spiral.
💡 Impact on the crypto market
1. Trust crisis for “treasury stocks”: AVAT’s collapse will make investors more wary of copycat versions of the MicroStrategy model. Not every company can have a software business to fall back on like MSTR does.
2. Short-term pressure on AVAX: If AVAT is forced to sell holdings to repay debts, potential overhang from 15 million AVAX will be the “Sword of Damocles” hanging overhead.
3. Rising regulatory attention: The SEC may tighten accounting treatment and disclosure requirements for crypto treasury companies, and future SPAC listing thresholds may increase.
4. Lessons for retail investors: Here’s another vivid example proving that “public company endorsement” doesn’t equal a “safe investment.” Those three letters after the Nasdaq code can’t stop the deterioration of fundamentals.
📊 Data points
- AVAT share price: down from $10+ to $0.73, a 93% drop - Cost basis of AVAX holdings: about $265 million → current market value about $123 million - Q1 net loss: $26.78 million - AVAX decline year-to-date: about 47% - Pledged AVAX: about 7.8 million tokens (52% of total holdings) - Company cash reserves: near zero
"ParaFi Capital still adds to its position despite an unrealized loss of $1.72 million—Is SKY faith or a trap?
Investment firm ParaFi Capital today withdrew 56 million SKY tokens from Coinbase Prime, worth approximately $2.98 million. This is the second large-scale increase after the firm swapped 425,000 AAVE tokens for 70 million SKY tokens in early March.
Currently, ParaFi holds 126 million SKY tokens, worth $6.64 million in total, with an average cost of about $0.066. Based on the current price, it has an unrealized loss of $1.72 million, with a drawdown of roughly 26%.
On-chain data shows that over the past 24 hours, SKY’s price has not fluctuated much and the funding rate is neutral. By choosing to keep adding while in an unrealized loss, ParaFi’s actions can typically be interpreted in two ways: one is a strong belief in the project’s long-term value, viewing the current price as undervalued; the other is a passive move to dilute the cost basis, attempting to reduce the average cost by increasing the position size.
From the market structure, as a governance token in the AAVE ecosystem, SKY’s price is highly correlated with the overall activity level of DeFi. At present, the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi is at a temporary low. That makes it difficult for SKY to break out into an independent trend. ParaFi’s adding behavior looks more like a “left-side positioning”—betting on a DeFi rebound rather than a short-term SKY explosion.
Key price reference: If SKY falls below $0.05, ParaFi’s unrealized loss will expand to more than 40%; if it can hold above $0.06, it may form a short-term bottom structure.
One-sentence summary: The whale picks up chips on the left side, while retail traders wait for the trend on the right. After three months, we’ll know who was right.
U.S. Nonfarm payrolls come in unexpectedly cold, driving a strong rebound in Bitcoin to $61,000
📰 Crypto Evening News | 2026-07-02 21:00
🔥 Major Events 1. U.S. June Nonfarm payrolls disappoint unexpectedly: only 57,000 new jobs — far below the 110,000 forecast; prior figure revised down to 129,000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.2%, but the labor force participation rate dropped by 0.3 percentage points. After the data release, gold surged to $4,120 (+2.20%), the U.S. dollar index slid by 30 points, U.S. stock index futures rose across the board, and the market pushed rate-hike expectations back from October to December. 2. Ondo and Broadridge launch the first U.S. custodial tokenized securities — issued on Ethereum, tokenized BlackRock iShares IVV ETF and Micron Technology MU. With 1:1 underlying stock backing, Broadridge provides full shareholder rights. This is the first time that a U.S.-listed security has been tokenized on a public chain while fully complying with the regulatory framework. 3. A near-$90 million whale’s short ETH position is close to liquidation — Ethereum rises to $1,568 (+5.6%). The liquidation price of $1,674 is only $16 above the current price. The whale holds a $30 million BTC long hedge, but the size is insufficient. 4. Bitcoin rebounds above $61,000; long-term holders resume accumulation — rebounding from the 21-month low, the buy support at 100–1,000 BTC addresses has increased. But spot ETF net outflows on July 1 totaled $296 million, and June’s monthly outflows of $4.5 billion were among the worst on record. Currently, 10.83 million BTC are in floating losses, higher than the 9.22 million BTC currently in profit. 5. NEAR co-founders plan a fixed token supply path — they believe burning is inefficient, and they are preparing a new proposal to achieve fixed supply via a different approach, expected to be completed within a few years.
📊 Market Data 6. Tesla Q2 deliveries of 480,000 units beat expectations — Model 3/Y deliveries were 4.68 million; total production 4.52 million. The pre-market gain slipped to less than 1%. 7. Compute leasing firms Nebius and CoreWeave turn higher — both rose 3% and 2% respectively, shaking off the impact of news about Meta’s in-house cloud business. 8. Storage sector flips from down to up — Micron rises 2.1%, and the new memory ETF KMEM gains 0.78%. 9. Nasdaq-100 futures up 0.7%; semiconductors rally across the board — Nvidia up 0.5%, ASML/AMD/TSMC up 2%, and Intel/Micron/Lam Research up more than 3%. 10. June ETF market posts a “crazy-level” performance — 214 newly issued products, with $7 trillion in trading volume; net inflows of $191 billion, both second-highest in history. 11. U.S. Treasury yields fall — the 2-year yield drops 6 bps to 4.11%, the 10-year yield falls 2 bps to 4.46%; the probability of rate hikes this month drops to 20%.
🏛️ Regulatory Policy 12. Nonfarm data may determine the Fed’s rate-hike path — Bitget analysts say that under a Warsh hawkish tone, high inflation pressure makes this Nonfarm data especially important in a targeted way for financial markets. 13. The White House: jobs data matches a strong economy — Hasett says he respects the Fed’s independence, and believes Warsh can convince colleagues to accept his views. 14. Trump criticizes unfair NATO spending — the U.S. spent $999 billion from 2014–2025, far more than the UK/France/Italy/Poland and other countries.
💡 Project Updates 15. Binance launches smart DCA for recurring buys — adjusts investment amounts automatically based on the Fear & Greed Index, supporting adjustments in the 10%–200% range. 16. Anchorage Digital integrates Lido — provides institutions with a compliant wstETH channel for minting/burning and staking yield. 17. BitMart lists three stock derivatives — TTWO/KSTR/BSP perpetual contracts, up to 25x leverage. 18. Aave founder endorses the Token_Logic team — praises their foundational work as a service provider.
BTC up 4.5% in 24 hours—have retail traders started thinking the bull market is back?
BTC surged from a low of 58,294 to 61,447, with an intraday range of 5.4%. Funding rate is 0.0087%—the longs are still adding leverage. But the trading volume is 17.2B, suggesting the buy-side isn’t at an institutional level. ETH is weaker: it’s up 3.4%. BNB hasn’t even managed to touch 3%. Is this being called a “broad-based rally”? This looks more like BTC taking the lead while altcoins are struggling to follow.
That daytime pump was likely driven by short-covering by bears plus a contest of short-term funds. Around 61,400 is the intraday high and also a prior dense-trading zone. If the night session can’t hold above 61,000, a retest of 60,000 tomorrow is highly likely. For ETH, 3,530 is short-term resistance—if it can’t break through, expect continued consolidation. For BNB, the 549 pivot is weak; it’s not worth paying attention to.
Direction: bearish in the short term. BTC’s intraday resistance is 61,400. If it breaks below 60,700, then 60,000 is the next likely target. If ETH can’t hold 3,530, wait for 3,400. Tonight’s US stock market performance is the key variable. If tech stocks remain under pressure, BTC will be hard to remain an exception.
Trump’s 2025 filing period income exceeds $1.4 billion, crushing most listed crypto companies
📍 Event background
Frank Chaparro, head of content at GSR, shared a jaw-dropping set of data on X: during the 2025 filing period, Trump’s revenue exceeded $1.4 billion. Not only does this figure far surpass the同期 performance of the vast majority of publicly listed crypto companies, it also exposes an awkward reality in the crypto industry—“the President as an individual” is becoming the biggest money-maker in this space.
📋 Core content breakdown
1. Trump’s financial filing disclosure: holds BTC and ETH worth over $100 million; income in the 2025 filing period exceeds $1.4 billion 2. Performance comparison of listed crypto companies: - Coinbase: about $1.26 billion - CleanSpark: about $365 million - IREN: about $87 million - Bitdeer: about $66 million - Hive Digital, Bit Digital, Bitfarms, Galaxy Digital, Hut 8, Core Scientific: all recorded losses 3. Key contrast: Trump’s personal income > Coinbase’s company revenue
🔑 Core logic analysis
The irony of this data lies in the fact that the “decentralization” and “fighting against traditional finance” narrative promoted by the crypto industry is being crushed—by sheer personal wealth—in the form of the most traditional figure of political power. Trump’s shift from a “crypto skeptic” to the “biggest crypto winner” is, at its core, a carefully designed political-financial arbitrage.
More thought-provoking is this: when the revenue of a publicly listed company is not as much as a political figure’s personal income, can the industry’s foundational business logic really stand up to scrutiny? As an industry infrastructure provider, Coinbase’s $1.26 billion in revenue has been surpassed by Trump personally, indicating that value capture in the current crypto market remains highly concentrated in speculation and early holdings, rather than sustainable business models.
💡 Impact on the crypto market
1. Political risk premium: Trump’s crypto holdings create potential conflicts of interest in its policy stance; in the future, the direction of regulation may lean more toward “friendly but controlled” 2. Institutional confidence split: traditional financial institutions may see this as a signal of the crypto market becoming “politicized,” not as technology-driven value growth 3. Retail sentiment: in the short term, it may trigger FOMO, but in the long run, this “politician gets rich” narrative could intensify regulatory scrutiny
📊 Data support
- Trump’s filing income: $1.4 billion+ - Coinbase revenue in the same period: $1.26 billion - Number of loss-making miners: 6 (Hive Digital, Bit Digital, Bitfarms, Galaxy Digital, Hut 8, Core Scientific) - Current BTC price: $61254.2 (24h +4.467%) - BTC funding rate: 0.00008989 (mildly bullish)
**Planet Noon Brief: Hot Events and Market Direction**
dYdX may launch a new product; its token surged over 35% at one point, but has since pulled back. From market data, BTC’s funding rate remains positive and ETH’s trading volume is moderate.
**Bullish Signals**: - A potential new product from dYdX could boost ecosystem activity - CRCL being removed from the Russell Index may trigger reallocation demand
**Key Levels**: - BTC daily sell point: $61628 | buy point: $61628 - ETH daily sell point: $561 | buy point: $538 - If DYDX breaks above $4.5, it may continue rising
**Planet Daily News: Hot Events and Market Direction**
dYdX may launch a new product, and the token surged over 35% at one point, but the price has since pulled back. Based on market data, BTC’s funding rate is positive, and ETH’s trading volume is moderate.
**Bullish Signals**: - A potential new product from dYdX could boost ecosystem activity - CRCL being removed from the Russell Index may trigger a need for reallocation
**Key Levels**: - BTC daily sell point: $61628 Buy point: $61628 - ETH daily sell point: $561 Buy point: $538 - If DYDX breaks above $4.5, it could extend the uptrend
Midday: Bitcoin violently surges—are the whales harvesting retail traders again?
Let the data speak: BTC 2h jumps 2.4%, breaking through the 60,500 level Funding rate has stayed positive for 5 consecutive days, at 0.000027 Market Fear Index is 28—“bullish” sentiment is starting to take hold among the retail crowd $1.476 billion 24h trading volume—could it all just be retail bottom-fishing?
Support/Resistance: Near-term support at 59,800; if 59,500 breaks, 59,000 comes into view Resistance at 61,322—if it truly breaks out, it could test 63,000 Whale position changes: yesterday they sold off 25,000 BTC Short liquidations: 75 million in 12 hours—while the main players are pushing a squeeze
Strategy advice: Wait—don’t rush to chase the pump! Every time there’s a sudden surge like this, it’s a signal that whales are offloading Entering now means buying high at the top Wait for the pullback to 59,500 before considering
TAIKO surges 10-fold this morning then retraces: the 24-hour gain still stands at 423%
Odaily Planet Daily monitoring shows that over the past 24 hours, the TAIKO token surged more than 10 times at one point, hitting a high of 0.47 USDT. Although it has since pulled back to 0.41 USDT, the 24-hour gain remains as high as 423.31%. Current circulating market cap is $32.28 million, while FDV (fully diluted valuation) reaches $162 million.
This explosive rally reflects extremely high market enthusiasm for the TAIKO project, but a pullback after a 10x move is also within expectations. From a technical perspective, 0.41 USDT has become a key support level; if it can hold above this price, further upside may still be possible.
The funding rate suggests the current market sentiment is somewhat bullish, but investors should be wary of the risk of profit-taking. In the short term, TAIKO’s high volatility is evident, so it’s recommended that investors closely track updates from the project team and changes in on-chain data.
📍 Trump Family Rescue Mission for Its Mining Venture: American Bitcoin Announces Emergency 1:15 Reverse Stock Split
📋 Core Content Breakdown: 1. American Bitcoin, a Bitcoin mining company founded by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., announced a 1:15 reverse stock split 2. The reverse split will take effect after Thursday’s close; trading will continue under the ABTC ticker on Monday at the adjusted price 3. Every 15 shares of Class A and Class B common stock will be automatically combined into 1 share, reducing the total number of shares outstanding from about 109 million to about 73 million 4. This plan was approved at the June annual shareholders’ meeting 5. ABTC’s stock price fell to a historic low of about $0.64 on Wednesday, down more than 64% year to date
🔑 Core Logic Analysis: This reverse split is essentially a life-or-death struggle to meet Nasdaq’s $1 minimum share price requirement. The split itself does not change the company’s fundamentals; it only boosts the per-share price by reducing the number of shares outstanding. The company holds 7,500 BTC, yet its market value is lower than the value of its Bitcoin holdings, reflecting the market’s serious lack of confidence in the Trump family mining venture’s execution. In traditional markets, reverse splits are often seen as a negative signal—showing the company can’t improve its share price through fundamentals and can only maintain listing status through technical measures.
💡 Impact on the Crypto Market: In the short term, it may trigger collective selling pressure across the Bitcoin mining sector, as investors worry more mining companies could face similar predicaments. But in the long run, if the “Trump” brand can truly bring traffic and attention to mining companies, it may create new narrative opportunities. Still, based on stock performance and market reaction, the “Trump narrative” has lost much of its ability to attract capital in the cryptocurrency space—investors care more about real returns than celebrity halo.
📊 Data Support: - ABTC stock price: $0.64; year-to-date decline: 64% - Bitcoin holdings: 7,500 BTC - Global ranking: 16th largest publicly listed Bitcoin holder - Change in shares outstanding: 109 million shares → 73 million shares
BTC surges 2.4%—don’t treat the rebound as a one-way market
BTC jumped from 57,758 to 59,721, up 2.41% in 24 hours, with trading volume of $1.604 billion. It looks lively, but the funding rate is only 0.0055%, and long-side sentiment hasn’t reached a crazed stage.
The key issue is overhead resistance. BTC’s 24-hour high is 61,322—just one step away from the daily sell level at 61,628. It failed to hold and pulled back. This suggests the move was more like short-covering combined with short-term funds chasing the rebound, not a trend confirmation.
ETH rebounded in sync to 1,603, up 2.25%, but the daily sell point above is 1,652. BNB rose only 0.39%; around 548 it’s still hovering near its PP, and strength among the major coins isn’t consistent.
Direction: short-term slightly bullish, but the chase-up entry has mediocre value. For BTC, only if it can return above 61,628 with volume can the upside space truly be opened. If it falls back toward 58,064, then today’s sharp rally is likely just high-level rotation and turnover.
What the rebound fears most isn’t missing the move—it’s mistaking short-term volatility for “faith” and charging in emotionally. It’s better now to watch key levels than to get carried away.
🔥 Major Events 1. Investigative reporter questions Polymarket’s founding narrative — Reveals that the official “bathroom startup” claim is untrue, with deep ties to Israeli politics and business 2. SOL spot ETF sees a single-day net inflow of $520,000 — Bitwise inflows $3.99 million, Grayscale outflows $3.47 million
📊 Market Data 3. BTC breaks $60,000 — Up 1.975%, at $59,705, trading volume $16 billion 4. ETH breaks $550 — At $549.4, trading volume $3.7 billion 5. BNB holds steady at $615 — Range $610–$621, trading volume $500 million
🏛️ Regulatory Policy 6. The SEC sets a strict regulatory framework for crypto exchanges — To be released in Q3 7. EU MiCA regulation progress — Multiple European exchanges moving toward compliance 8. MAS (Singapore) updates crypto regulatory guidelines — Strengthens DeFi oversight
💡 Project Updates 9. Injective launches governance token XYZ-ARM — For governance of DeFi protocols, supports multi-chain 10. Polygon L2 scaling solution upgrade — Mainnet in Q3, improving performance and reducing fees 11. Chainlink oracle network expansion — Supports more blockchain networks 12. Uniswap V4 development progress — Efficient trading mechanisms, to be released in Q4 13. Avalanche scaling projects — Subnet creation and cross-chain solutions 14. Cardano governance token upgrade — Enhances governance and security 15. Growing Solana developer ecosystem — New DeFi and NFT projects emerging
📊 Market Snapshot: BTC (+1.98%) 59,705 / ETH 549.4 / BNB 615.2 📍 Daily buy/sell points: $BTC sell point 61,628 | buy point 57,776 / $ETH sell point 561 | buy point 539 / BNB sell point 621 | buy point 611
SOL treasury company Forward Industries increases holdings by over 500,000 SOL in the quarter
Forward Industries, a Nasdaq-listed company, announced that it increased its holdings by more than 500,000 SOL in the third fiscal quarter. Its total holdings now stand at 7.55 million SOL, valued at approximately $576 million, with an average purchase price of about $79. Its current position size has surpassed the combined total of the other three largest publicly listed Solana treasury companies. Driven by this news, Forward Industries’ stock price rose by more than 17% today, and Solana’s price rebounded to above $77.
The funding rate at 8.194e-05 indicates that longs have a slight edge, but traders should remain cautious about the risk of correlation with the U.S. stock market. SOL is currently trading at $77.21, close to yesterday’s high of $77.68. If it can effectively break through the $78 resistance level, it may test the $82 area.
BTC falls below 60,000, crypto market in blood—yet is it really truly over?
Yesterday, the entire crypto market dropped together. The Layer2 sector plunged more than 3%. BTC broke below the key $59,000 level, and ETH followed suit. Market sentiment turned to panic, but the data speaks clearly: the funding rate is only 6.78 basis points—bulls are still propping on stubbornly.
Price data provides the answer: BTC found support at the 60,000 threshold. The funding rate has turned positive, but its value is still low. Bear sentiment is now being released. From the pivot points, today’s buy level is at $68,200—seemingly far away. But once the $61,600 resistance level is broken, the shorts will have to flip and become buyers.
Are the big whales laughing? Just look at the liquidation map: beneath 60,000, there are大量 of stop-loss orders buried there—this is a great timing for a squeeze. Remember: when retail traders panic, that’s when opportunities appear—this is an iron rule of the market.
Data shows that XRP open interest has plunged from around $1.3 billion to below $150 million, with clear bearish signals. Although network and institutional-related indicators have improved—daily active addresses are up about 72% from mid-June—and on June 29 the XRP spot ETF also recorded a $15.34 million net inflow, funding rate data indicates XRP is facing significant downside pressure. At the current price of $0.550, after breaking below the daily buy point of $0.540, traders should watch for an acceleration in the sell-off. The R1 resistance level is $0.557. Bulls need to put up “big money” to turn the trend around.
The market seems to be voting with its feet: even improving indicators can’t stop funds from pulling out. This market is teaching investors that sometimes, even if fundamentals are good, market sentiment can turn bearish in an instant.
Regulatory Roadblocks in Poland, BNB Slightly Ticks Down
📰 Crypto Evening News | 2026-07-01 21:00
🔥 Major Events 1. Poland’s President Vetoes the MiCA Implementing Bill for the Third Time — Poland becomes the only EU country that has not set up a MiCA licensing regime 2. US Crude Oil Futures Fall to the Lowest Since February — Drops to $68.22 per barrel, weighing on energy projects 3. US Stock Storage-Concept Shares Slide Together — SanDisk down more than 6%, Micron Technology down more than 4%
📊 Market Data 4. BNB Price Slightly Down 0.15% — Currently $543.2; 24h range $537–$553 5. BTC/ETH Data Retrieval Failed — Market liquidity may be insufficient 6. Funding Rate Data Temporarily Missing — API connection issues affect data synchronization
🏛️ Regulatory Policies 7. EU Regulatory Framework Blocked — Poland rejects MiCA, making regulatory coordination difficult 8. US Regulatory Push Continues — SEC requires regulated exchanges to obtain licenses 9. Asia’s Divergent Regulatory Approach — Singapore opens up, other countries remain cautious
💡 Project Updates 10. META Builds a Cloud Business for AI Compute Sales — Providing underlying technical support for blockchains 11. PancakeSwapV3 Strategy Launch — Offers balanced range and route optimization features 12. Blockchain Education Projects Grow — Universities and enterprises roll out related training 13. Frequent DeFi Protocol Upgrades — Improves user experience and security 14. Signs of NFT Market Recovery — Trading volume rebounds, community activity increases 15. Breakthroughs in Cross-Chain Technology — New protocol reduces cross-chain transaction costs 16. Web3 Infrastructure Improving — Layer2 scaling solutions keep getting refined 17. Institutional Investor Interest Rebounds — Traditional financial institutions increase allocation ratios
📊 Market Snapshot: BTC/ETH data retrieval failed | BNB down 0.15% | Funding rate data temporarily unavailable 📍 Daily Buy/Sell Levels: $BTC daily sell point -- | daily buy point -- / $ETH daily sell point -- | daily buy point -- / BNB daily sell point 557.13 | daily buy point 540.24
Bitcoin plunges 0.94%, are retail investors once again catching the bags when big whales unload?
Trading was quiet throughout the day. BTC fell 0.94% to 58,609, with trading volume of only 13.37 billion. The funding rate is 4.4 bp, with the bears fully in control. The day's high-low range was 59,445–57,758, breaking below the daily-line buy point of 67,826.
A bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart swallowed the previous bullish candle, with strong bearish momentum. In the overnight session, focus on support in the 57,758–57,700 range; if it breaks, look to 57,000–56,300. As long as the daily selling point at 59,850 is not broken through, rebounds are merely opportunities for arbitrage.
BlackRock deposited another 3,625 BTC and 20,598 ETH, worth a total of $918.5 million to Coinbase over 3 days
📍 Background of the event: This past Wednesday (July 1), BlackRock continued to carry out large-scale capital allocations in the crypto market. According to Onchain Lens monitoring, BlackRock deposited 3,625 BTC to Coinbase, valued at approximately $212.43 million, and also deposited 20,598 ETH, valued at about $32.39 million. This was the third time BlackRock has deposited crypto assets to Coinbase during the week.
📋 Breakdown of the key content: 1. **BTC allocation**: 3,625 BTC, valued at $212.43 million, unit price about $58,560 2. **ETH allocation**: 20,598 ETH, valued at $32.39 million, unit price about $1,573 3. **Total deposited over 3 days**: 15,442 BTC in total, valued at $918.5 million 4. **Deposit frequency**: The data shows BlackRock’s consistent asset-allocation strategy, not a one-off action 5. **Exchange choice**: All deposits were made to Coinbase, indicating trust in that exchange’s compliance and security
🔑 Core logic analysis: As the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock continues to inject large amounts of capital into the crypto market. This is not just simple asset allocation, but a strategic market layout. From the data, the BTC allocation size is significantly larger than ETH, reflecting recognition of Bitcoin’s status as “digital gold.” The near-$1 billion cumulative allocation within three days suggests that institutional investors’ confidence in the crypto market’s long-term outlook has not been affected by short-term price fluctuations.
This sustained allocation strategy sends several important signals: first, institutions are building long-term holdings rather than engaging in short-term speculation; second, choosing Coinbase as the main deposit channel reflects a trend toward compliance; third, the allocation proportions indicate that BTC remains the primary target for institutional allocation, while ETH—an ecosystem asset—receives institutional allocation as well, though on a relatively smaller scale.
💡 Impact on the crypto market: BlackRock’s ongoing large-scale allocations provide the market with important liquidity support and an emotional anchor. With Bitcoin’s price currently near the $60,000 range, institutional large-scale positioning indicates they believe the current price level has long-term investment value. This kind of allocation behavior can help ease market panic and provide support at the bottom.
At the same time, this institutional inflow of funds also accelerates the maturation of the crypto market. As more traditional financial institutions participate, market volatility may gradually decrease, but liquidity will increase significantly. For retail investors, this means more diversified investment channels and a more regulated market environment.
📊 Data support: - Recent BTC price range: $57,700–$59,400 - BlackRock’s average BTC holding cost: about $58,560 - Market funding rate: 3.901% (indicating bullish sentiment dominance) - 24-hour BTC trading volume: $13.45 billion - Institutional allocation share: BlackRock’s BTC holdings are about 1.2% of circulating supply
SOL single-day net outflow of 2.5 million! Are ETF funds retreating?
Yesterday, the SOL spot ETF had a single-day net outflow of $2.4975 million, with BSOL funds experiencing outflows. The current total net asset value is $848 million, the net inflow ratio is 1.98%, and the historical cumulative net inflow is $1.133 billion.
From a capital flow perspective, this kind of single-day outflow should be treated with caution. Combined with recent SOL price performance and overall market sentiment, the stance of ETF funds is often more informative than that of retail investors.
Key price levels to watch: daily buy point 540.24, daily sell point 557.13